Opinions are my own, not financial advice just a journal

Joined November 2023
Bull Shark 🛡️ retweeted
Protect the gold. $CETS
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Bull Shark 🛡️ retweeted
Another KOL being paid to shill the giga bundled dogshit copy of cets How about instead of bidding the crime clone, you just bid the coin that it copied everything off while it's still cheap, and stop contributing to the sole reason that bnb is looked upon the way it is The entire thing is just riddled with fake metrics. paid promos, FOMO holders, youtubers, engagement, everything. So devoid of any soul that it has just been blatantly copying cets art but instead of being hand drawn they feed it through their favourite model and say hey make this look a little more shit "But but but Vydamo it's going up"; crime coins are all well and good until the bundle gets unloaded when they get bored and move on to the next one, and for the normal person, they have no idea when that will be
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All this stupid fud on AI buildout is only making me more bullish.
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Bull Shark 🛡️ retweeted
time to update the site for content + pfps and get back to work to all cets holder feel free to dm me for a custom cets this belongs to @DegenCDS
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Bull Shark 🛡️ retweeted
gold luck finding the "best" artist/dev that have the same work ethic as me coin pump : best dev coin dump : scam dev this is why we never have a good thing, people that actually want to try build are being attacked while crime out there doing the same thing over and over again i actually try to deliver the highest quality as possible and try to keep me sane for the last 2-3 months ideating the art so its not just art but have an actual story fuck you truthseeker969
Replying to @cetsongold
told yall it was a scam team he’ll post bullshit AI slop art everyday while nuking on your head 0 incoming faggot dev @vutnerable
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Bull Shark 🛡️ retweeted
Respect Amit as a $PLTR OG, but lots of conflation and confounding done here. 1. $NBIS isn't a neocloud. It's an AI Cloud. 2. $CIFR isn't a neocloud. Like $WULF, it's a energy infrastructure company. 3. $APLD isn't a neocloud. Similar to $CIFR and @WULF it builds and leases capacity to $CRWV and hyperscalers. Fundamentally an HPC data center developer and landlord. Crucially 2/3 don't own GPUs. Nor do they come anywhere close to operating a cloud. 4. $IREN which is missing from this list is what qualifies at a "neo" or nascent cloud with a managed services offering in the early stages. Putting any of these names regardless of their classification in the same breath as Elice, pretty much a Korean version of AllBirds, is the kind of messaging that is more damaging than productive for public market investors in the space. xitter.cf/amitisinvesting/status…
Well, the bad news for neoclouds unfortunately continues. Today, a new company went public in South Korea. The company is called Elice. They raised $151M at a $750M valuation. Retail investors piled in as the offering was oversubscribed by 400 times. Their core business is renting out GPUs and providing the systems that operate them. The stock is down 30% on its debut. KOSPI is down 4.2%, now lower than the July lows, and Samsung is down 3% with SK Hynix down 6%. If this drop holds, it'll be the worst debut ever for a South Korean IPO. $CRWV $NBIS $IREN $APLD $CIFR
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Bull Shark 🛡️ retweeted
Inference Gross Margins - 87.76% to 96.94% Assumptions: 97% cached input, 2% uncached input and 1% output tokens Prefill: 80k uncached input tokens/s/GPU. Decode: 16k output tokens/s/GPU (250 tokens/s/user) Token mix: 970M cached input + 20M uncached input + 10M output per billion total tokens. It takes around 875 GPU seconds (250 for prefill & 625 for decode) to process 20M uncached input + 10M output tokens. Assuming GPU rental cost is around $3-$6/hr, the GPU system cost per billion tokens is around $0.73-$1.46 1B tokens generate $11.91 in revenue at off-peak prices and $23.82 at peak prices At off-peak prices, inference margins are between 87.76%-93.88% depending on the GPU rental cost ($3-$6/hr) At peak prices, inference margins are between 93.88%-96.94% depending on the GPU rental cost ($3-$6/hr)
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$Cets probably a generational buy rn assuming it survives
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Bull Shark 🛡️ retweeted
$NBIS Your one calculation is wrong: $45B divided by $180M is 250x. And trailing P/E is the wrong tool for a company that grew revenue 454% last quarter and sells out every GPU it brings online. Nebius guides $3-3.4B of revenue this year at a ~40% group adjusted EBITDA margin, roughly $1.2-1.4B of adjusted EBITDA, and every dollar goes straight back into capacity customers are fighting over. CFO Dado Alonso: "Once again, we sold out our capacity as demand continued to exceed available supply." CRO Marc Boroditsky: "4 or more customers competing for every GPU we bring online." What you skipped: • Q2 revenue up 454% to $582.3M and ARR up 598% to $3.0B, with a 49.7% adjusted EBITDA margin in AI cloud. Four landmark deals averaged over $1B each • 2026 guidance reaffirmed at $7-9B of ARR by year-end, after the AI cloud pipeline grew 3.5x in Q1 excluding hyperscaler deals • Over $40B of customer commitments. AAA-rated Microsoft is $17.4B, up to $19.4B, with every tranche delivered, and Meta is up to ~$27B • Over $9B of customer prepayments expected this year. 70% of Q2 deals included prepayments covering 50-60% of the capex, and payback fell to 1 year 10 months from 2-3 years • GPU prices raised 17-21% on October 1. H100 went from $3.85 to $4.50 an hour and B300 from $7.85 to $9.50 • 5 GW of contracted power targeted by year-end, including a 1.2 GW Pennsylvania campus whose first 250-300MW arrives by the end of 2027 • Rated Platinum in SemiAnalysis's ClusterMAX 3.0 alongside CoreWeave Now 2027. Microsoft's $17.4B runs five years out of Vineland, a site designed for up to 300MW. On 300MW that's about $11.6M per MW a year. Meta's $12B of dedicated Vera Rubin capacity, starting in early 2027, also runs five years, so $2.4B a year, or about 200MW at that rate. Volozh says Nebius plans to build more than 1 GW of new capacity a year starting in 2027. Take only 800MW of it: • 200MW for Meta: $2.4B • 600MW at $20M per MW, the bottom of Q2's $20-25M deals: $12.0B • Plus $7B, the bottom of the 2026 guide That's $21.4B of ARR at the end of 2027, and at Q2's 49.7% AI cloud margin, over $10B of adjusted EBITDA a year. Push 20% of the enterprise capacity into 2028 and ARR is still $19.0B. Wolfe models $13.9B, and BNP Paribas, with a $399 target, sees about $22B. That gives zero credit for the $40-50M per MW short-term deals Nebius has started signing, "and sometimes above" per Volozh, Token Factory, where inference workloads more than tripled in Q2, or being named Palantir's sovereign AI infrastructure partner. Volozh: "We could sell our entire 2027 capacity on these terms today." The CFO said they're choosing not to, "reflecting our confidence with respect to future pricing dynamics." At $45B, Nebius trades at 2.1x that $21.4B and 2.4x the stress case. The average analyst target is ~$284, and Rosenblatt is at $304. "Worthless": at June 30 Nebius had $10.34B of shareholders' equity and $8.04B of cash, plus a stake in ClickHouse, a company valued at ~$15B in January. Microsoft and Meta's commitments alone come to up to ~$46B, about the entire market cap you call worthless. Lenders priced its first secured loan, $775M, at SOFR + 2.50%, and investors bought $3.45B of its converts at a 0.50% coupon. They read the filings you didn't. On 1999: name one dot-com whose customers prepaid half the cost of its buildout, or that signed $17.4B with Microsoft and delivered every tranche. 27 years should be long enough to tell a company with no customers from one with over $40B of signed commitments. On "short any rally": anyone who shorted Nebius on P/E at $76.77 last December had lost $223 a share, nearly 3x what they sold it at, by the time it hit $299.86 in June. That's the trade you're recommending today. I'm long $NBIS.
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Bull Shark 🛡️ retweeted
Don't think $NBIS' business fundamentals ever improved so drastically while the stock got absolutely hammered like last few days. Really crazy divergence between sentiment + price action and reality. Can't believe the market is still this bipolar about AI. Every few months we get a crazy rally that melts faces and then we suddenly panic again and crash. I get it, stocks don't go up in a straight line, but this volatility really speaks to the strong disagreement the market has on these names and my personal interpretation is that there is a huge part of the market with no clear view that keeps flipping bullish to bearish to bullish based on headlines and sentiment.
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Bull Shark 🛡️ retweeted
Can I speak for a majority of $NBIS investors real quick? Sorry to be that guy but aaaaaaactually 🤓 we did say the exact opposite! Data centers are insanely hard! Building compute at these scales is NOT a commodity. There are so many layers of complexity and so many skills that the best comapnies need to master. Financing is a tiny part, but you also need to understand hardware, software, cooling, construction, interconnectivity and an ever growing amount of very hard to find skills. I've often said that my view is that I do NOT think building data centers is a good business. I love $NBIS because they build the imho future leading AI Cloud the "AI native AWS" with everything that includes. They don't just build data centers, BUT that is a skill they have and are world-class at. We know they can do that especially well in partnership with $NVDA because for example for over a decade they were NVDIA's biggest customer outside of the US and China. The Nebius thesis is playing out almost perfectly. The ONE thing where me and many other bulls are a little disappointed is we would like to see more bundled products into the cloud offering that add a juicy margin. Data or software value add services ideally. Other than that we've been spoiled with the team executing insanely well on many fronts including creative financing and a new asset lite model and many other big bonuses! Too many things to mention. I would argue Nebius is the ONLY AI Cloud where you get world class management, execution, guidance you can trust and regular innovation on many fronts that is strongly diversified and clearly builds a monster business. I am NOT very bullish on pretty much all peers. It's quite annoying to me we Nebius bulls constantly have to justify shitty execution and bad things happening in AI infra by other companies. Nebius will 100% be able to buy cheap assets from stressed competitors when the moment is ideal. Mangement has told me that indirectly but multiple times. They like to hold their cards close but this is kinda obvious. At some point the financial gap will make it clear how you really can't compare $NBIS with $IREN and not even $CRWV. These companies are simply on different levels. Because Nebius started later and is still in hypergrowth this might not be obvious to all the people who for whatever reason are unable to look just ONE year ahead. But growth, execution, financials, benchmarks and PRODUCT reall paint a clear picture to me.
remind me when all the tech ppl were like datacenters are going to go up everywhere and everyone will figure it out no problem b/c grooooooowth
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Bull Shark 🛡️ retweeted
I added more $NBIS shares today because I think they're positioned to become one of the biggest winners in AI infrastructure as agents push inference demand far beyond today's available capacity. What makes Nebius so interesting is its ~3.5 GW of contracted power against only ~250 MW estimated active today with ~75% expected on owned sites and a growing serverless inference business that could generate more revenue per MW. And after this drawdown shares are now trading around 2x projected 2028 ARR which looks really attractive to me with most of that capacity still waiting to come online.
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Bull Shark 🛡️ retweeted
Couldn’t help adding more $NBIS this week after the latest AI FUD especially with the company forecasted to grow revenue ~98% annually through 2030 and $NVDA CTO highlighting Nebius’s early access to Vera Rubin. And when even $META CEO Zuckerberg says older H100s are worth more today because compute remains scarce, I look at Nebius’s estimated ~250 MW active against 3.5 GW contracted and see years of growth still ahead.
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Bull Shark 🛡️ retweeted
great question the answer is that $Nearkat is solana’s marketing arm for @NEARProtocol the MOB has alr onboarded 1000’s of NEW participants to $NEAR, and were just getting started i think that’s quite valuable 💚
To all $Near communities, I ask that we shouldn’t let the good narratives be stolen. How is it that this is at 5M in Solana and 38K in Near? A Near narrative, everyone who has Near should buy. solana:6UtY9iTZMQQ5QZVrbzFnNaJntV7oySm9k97mvwnuZcxr nearkat-630f25.nearlytrade.near
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Bull Shark 🛡️ retweeted
NEAR is running the Zcash playbook. A year ago ZEC went from $40 to $750 on four ingredients, and NEAR now has all four. Zcash, 2025: 1. One-line pitch: private money 2. Tech legitimacy: nobody reads the ZK papers, but the people who do say it is real 3. A product you can feel: Zashi wallet, shield in one tap 4. Serious people start saying it out loud: Naval, Hayes, Balaji Plus a regulated wrapper, Grayscale's ZEC trust, and a supply story, the halving a year before. NEAR, 2026: 1. One-line pitch: one account, every chain, private by default 2. Tech legitimacy: nobody reads the sharding papers, but $34B has crossed chains through it, and anyone can run one swap and see it work 3. A product you can feel: near(.)com, deposit and you are in a black box with 35 chains 4. Serious people saying it out loud: funds writing research, the big podcasts, and the same Twitter voices that called Zcash a year ago. Plus a regulated wrapper, the first US spot ETF, and a supply story, issuance cut to 1.6% on the table. Same four ingredients, same two extras. The first three take years to build and near:native has them. The fourth is the match, and it was struck this month. On zcash:native, the match did 15x in two months.
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Bull Shark 🛡️ retweeted
Imagine owning a company that: - controls 20% of Bitcoin mining hashpower - Is first-in-line for new mining units, while supply is extremely inelastic due to AI chip boop - Owns 1.5% of the total supply of BTC Except its not 2026. It's 2016. And the bitcoin is private.
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Bull Shark 🛡️ retweeted
Replying to @RobinhoodCrypto
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Bull Shark 🛡️ retweeted
Introducing Community Coins. Holding Solana community coins can now earn holder rewards from new memes paired with it. Each meme launched in Community Mode shares 33% of its holder rewards among eligible community holders. The remaining 67% goes to the meme’s own holders. $USELESS, $PENGU, $ZCAT, $ANSEM, and $NEET are up first. Hold Solana's top memecoins, get rewarded.
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