Pls fix $MEGA price first before fixing your skin.
Greg retweeted
After 1.5 years I'm wrapping up with @ValiantTrade 🫡 Just time for what's next
Now actively looking for new opportunities
20yo, 4 years actively working in DeFi. Led growth & BD at protocols across TON, SVM, and EVM - consumer apps, spot/perp DEXs and AI trading agents. I know founders, protocols, MMs, LPs, and so on. Know how to grow. Know what works
Looking for a team with a product or just ideas. Open to any roles related to growth, BD, or founding team. Based in Dubai
Happy to share more info. DMs are open
My golden rule for AI content on X:
As soon as a post starts with...
> “I replaced my entire xyz team...”
> “Industry xyz is cooked...”
> “I’m making six figures a month with my vibe-coded apps...”
...it goes straight into the “not interested” category for me.
The amount of clickbait around OpenClaw, Claude Code, and similar tools is terrible. AI is amazing, but it’s not going to replace an entire industry with a single feature.
Honestly, I think X should actively punish this kind of content. And when you come across posts like that, I’d recommend just blocking them. It clears your mind.
Ok, I’m officially hooked on Claude Code.
Who’s built something genuinely cool with it?
Drop your best outputs (links, screenshots, repos) 👇
Greg retweeted
Hype factory or retention fortress?
In web3 we've mastered the art of hype, but we fail to keep users around.
Most funds and resources of a project go into building awareness, growing the brand, and converting users. This mostly happens through airdrops, KOL campaigns, speculation, or other pre-TGE shenanigans.
Important, but not even close to the end game.
Once those users are in? Crickets.
Projects throw millions into acquisition, only to watch 80%+ of those new users run out the door within 90 days.
It's like filling a leaky bucket with gold. It's shiny, but wasteful in the end.
The problem starts with misplaced priorities.
Web2 marketing teaches us that retention is king, a 5% bump in retention can boost profits by 25–95%, yet web3 teams keep chasing vanity metrics like total wallet connects and boosting shortterm growth.
Compared to web2, acquisition costs fly through the roof in web3. But since web3 users are also among the highest-spending customers on average, that isn't necessarily a big problem.
It turns into a big problem when they don't come back, making it impossible to ROI on your campaign or long-term growth spend.
There is only one person who can solve this problem: YOU.
If you have no real product value, poor onboarding friction, and zero habit-forming loops, it means your targets will convert, try your product out, and leave quicker than you can imagine.
Incentives mask fake PMF, turn them off and your growth stalls immediately.
Do you want to solve this? Flip the script.
Build for retention first, acquisition second. Start with an amazing product that solves real pain points for clear ICPs.
And no, “crypto degen” isn't an ICP.
Create behavioral loops and frictionless UX, foster your community, be consistent in your communication, and provide exclusive experiences to your real users.
Only then can you really grow.
Result? Lower CAC, compounding LTV, and growth that sticks.
A deeper dive on those topics will come in other tweets ;)
Want to improve your product?
At Renaud Partners we help you spot where strategic enhancements are needed and construct the perfect-fitting framework to solve these problems once and for all.
We provide elite product frameworks, GTM support, craft the clearest narratives, and help you build elite teams.
The web3 winners in 2026 won't be the hype factories, they will be the retention fortresses.
My timeline is full of generic video content and sports.
While I appreciate some initiatives like disclosing partnerships, I'd like to have my old feed back.
I'm using this for work and I don't want to see anything but crypto related news & updates.
Think we’ll at least have one big prediction market scandal this year.
There’s no difference between these bets and sports betting fraud.
Upshot: Owning the Moment You Saw the Future
Prediction has always been a deeply human instinct. Long before markets existed, people argued about outcomes, formed convictions, and staked reputation on what they believed would happen next. Sports, politics, culture, internet moments the impulse is constant. What’s changed over time is how those beliefs get expressed.
Upshot takes that instinct seriously.
Instead of asking users to step into financial abstractions, @upshot_cards gives predictions a physical form. Each card represents a live belief about the future, tied to a real-world event. Some pay out cash when resolved. All of them persist. They live on as proof that you took a position before the outcome was obvious.
That permanence changes the psychology entirely. Prediction markets traditionally end relationships at resolution. Upshot begins them there.
When Predictions Become Culture
Markets are efficient. Culture is sticky. Upshot understands that if you want prediction markets to escape their niche, they need to live where culture already does.
Cards are visual. They’re memeable. They’re easy to share. You don’t explain your thesis, you just post the card. And because cards can be bought, sold, and traded before events resolve, Upshot captures something traditional markets struggle with: how narratives evolve.
As information changes, so does conviction. Every player is predicting outcomes, skilled players are predicting how consensus will shift. Upshot makes that process legible and social, without forcing users into financial abstractions.
Underneath the surface, there’s real money at stake. Prize pools are funded transparently. Winners get paid. Some cards even pay instantly. But none of that overwhelms the experience. Finance stays in the background, where it belongs, while the game stays front and center.
This is why Upshot feels closer to trading cards or fantasy sports than to DeFi dashboards. It doesn’t ask users to learn a new mental model. It wraps prediction in something they already understand.
Skin in the Game, Without the Friction
The best systems reward signal. Upshot layers competition on top of collectability through contests, leaderboards, and seasonal rewards. Players who consistently call the future are recognized over time. Those who show up early are remembered.
Crucially, Upshot avoids the trap most prediction platforms fall into: over-optimizing mechanics at the expense of fun. The incentives are real, but the interface never feels like work. You rip packs. You trade cards. You hold what you believe in.
And when the event resolves, you don’t walk away empty-handed. You keep the card.
In an internet obsessed with the ephemeral, Upshot creates scarcity around foresight.
Why This Matters
One great thing about prediction markets is that they show the truth. But they often fail because they lack distribution. Upshot’s insight is that distribution doesn’t come from better market design alone, it comes from identity, ownership, and culture.
By turning predictions into collectibles, Upshot opens a new surface area for participation. One where people speculate on outcomes and document their relationship to the future itself. Where being early, being right, or even being wrong in an interesting way leaves a trace.
Why We’re Proud to Work With the Team
At Renaud Partners, we spend a lot of time around infrastructure and primitives. Most teams try to win by adding complexity. The best ones win by subtracting it.
@retrimentum and the Upshot team have an unusually strong instinct for where to be opinionated and where to get out of the way. They understand that adoption is emotional before it’s rational, and that products scale faster when they feel inevitable rather than impressive.
Upshot doesn’t try to convince users that prediction markets are important. It simply makes them enjoyable, expressive, and worth owning.
We’re proud to work with the team as they build something genuinely new: a prediction layer where culture is the distribution channel, ownership is the reward, and calling the future leaves a permanent mark.
Upshot isn’t just about being right.
It’s about having proof that you were there first.
UPSHOT MAINNET IS HERE.
A whole new way to experience predictions has arrived.
Welcome to Prediction Play.
Sign up now & starting ripping packs 👇🏼
Upshot.cards
Short traders, after refreshing Zack’s profile every 2 seconds, realizing the project he was talking about doesn’t have a token.
1/ Meet @WheresBroox (Broox Bauer), one of the multiple @AxiomExchange employees allegedly abusing the lack of access controls for internal tools to lookup sensitive user details to insider trade by tracking private wallet activity since early 2025.
AI is insanely impressive…
until you actually need it to solve a real problem.
Then the discussion turns into you as an 8-year-old arguing with your mum about whether you can have sweets before dinner.
The sad thing is that he could name 10+ projects and we were all just like “oh yeah, makes sense.”
All of us, let’s do better, way better.
