GIS & Election Science | @DecisionDeskHQ GovCast | Political Analysis Across the Globe
Florida, USA
Joined July 2021
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Jake Marks retweeted
Hindsight is 20/20: NC Republicans could have easily drawn a 9R-5D or even a 10R-4D map that would have withstood a blue tsunami (by drawing one more safe Dem seat in the Triad). Instead, by trying for a 11R-3D map, they're on track to end up in a 11D-3R hole.
Jake Marks retweeted
In my second post, I look at what's shaping up to be the biggest upset of the 2026 cycle: Scott Colom's (likely) victory in the Mississippi Senate race.
ebwinter.substack.com/p/the-…
Jake Marks retweeted
If Dems gain AK and MS, the 2026 Senate elections would be the most seats lost by the GOP since 1986 (If you don’t include pickups, it’s really since 1958!)
Despite this monumental loss, John Thune will remain as Leader of Senate Republicans
Very interesting development
If Dems gain AK and MS, the 2026 Senate elections would be the most seats lost by the GOP since 1986 (If you don’t include pickups, it’s really since 1958!)
Despite this monumental loss, John Thune will remain as Leader of Senate Republicans
Very interesting development
Jake Marks retweeted
In a Democratic wave year, Tina Kotek still ran almost 5 points behind Kamala Harris in OR's Gov race
She won Oregon 53–44, but not one county moved toward her
Biggest drops being in Clackamas (R+9.4), Benton (R+8.4) and Washington (R+7.3)
@DecisionDeskHQ
In a Democratic wave year, Tina Kotek still ran almost 5 points behind Kamala Harris in OR's Gov race
She won Oregon 53–44, but not one county moved toward her
Biggest drops being in Clackamas (R+9.4), Benton (R+8.4) and Washington (R+7.3)
@DecisionDeskHQ
Jake Marks retweeted
Marsha Blackburn won Tennessee by 2.6 points but lost six of its nine congressional districts.
In five of those, voters backed Democrat Jerri Green for governor and a Republican for the House. Hagerty carried all nine in the Senate.
@DecisionDeskHQ
Marsha Blackburn won Tennessee by 2.6 points but lost six of its nine congressional districts.
In five of those, voters backed Democrat Jerri Green for governor and a Republican for the House. Hagerty carried all nine in the Senate.
@DecisionDeskHQ
Jake Marks retweeted
The blue wave hit Florida, and Florida managed to hold on
Donalds holds the governorship for the GOP, and Republicans keep both chambers in Tallahassee. But Democrats picked up 16 House seats and broke the supermajority for the first time in years.
@DecisionDeskHQ
The blue wave hit Florida, and Florida managed to hold on
Donalds holds the governorship for the GOP, and Republicans keep both chambers in Tallahassee. But Democrats picked up 16 House seats and broke the supermajority for the first time in years.
@DecisionDeskHQ
Jake Marks retweeted
Can Hegseth be impeached?
The House will vote on Rep. Massie’s articles by Wednesday, and its possible
Total removal is a different story. Conviction needs 67 senators, which would mean 20 GOP votes. Even after Democrats take the Senate in January, it would still take 11–13
Can Hegseth be impeached?
The House will vote on Rep. Massie’s articles by Wednesday, and its possible
Total removal is a different story. Conviction needs 67 senators, which would mean 20 GOP votes. Even after Democrats take the Senate in January, it would still take 11–13
Jake Marks retweeted
Who redistricts next?
Likely: Wisconsin, Maryland and Mississippi, where governors are on record backing new maps and Maryland voters voted to do so
Less likely: Colorado and Virginia (blocked by courts), Minnesota and New Jersey (no clear path yet)
Who redistricts next?
Likely: Wisconsin, Maryland and Mississippi, where governors are on record backing new maps and Maryland voters voted to do so
Less likely: Colorado and Virginia (blocked by courts), Minnesota and New Jersey (no clear path yet)
Jake Marks retweeted
Democrats just had their best election night in decades, and Senate Dems are already advocating against Chuck Schumer as majority leader
All 5 Democrats who say they won’t back him for majority leader are freshmen elected in the wave. 9 more are wavering and just 3 have said yes
Democrats just had their best election night in decades, and Senate Dems are already advocating against Chuck Schumer as majority leader
All 5 Democrats who say they won’t back him for majority leader are freshmen elected in the wave. 9 more are wavering and just 3 have said yes
Jake Marks retweeted
The Texas GOP redrew the map to win five more seats. It got one
Democrats held four of five targets: TX-9 (D+15.1), TX-28 (D+37.2), TX-34 (D+15.8), TX-35 (D+10.8). TX-32 flipped red (R+2.9)
Democrats also flipped TX-15 and TX-23, but would’ve won one more seat
@DecisionDeskHQ
The Texas GOP redrew the map to win five more seats. It got one
Democrats held four of five targets: TX-9 (D+15.1), TX-28 (D+37.2), TX-34 (D+15.8), TX-35 (D+10.8). TX-32 flipped red (R+2.9)
Democrats also flipped TX-15 and TX-23, but would’ve won one more seat
@DecisionDeskHQ
Jake Marks retweeted
If enacted this could spur other Democratic trifecta states to look into redistricting.
Namely being Maryland, New Jersey, Virginia, and Minnesota
It’ll be interesting to see if Democratic voters are still up for gerrymandering after their wave victory
WISN: Governor-elect David Crowley says he’d sign a bill that immediately redraws Wisconsin's congressional maps if passed by the Democratic-controlled legislature early next year.
Link to article: wisn.com/article/crowley-say…
