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Laurier Institute for the Study of Public Opinion and Policy commentary and analysis on opinion trends, electoral politics and public policy.

Waterloo, Ontario, Canada
Joined March 2011
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Unusually, US-Canada relations are seen to potentially be a big deal in the midterm elections. We wanted to see if there was any systematic evidence that the US-Canada trade conflict was hurting Republicans' chances at the polls. 1.
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Unusually, US-Canada relations are seen to potentially be a big deal in the midterm elections. We wanted to see if there was any systematic evidence that the US-Canada trade conflict was hurting Republicans' chances at the polls. 1.
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If anything, there was a small positive effect showing an above average level of poll support for Republicans going along with trade with Canada, although this is mostly driven by the Susan Collins effect in Maine. 5.
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Note, that these polls were October's polls, after Mike Rogers aired his ad denouncing the tariff war. That said, an earlier model included polls from September as well, before that ad and found no effect. 6.
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LISPOP invited Michigan State political scientist, Dr. Matt Grossmann (@mattgrossmann) to open up the black box of a US statewide election campaign at a pivotal time in US-Canadian relations. You can see the full presentation at youtu.be/hqas0k5j42I?si=DXr5…
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Andy Burnham's coup in the UK would have had to have taken place in a very different way in Canada because of the combination of Canadian regionalism, federalism and Westminister parliaments! #cdnpoli lispop.ca/nexus/could-andy-b…
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Obviously corporate power can be a problem, but in our view that is something that has to be demonstrated on a case-by-case basis, rather than assumed. And here, it seems to not really fit the data.
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Supply skepticism is a problem in this policy space, because it eliminates an entire basket of policies that would encourage building. Given the severity of the housing crisis, especially for young Canadians, ensuring that solutions address the root causes is of utmost importance
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