Actuary and longevity consultant in Aon’s Demographic Horizons team. Expect tweets mostly on mortality and longevity. Can divide by 7.
St Albans, England
Joined March 2015
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CMI have saved me a job this week! Here's their version of standardised mortality by week, compared to the range in the equivalent week over the previous 10 years. Care needed again when comparing the latest week to previous analysis, due to Bank Holidays.
Matt Fletcher retweeted
The CMI has released its weekly mortality monitor.
Age-standardised death rates year to date continue to track the best year on record (2019) fairly closely.
Death rates this week were back at the lower end of the 2011-19 range.
Matt Fletcher retweeted
The CMI has released its weekly mortality monitor.
Age-standardised death rates this year have tracked the best year on record (2019) fairly closely and continue to do so. That’s despite deaths with Covid rising this week to the highest level since February.
Matt Fletcher retweeted
UK life expectancy for 2021-2023 out today, showing an increase. The Aust figures are due out in about two weeks but will show a decline (our 2023 mortality was worse than our 2020)
Matt Fletcher retweeted
A big increase in official life expectancy today as 2023 replaces 2020 in the 3-year average used in the calculation.
However, life expectancy remains below pre-pandemic levels (2017-19).
Life expectancy will predictably increase again next year (when 2024 replaces 2021).
Life expectancy at birth in England & Wales in 2021 to 2023 was:
• 79.0 years for males
• 83.0 years for females
Compared with 2020 to 2022, life expectancy has increased:
• 13 weeks from 78.8 years for males
• 11 weeks from 82.8 years for females
➡️ ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationa…
Matt Fletcher retweeted
Hospital admissions with Covid in England hit another peak in July - the highest since January.
They are now decreasing, with the 7-day average falling by 14% in the last week of July. Hopefully this is now a sustained fall, in contrast to the dip reported at the end of June.
Matt Fletcher retweeted
Deaths data has been released for week ending 19 Jul.
10,182 deaths were registered in England and Wales this week.
Year-to-date there have been 325,255 deaths registered.
1,344 deaths involved flu or pneumonia. 234 involved Covid-19 - the highest seen since February.
Matt Fletcher retweeted
Deaths data has been released for week ending 5 Jul.
10,333 deaths were registered in England and Wales this week.
Year-to-date there have been 304,538 deaths registered, 6% fewer than expected by ONS.
CMI analysis of age-standardised mortality rates is expected later today.
Matt Fletcher retweeted
The CMI has released both its weekly Mortality Monitor and its more detailed quarterly summary.
Mortality in England & Wales in the first half of 2024 was similar to the record lows seen in the first half of 2019.
Looking a bit more closely at the recently published death registration delays data (teapawt.org/longevitymatt/status/1…) - for males in the 15-44 age band, the median delay between death and registration is *114 days*! (all other age bands are 6-9 days, females aged 15-44 is 15 days)
Matt Fletcher retweeted
ONS deaths data has been released for week ending 28 Jun.
10,609 deaths were registered in England and Wales this week, a slight increase on last week.
Year-to-date there have been 294,200 deaths registered, 6% fewer than expected.
Matt Fletcher retweeted
10,609 deaths were registered in England and Wales, week ending 28 June 2024 (Week 26):
· 1.8% lower than the expected number (197 fewer deaths)
· 13.7% involved influenza or pneumonia (1,452 deaths)
· 1.7% involved #COVID19 (177 deaths).
Read more ➡️ ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationa…
ALT Bar and line chart showing number of deaths was lower than expected in Week 26.
Matt Fletcher retweeted
Scotland released rebased 2012-2022 pop estimates based on census 2022 this morning
Census 11-based estimates
- overestimated the 20-39s significantly
- under then overestimated the 10-19s a bit
- underestimated the 40-74s a little bit
- overestimated the 75+ a little bit
Delays in death registration in England & Wales (especially those certified by a coroner (light blue)) have continued to increase - the overall median delay went from 5 days in 2021 up to 7 days in 2022
Matt Fletcher retweeted
Deaths data has been released for week ending 24 May.
10,909 deaths were registered in England and Wales this week, which was 6% lower than expected by ONS.
Year-to-date there have been 243,042 deaths registered, 6% fewer than expected by ONS.
Matt Fletcher retweeted
Age-standardised mortality rates year-to-date remain among the lowest seen, still tracking 2014, 2019 and 2022. Those 3 years were all similar in 1st half of the year but very different in 2nd half. It’ll be a few more weeks until we see which one 2024 tracks (if any).
I think @actuarybyday might appreciate this one?
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