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On Sep 2nd we had warned that the #RBNZ rate hiking cycle was done.
And here we go....
- RBNZ leaves its cash rate unchanged, they were expected to hike
#NZD
Anna Breman super dovish stance is coming through. The RBNZ rate hiking cycle is done.
- Future Policy Decisions Will Depend On The Balance Of Risks To Medium-Term Inflation
- Future OCR Path Is Not Pre-Determined
- Medium-Term Inflation Indicators Are Consistent With Inflation Returning To Target
- Spare Capacity Remains In The Economy, Particularly In The Labour Market
EM funds were
- Massively overweight Brazil
- Massively underweight India
Indian EM allocation is the most underweight in history according to some data.
This could be a significant tailwind for Indian Large caps
#Nifty
MacroGuru retweeted
⚡️BREAKING: Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu is Demanding a Strike on Iran before Israel's Elections but is currently being Refused by IDF Chief of Staff, per Israeli Channel 13
Zamir is demanding evidence and justification for resuming the war
MacroGuru retweeted
Many reports in Israeli media of the IDF refusing Netanyahu's orders to restart war with Iran
Hats off to those with the balls to stand up to this war criminal, you're doing your country and the entire world a massive favor
A lot of +ve clues from various sources towards a possible pause to the hostilities
- QATAR MEDIATES IN IRAN AS U.S. SEEKS TO EASE TENSIONS
- Qatari negotiators have landed in Tehran just now in what appears to be as last ditch attempt in avoiding massive escalation in the region. They have delivered US demands and have received Iranian responses.
According to OSINT channels, there were some interesting aircraft movements this morning that may point to ongoing diplomatic efforts to prevent a renewed escalation with Iran.
- An Iranian government aircraft reportedly returned to Iran after a one-hour stop in Dubai.
Shortly before, a Qatari government aircraft had landed in Tehran.
- These movements do not necessarily indicate direct diplomatic contacts, but their timing is interesting, particularly amid reports of continued mediation efforts.
#Iran #Qatar
MacroGuru retweeted
JIO IS NOW INDIA’S MOST IN-DEMAND IPO:
Investor demand has reached ₹7.4 Lakh Crore so far — the HIGHEST ever for any IPO in India
MacroGuru retweeted
It’s a beautiful day outside, birds are singing, flowers are blooming, and … it’s the perfect day for a “peace deal” headline or some other conveniently timed fake news to send the market soaring
MacroGuru retweeted
The S&P500 fell 1.2% yesterday despite more than 300 of it's constituents moving higher. This makes yesterday the 2nd widest divergence since 1990 when Bloomberg began collecting the data
Only time yesterday's dispersion was topped was in January of 2025 when DeepSeek happened per Bloomberg





















