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early call ➡️
Joined June 2023
$NVDA 162 now binance.com/en/futures/NVDAU… dyor - Short Setup: Trend-following breakdown. The chance of this setup triggering looks higher right now. If price breaks below 156.79 (0.382 Fib level) after the market opens and fails to move back above it, we can enter once the intraday price confirms. Entry: 155-157 Stop Loss: 166 Target: 130-135
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$SOXL 52.5 now binance.com/en/futures/SOXLU… dyor - SOXL tried to push higher but got hit by heavy selling and ended the day in the red. The short-term uptrend is broken. First support is at 48.85, followed by the 24H low at 47.43. Last Friday's close at 56.2 may look like a 22% rebound, but it was just a bounce after being oversold. The bearish side is still stronger. CPI came in hotter than expected, with core CPI up 0.3%. The market is already pricing in an 87% chance of a rate hike in December. Main plan: Short the bounce. Entry zone: 54.0–55.1 Entry: 54.5 Stop loss: 55.7 Target: 48.9
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$MU 728 now binance.com/en/futures/MUUSD… dyor - MU's death cross is still in place. Selling pressure is easing, but the MACD is still far below the zero line. The biggest weakness in this bounce is low volume. As price moves back toward $829-$839, it will likely face strong selling pressure. A clean breakout won't be easy, and a retest of the lows is still likely. The overall trend is still bearish, with the moving averages stacked against price. This is exactly where bears may step back in and sell. Trade setup: Short the bounce Entry: $860 Stop Loss: $912 Take Profit 1: $690 Take Profit 2: $660
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$AMD 507 now binance.com/en/futures/AMDUS… dyor - AMD has the strongest fundamentals in this market cycle. The short-term outlook is bullish, and its rebound has been much faster than SMH and QQQ. About 80% of the oversold bounce is already done. Lows are getting higher, and a clear bottom is taking shape. Moving averages are still bearish, but selling pressure is fading. To fully turn the medium-term trend bullish, AMD still needs to break above the key resistance levels at 515 and 558. Trade Setup: Entry: 484–494 on a pullback Stop Loss: 466 Take Profit: 558
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$QQQ 680 now binance.com/en/futures/QQQUS… dyor - Monday saw a strong rally on heavy volume, recovering more than half of last Friday’s candle body. The stock has started to bounce and is back above the short-term moving averages. Short-term momentum is improving, but the mid-term trend is still weak. A bottom may be forming, but the market still needs to confirm it. No need to go all in at once. You can build your position in three steps: 1. Buy a small position now. 2. Add more on a pullback to 580-628. 3. If a deeper panic selloff happens, consider the final entry at 426-506. Trade Setup: Long on a pullback to 656-662 if it holds. Stop Loss: 638 Take Profit: T1 = 690, T2 = 722 (close the full position)
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$SMH 487 now binance.com/en/futures/SMHUS… dyor - The semiconductor sector finally saw a strong bounce at a key support zone, showing that buyers are stepping in. The trend is still bearish, but selling pressure is fading. Monday's bounce came with real volume: 14.6M shares vs. the 3-month average of 8.3M. A strong green candle also wiped out the 11/06 upper wick. Short-term moving averages are now lined up bullish, with 513.9 as the first resistance above. The 4H chart looks strong, but the daily chart is still weak. That's why I'm only looking to buy the pullback, not chase the price here. Buy the pullback: Entry: 464–470 Stop loss: 446 Take profit: 531
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$SPY 755.28 binance.com/en/futures/SPYUS… dyor - The bigger picture is still bullish. Risk appetite bounced back strongly on Monday, and short-term momentum is leaning bullish. But structurally, this is a recovery after a sharp drop from the highs, not a new uptrend. 762–766 is the key battle zone between bulls and bears. Tonight's CPI data will be the key trigger. The 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at 763 is right above us. We need a strong move with solid volume above 762–766 to confirm a real trend recovery. Buy the pullback: Entry: 742–745 Stop loss: 736 Take profit: 762 Breakout long: If CPI comes in soft and price closes above 758, look to buy the breakout. Stop loss: 752 Take profit: 778
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$NVDA 177 now binance.com/en/futures/NVDAU… dyor - Opened at $173.04, down 7.3% from Friday's close. It quickly dropped to $171.36 within the first 20 minutes, then bounced back to $177. Volume hit 37.4M shares in the first hour, which is huge. The stock has now fallen 30% from $243, with RSI deep in oversold territory. This looks like the first strong sign of a bounce with heavy volume during a downtrend. As long as it holds above $175, a sector rebound could push it back toward $186.6 to $188. A clean move above $191 could open the door to the $195 to $196 gap area. Best long setup: Wait for a pullback near $175 and look for it to hold on lower volume. Stop loss: $170.8 Take profit: Sell half at $188 Next target: $191 to $195
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$SNDK 818.8 now binance.com/en/futures/SNDKU… dyor - The downtrend is still going. Every bounce is getting weaker. The stock has fallen 66% from its 52-week high of 2,354 to below 800. It jumped to 850 in Sunday night trading, but dropped back to 815 in pre-market today. Each bounce is making a lower high: 912 → 850 → 815. Sellers are waiting at every bounce to sell. The AI hardware sell-off is mainly about lower valuations, not weak earnings. Earnings are still fine. The average analyst price target is 2,268. Part of this drop is also driven by forced selling. Trading plan: Short at 842–858, stop loss at 876, target at 752. If it breaks below 770, don't try to catch the bottom. Next levels to watch are 750 and 700.
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$SKHYNIX 840.43 now binance.com/en/futures/SKHYN… dyor - The trend is still bearish, and the bounce is weak. Since the September high of 1439, price has crashed all the way down to 810, losing more than 40%. Even with today's 1.82% gain, this looks nothing more than an oversold bounce. Simply put, the bears are still in control, and there is no clear sign of a trend reversal yet. CEOs from Taiwanese companies have already warned that memory price hikes are not sustainable. Stocks that were hyped up and gained as much as 5x are now facing heavy selling and sharp drops in their valuations. That said, this sell-off is mainly driven by market fear and money flowing out, not a complete breakdown in fundamentals. This also means the downside from here may be quite limited. Short positions are still trading with the trend. Take your profits and get out cleanly. Don't get greedy or stay in the trade too long. Short Setup: Entry: 865 to 885 Stop Loss: 905 Target: 782
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$XAU 黄金 4,105.5 now binance.com/en/futures/SOXLU… dyor - Gold briefly pushed up to 4140.81 today, but got pushed back down to 4102. The 4140 to 4152 zone has rejected price twice now, with long upper wicks both times. Today's bounce came with lower volume, so it doesn't look very strong. The main driver right now is macro news, not the chart. Strong October NFP data and unemployment falling to 4.1% have pushed the odds of a December rate hike up to 80%. Higher rate hike expectations mean higher real yield expectations, which puts direct pressure on gold, a non-yielding asset. Today's move was more of a short-term bounce. Trump's softer tone on Iran sent oil prices lower, easing inflation worries, while the dollar also weakened. Gold jumped as much as 1.5%, but was sold off after reaching 4134. Even with these tailwinds, gold couldn't hold its gains. That tells us selling pressure above is real. Short setup: Entry: 4135 to 4150 Stop Loss: 4168 Take Profit: 4045
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$SOXL Direxion Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF 43.49 now binance.com/en/futures/SOXLU… dyor - This is a relief bounce after being oversold, not a trend reversal. Funding rates are positive, meaning shorts are getting paid to hold their positions. This is another point in favor of the bearish side. That said, the strong green candle with higher volume and the recent low holding up show that short-term selling pressure is slowing down. A move back above 48 is needed before we can talk about a real trend recovery. Given the current MA structure and the number of upcoming events, that looks difficult in the short term. My preferred setup is to short a bounce into 46.5-47 if it gets rejected. Entry: 46.8 Stop loss: 48.6 Take profit: 40.8
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$NVDA Nvidia 176 now binance.com/en/futures/NVDAU… dyor - The moving averages at 195.4 / 204.5 / 211.5 / 219.5 are all lined up bearishly, with price trading below all of them. Each one is now resistance on any bounce. Mid-term momentum shows no sign of turning around. If price opens lower or fails to bounce, then breaks below 175.7, it enters a low-support zone. Next targets are 170, followed by 165-164. If price opens lower but quickly reclaims 181.5-183, then retests 186.6-188.3, the main plan is still to short. Short setup: Entry: 185 Stop loss: 190 Take profit: 170 For a long, I need to see clear signs first. For example, a sharp drop to 168-171 followed by signs of a bounce, such as a long lower wick, bullish divergence, or a reclaim of 171. Long setup: Entry: 170 Stop loss: 164.5 Take profit: 186.6
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$MU Micron 691 now binance.com/en/futures/MUUSD… dyor - Friday showed signs of a reversal. The stock rose 5.12% to close at 690, with a clear long lower wick. This usually points to extreme oversold conditions, while momentum is still bearish. The most common move after this setup is a bounce, followed by a pullback, then a new direction. 650 to 660 is the panic low zone. 676 is the first support after the bounce, while 724 to 726 is the first resistance zone. On the company side, the news is actually positive. AllianceBernstein, Citi, and BofA have all maintained their Buy ratings, with price targets at 1,300. The main pressure on the rebound came from strong US jobs data, which boosted expectations of more Fed rate hikes. My bias is bullish. I'll wait for a pullback to 650 to 665, ideally with lower volume and signs of support before entering. Stop loss: 645 Take profit: 726
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$XAU Gold 4081 now binance.com/en/futures/XAUUS… dyor - Price is sitting right in the middle of a bunch of moving averages. This looks like a market waiting to pick a direction. The longer it stays sideways and the lower the volume gets, the bigger the breakout could be. But we don't have a clear direction yet. The recent moves are mainly driven by the drop in US bond yields and the dollar after the US midterm elections, along with short covering after last week's sharp drop. Stronger-than-expected US jobs data has raised expectations that the Fed will keep rates high to fight inflation, putting pressure on gold. Central bank buying is still providing strong support. China's central bank added 83,000 ounces of gold in October, marking its 24th straight month of buying. That's why buyers keep stepping in whenever gold drops to the 4020-4030 area. The daily MACD golden cross points to a bullish mid-term trend, while short-term rate concerns are keeping prices in a range. So buying the dips looks better than chasing the highs, and much better than shorting in the middle of the range. Trade setup: Entry: 4040-4053, wait for a pullback with lower volume and signs of support. Confirmation: On the 15m chart, price stops making new lows. Stop loss: 4020. Take profit: 4150.
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$SNDK Sandisk 835.58 now binance.com/en/futures/SNDKU… dyor - The overall trend is still down. Price has just bounced from panic lows, so I prefer to wait for the bounce to run out of steam before shorting. No chasing, and no rush to buy the dip. Short setup: Entry: 858-868, wait for the 15m candle to lose strength and close red before entering. Stop loss: 886, above the platform high. Take profit: 806. Long setup: If a 15m candle closes above 853 and holds above MA99, wait for a pullback to 850-852. If that level holds, enter long at 852-855. Stop loss: 841. Take profit: 893, around the previous high.
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$SOXL Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF 45.52 now binance.com/en/futures/SOXLU… dyor - The trend is clearly down, but the short-term bounce has just started after hitting oversold levels. Friday's daily candle showed a classic V-shaped bounce with a long lower wick. It dropped from 38.81, panic selling kicked in, then bounced all the way to 49.41 before pulling back. SOXL is a 3x leveraged ETF, so even sideways trading can slowly eat away at its value. $NVDA reports after the market closes next Tuesday, and holding any position before earnings means taking on overnight gap risk. My main play is to short the bounce: Entry: 48.5 Stop Loss: 49.9 Take Profit: 42.5
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