On retweeted
⛓️ Evento ao vivo: Masmorras da Condessa, próximos horários de hoje:
20h
22h
00h
Esperamos vocês lá! 👻🔥🦇🧙🏼♀️
On retweeted
Missão Secreta V: Amuleto da Proteção 🦉
As corujas são guardiãs espirituais, mensageiras das mudanças e dissipadoras de ilusões. O Amuleto da Sabedoria canaliza suas forças e nos guia pelos caminhos obscuros até a luz.
IrinaHadid #Zastraz @EventosHabblet
MISSÃO SECRETA V: AMULETO DA PROTEÇÃO 🕯️🪬
@MeuHabblet
#Zastraz
nick: on
Feito com casca de noz, alecrim e as runas Algiz e Othala. Finalizado com cera de vela, simbolizando proteção, paz e harmonia para o lar. ✨
On retweeted
RECANTO NATURAL - PESADELO NA COZINHA 🍰👻
× Uma torta de Morango que virou um pesadelo de Halloween delicioso.
Nick: Renascida
@MeuHabblet
On retweeted
If you are in Madeira, Portugal, or Spain — please read this very carefully.
It is Monday, November 9… and I’m starting to get increasingly concerned about what’s coming on November 11.
Over the past several days I’ve been watching a low pressure system far out in the Atlantic, but I really didn’t want to boldly claim it would be a significant threat to Portugal until I had a solid basis to do so.
This is because model guidance was really struggling to figure out what this storm would do as it crossed the Atlantic.
1. Would it stay weak and fizzle out before hitting Europe and Africa?
2. Would it take a more southerly track and affect the Canary Islands and Morocco?
3. Would it move a little further north and hit Madeira and Morocco more directly?
4. Lastly, would it rapidly intensify and curve north into Portugal?
Somehow, model guidance is trending more and more towards the worst case — and the impressive part is that the AI models were consistently showing this even when most other weather models had backed away.
This teaches me something. AI models may be much more useful than I originally thought for complicated low pressure systems like this. @LusoMeteo did a great job at pointing this out. I’ll definitely be checking these AI models a lot more from now on when analyzing model guidance.
What does this mean for us?
This storm is carrying rich subtropical moisture which will enhance the flood risk across Madeira, Portugal, Spain, and even the Canary Islands and Morocco.
Depending on how strong the low gets, there is a potentially serious threat of damaging wind on the southern end of the low pressure.
Moisture moving with this system will also influence the risk of torrential rain through southern France, northern and central Italy, and the Adriatic Sea through November 12.
In conclusion, I really didn’t want to be the boy who cried wolf with such an unstable forecast… but now there’s an overwhelming amount of signs pointing to this potentially major storm. Please use the remaining time to prepare, spread the word, and as always, be safe…
