Research scientist @VoxPopLabs | Public opinion, Voting behaviour, Election forecasting 🗳 | PhD, @UMontreal
Joined January 2020
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🚨 Two new publications!
🗳 One paper about elite electoral expectations with @anam_kuraishi, @KSoontjens, and Stefaan Walgrave in @ElectoralStdies: doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.…
💡 Another one about ideological constraint with S. Walgrave in the @EJPRjournal:
doi.org/10.1017/S14756765261…
Philippe Mongrain retweeted
🎙️ New Reasonably Political Podcast episode!
I speak with @jf_daoust about elections and satisfaction with democracy: what shapes it, why winning matters, and why the answer changes across political contexts.
Tune in for more👇
buzzsprout.com/2608748/episo…
Philippe Mongrain retweeted
We’re back, Quebec!
The 2026 Quebec provincial election edition of @VoteCompass is here. Get a personalized analysis of how your views align with the party platforms.
👉 Try it now: votecompass.cbc.ca #qcpoli
Philippe Mongrain retweeted
Nous sommes de retour, Québec!
L’édition #Élection2026 de la @Boussole est arrivée — découvrez comment vos opinions s’alignent avec les plateformes des partis. 🗳️
👉 Essayez-la dès maintenant : boussole.radio-canada.ca #qcpoli
Philippe Mongrain retweeted
🚨Really excited to share a new podcast project: Reasonably Political!
The goal is to make political science more accessible and connect research to real-world debates. 1/2 🧵
Philippe Mongrain retweeted
First episode is out with Philippe Mongrain (@p_mongrain) from @VoxPopLabs!
Should politicians follow public opinion or lead? And are politicians and citizens on the same page? 2/2 🧵
🎧You can listen here:
open.spotify.com/episode/7vS…
Philippe Mongrain retweeted
I am pleased to announce that our article on citizen forecasting in Central America has been published in @RevistaLOP. A big thank you to my co-author @p_mongrain and my supervisor @yannickdufresne.
doi.org/10.14201/rlop.32143
Philippe Mongrain retweeted
Do policy preferences of voters and non-voters differ in European democracies?
My new article in @EJPRjournal finds: Yes, sometimes, but this is not the norm.
Let's break it down. 🧵 1/10
Philippe Mongrain retweeted
🌅📙 64.3
As you wish? 🧞♀️
Looking at 13 countries @p_mongrain, @NinoJunius & @NathalieBrack ask who calls the shots, with most citizens preferring delegate-style reps who follow #PublicOpinion. But how do MP's see themselves?
#Democracy
🔗ow.ly/59P650WwKoM
Philippe Mongrain retweeted
[ À LIRE ]
Avec Éric Bélanger, @p_mongrain et @thomasgareau, la professeure Valérie-Anne Mahéo vient de publier l’article «A Party that Went Viral? The Drivers of Support for the Parti conservateur du Québec in the 2022 Election» dans la @CJPS_RCSP.
fss.ulaval.ca/actualites/nou…
Philippe Mongrain retweeted
Delighted to see the new issue! Thanks to my co-guest editor @p_mongrain & all the contributors for their forecasts.
NEW ISSUE from @ps_polisci -
PS: Political Science & Politics - Forecasting the 2024 US Election - Volume 58 - Issue 2 - April 2025 - cup.org/42yjlz1
@APSAtweets
ALT Cover of "PS: Political Science & Politics" magazine, April 2025 issue, featuring silhouettes of three prominent political figures facing different directions with the theme 'Forecasting the 2024 US Elections'.
Philippe Mongrain retweeted
#OpenAccess from @CJPS_RCSP -
A Party that Went Viral? The Drivers of Support for the Parti Conservateur du Québec in the 2022 Election - cup.org/3EKltdH
- Éric Bélanger, @p_mongrain, @thomasgareau & Valérie-Anne Mahéo
#FirstView
ALT Logo of CJPS (Canadian Journal of Political Science) / RCSP (Revue canadienne de science politique) on a dark blue background with "#OpenAccess" in white text at the bottom.
Philippe Mongrain retweeted
NEW ISSUE from @ps_polisci -
PS: Political Science & Politics - Forecasting the 2024 US Election - Volume 58 - Issue 2 - April 2025 - cup.org/42yjlz1
@APSAtweets
ALT Cover of "PS: Political Science & Politics" magazine, April 2025 issue, featuring silhouettes of three prominent political figures facing different directions with the theme 'Forecasting the 2024 US Elections'.
Philippe Mongrain retweeted
#OpenAccess from @CJPS_RCSP -
Working the Crowd: Citizen Forecasting, Sophistication and Diversity in Canadian Federal and Provincial Elections - cup.org/4aMdVTx
- @p_mongrain, @NFrchet, Brian Thompson Collart & @yannickdufresne
#FirstView
ALT Logo of CJPS/RSCP with the text "#OpenAccess" on a navy blue background.
🚨 New publication with @NFrchet, @BrianTh18524140, and @yannickdufresne! I am happy to share that our new paper on citizen forecasting and the wisdom of crowds is out in @CJPS_RCSP! 🇨🇦 🗳 @pol4casting @m2p_be
@Sciencepo_UdeM @pol_ulaval
Check it out 👇
doi.org/10.1017/S00084239240…
Philippe Mongrain retweeted
Cornell Professor Led Presidential Election Forecast That Correctly Predicted Results for All 50 States cornellsun.com/2024/11/26/co…
Philippe Mongrain retweeted
Today @p_mongrain & I presented an analysis of the @ps_polisci 2024 US election forecasts @NuffieldCollege @UniofOxford. Thanks to @RayDuch & @RobertoCerina for organizing such a fantastic workshop!
Philippe Mongrain retweeted
🗞️Kamala Harris a-t-elle perdu les élections américaines parce qu’elle est une femme? Avec les analyses de notre chercheuse @r_dassonneville. 24heures.ca/2024/11/12/kamal…
Philippe Mongrain retweeted
Please read. Learn about what political science can achieve.
The Electoral College prediction map in our @ps_polisci Special Issue introduction published in mid-October looks just like the actual results. Election fundamentals & scientific approaches work! doi.org/10.1017/S10490965240…
Philippe Mongrain retweeted
The Electoral College prediction map in our @ps_polisci Special Issue introduction published in mid-October looks just like the actual results. Election fundamentals & scientific approaches work! doi.org/10.1017/S10490965240…
We are obviously still waiting for the final results, but the average Electoral College forecast from state-level models in the @ps_polisci Special Issue on Forecasting the 2024 US Elections is looking quite accurate! 🇺🇲 🗳 @m2p_be @Sciencepo_UdeM @McGillPoliSci @MizzouPoliSci
