IIM Bangalore Alumni,psephologist , Election Result Analyst. Visit: https://teapawt.org/t.co/E1ZVd6U2Ml for all election related data.
Gurgaon, India
Joined May 2014
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Unless AY gives assurance that Law and Order will not be a problem, it will be a close election.
If he can assure people that law and order will maintain, he can win 300 plus seats .
There is a strong chatter in Uttarakhand :
BJP is destroying armed forces because of AGNIVEER Scheme. (Army ko khatam kar raha hai)
In next December,2026- Around 30K agniveer will be back from Army after serving 4 years. People are uncertain about the future.
Youths of Uttarakhand are not interested to join agniveer. They want the old army recruitment system. They are super angry with BJP. I interacted some of them.
If Rahul Gandhi calls for a protest rally over "SCRAP AGINIVEER" at Ram Leela Maidan, 10 times crowd will appear as compared to 1st Nov Rally.
Roamed the following assembly segments between 27th Oct to 30th Oct,2026
1. Narendranagar
2. Deoprayag
3. Srinagar
4. Rudraprayag
5. Tehri
The youths in the hills turned anti-BJP. Around 65-75% of them will vote anti BJP. But this anti incumbency vote will get divided between Congress and UKD.
Partha Das retweeted
Karnataka SIR : Minister @ArshadRizwan says, "As soon as the SIR exercise started, and even before that across the country, Union Home Minister @AmitShah had claimed that there are infiltrators in the voter list, He was hinting at Bangladeshis in the voter list, and he said infiltrators are influencing Indian elections... @hd_kumaraswamy very clearly said that Bangladeshis are being supported before we started this exercise. I want to ask them because the EC has very clearly said that only less than 1,000 foreign nationals were identified... 771 foreign nationals were identified in this voter list. Out of these, 588 are Nepalese. The remaining 183 are Kannadigas who have taken US citizenship, European nation citizenship, and other citizenships. According to my information, not even three Bangladeshis were identified. You made 5 crore Kannadigas stand in the queue to identify three infiltrators or three Bangladeshis. This is just like how you made 100 crore Indians stand in queue during demonetisation and the note ban to identify black money. The EC has to come out clean and say how many infiltrators were identified, how many, particularly Bangladeshis or foreign nationals, were identified. This exercise was to put people through strain and tension, harass them, and make them stand in queues..."
Interacted with youths from hills in Uttarakhand in last two days.
The youths from HILL area are very much against the BJP.
They want to remove BJP from the power.
Many of them wants an alliance of Congress and UKD in next assembly election.
30K agniveer will be released from all armed forces in next Dec 2026.
I personally feel that Govt should scrap the AGNIVEER scheme.
Good number of Agniveers will return in Punjab,Uttarakhand and Western UP.
Opposition should be ready to make it an election issue in the upcoming assembly election.
The Indian Army gave Modi govt a severe-dressing down!! 🔥
The "Agniveer Recruitments" weakened the Indian Army to such an extent we can't even imagine.
> No one is ready to marry his daughter to Agniveers because of the elimination of pension scheme and short service span.
> The Indian govt is compromising India's security.
> Well trained Agniveers are being released when they are fully prepared to defend India.
> And the most significant concern is that, currently almost all of India's neighboring countries are hostile towards it. Yet we are being forced to discharge well-trained Agniveer soldiers who are highly skilled in combat operations within regions like Kashmir and the North East's valley areas. Then how are we to deal with these hostile nations?
Taking samples from UP, Uttarakhand and Telangana,
I am yet to find a single person who spoke regarding Vote Chori or SIR.
At the same time, People are not so enthusiastic regarding BJP.
The real issues are : Fertilizer crisis, corruption, unemployment, high price rise, water scarcity etc.
I am an observer of Goa politics.
In Goa ZPElections 2025, the people of Goa wanted an alliance of Congress+RGP+GFP. Hypothetically if that alliance happened the Congress+RGP+GFP would have won 20 Seats out of total 50 seats and that would have been set the tone. Without RGP, it is not possible to defeat BJP.
But Congress was unable to make an alliance with RGP because of 2 individuals. My sense is that the change in leadership happened in Goa Congress because of that.
#GoaZPElections 2025 Final results :
BJP - 29
MGP - 3
So BJP+MGP (NDA) = 32
INC -10
GFP - 1
So INC+GFP (INDIA) =11
RGP-2
AAP-1
Independents-4
Anyone from Udham Singh Nagar district in Uttarakhand ? Please connect. Will visit on 27th october to understand the mood for the upcoming Uttarakhand Assembly Election 2027.
Complete misgovernence in West Bengal.
17 People died due to stampede in Durga Pujo. Unacceptable.
AITC was bad but BJP is worst in terms of governance.
It is almost impossible that Ankita Bhandari will get justice from Judicial system.
Let them go to the court of people. Congress can give ticket to one of her parents in the upcoming Uttarakhand Assembly Election.
चार साल से अंकिता भंडारी के परिवार को इंसाफ नहीं मिला, लेकिन एक ‘VIP’ आरोपी को संरक्षण और संवैधानिक पद का इनाम ज़रूर मिला।
जहां बलात्कारियों और हत्यारों का फूल-मालाओं से स्वागत होता है और अपराधियों को सत्ता की ताकत से नवाज़ा जाता है - उस महिला-विरोधी BJP से कोई उम्मीद की भी नहीं जा सकती।
आज, अंकिता के माता-पिता अपनी बच्ची के लिए न्याय की गुहार ले कर, अपने घर से मीलों दूर, India Gate पर बैठे हैं।
मैं और कांग्रेस पार्टी उनके साथ खड़े हैं - उनके दुख में भी और इंसाफ की इस लड़ाई में भी।
#JusticeForAnkitaBhandari
This is the Youtube search volume of top 3 political personalites of Uttar Pradesh with in the Uttar Pradesh region for the last 1 Month :
Yogi Adityanath - 45.0%
Akhilesh Yadav - 43.3%
Mayawati - 11.7%
The gap between Yogi Adityanath and Akhilesh Yadav is becoming narrow.
This is the youtube search volume of major political parties within Uttar Pradesh for last 30 days :
BJP - 43.6%
RLD - 0.0%
SBSP - 0.0%
NISHAD - 0.6%
Total NDA - 44.2%
SP - 26.3%
INC - 23.1%
Total INDIA - 49.4%
BSP - 5.8%
ASP - 0.6%
