@perk (@perk) profile picture

Here for Lizard People stories. Not looking for followers. Delete posts and block people for no reason. Practicing ultracrepidarian.

Joined April 2007
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Taiwanese semiconductor analyst Andrew Lu’s take on the recent scandal involving Jensen Huang: Why the US Seized on the Scandal to Draw Its Sword: Three Strategic Objectives The purpose of this scandal is by no means to expose an affair. It is to force through three critical objectives that had made no headway in the tech war between the US and China because Jensen Huang opposed them. The first cut: Completely destroy the legitimacy of Jensen Huang's lobbying against sanctions in Washington Over the past two years, the loudest and most influential business leader in Silicon Valley opposing a total ban on chip exports to China has been Jensen Huang. He has told the White House the same thing all along: "Cede the Chinese market to Huawei, and the only one that ends up dead is the American tech industry." But the moment US intelligence labels the woman named as Huang's affair partner "a spy working for China's Ministry of State Security who sought to steer the US toward easing its chip controls," every bit of lobbying he has done for looser controls takes on an entirely different political meaning. It becomes a national security matter, raising the possibility that a foreign spy used a secret relationship to exert influence. Huang can no longer say a single word in defense of the Chinese market before Congress or the White House. If he does, he will be branded as someone who "fell for an intelligence operation and still hasn't come to his senses." The second cut: Reverse the H200 export approvals for China and sever the link between Chinese shell companies and Southeast Asian smuggling networks Look at the timing of the two reports. On November 8, the very day the Jensen Huang scandal broke, The New York Times published an investigation for which its reporters went in person to dozens of Chinese companies that the US Commerce Department had approved to handle Nvidia's H200 chips. New Matrix in Beijing was one of them. According to the report, the registered addresses of companies approved to buy the chips turned out to be empty "ghost offices," and some of the companies had close ties to entities on US sanctions lists and to firms under contract with the Chinese military. One exposé says Nvidia's CEO was having an affair with a female spy from Megaspeed, the Singapore company that handled the chip smuggling. The other says the Chinese companies Commerce approved to buy H200s are nothing but shell companies trading on behalf of the Chinese military. The aim of these two reports is clear. They are meant to pressure the Trump administration and the Commerce Department into fully revoking or freezing H200 export approvals for China and, going further, to force a sweeping overhaul of the loophole that let chips be diverted through data centers run by third parties in Singapore and elsewhere in Southeast Asia. The third cut: Put Nvidia on a national security leash through congressional oversight and an independent investigation As the world's largest company by market cap and the dominant force in AI, Nvidia has until now enjoyed broad autonomy in how it runs its business. But in the wake of this incident, the three congressional committees responsible for China, foreign affairs, and intelligence have begun examining Nvidia's internal security measures directly. They have even pressured Nvidia's board into forming an independent investigation committee to look into the company's own founder and CEO. In effect, Washington's national security establishment has planted a watchdog right inside Nvidia's board. From now on, the goal is to make sure that everything, down to where each and every one of Nvidia's high performance chips ends up, conforms strictly to US national security strategy. It also means there is no more room for skirting the edge of the rules or releasing chips with specs specially tailored to regulatory thresholds. Conclusion "The scandal was a detonator set off right on cue. The real goal was to plug the holes chips were leaking through." Jensen Huang made the fatal mistake of letting his guard down in his private life and personal relationships. In the end, he fell into a honey trap, the textbook tactic of intelligence warfare, and was compromised. America's national security and intelligence agencies ruthlessly exploited the weakness his private life had exposed. As a result, they solved three thorny problems in a single stroke: Nvidia's lobbying at the White House to ease restrictions on China, the flow of H200 chips into Chinese shell companies, and smuggling routed through Singapore. The closed congressional hearing set for November 18 will be the decisive turning point at which the US moves in earnest to tighten its sanctions on China's AI compute even further.
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My friends were all talking about prepping so I made a survival LLM. A free app that runs an AI mdoel plus 1.5 million offline articles (medical guides, FEMA, survival manuals, wikipedia) entirely on your computer. No internet needed. brangus.io/survival-llm
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The fact that Japan did not surrender after the first atomic strike provides some evidence against this. The preparation for a costly strike on the mainland, which would have been costly for both sides, was documented on both sides.
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AI knows as much about biology as all the Reddit posts and the research papers on the Internet know. Not much beyond that.
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So much for AI accuracy on news>
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The amount of crap I get for putting out a hobby project for free is quite something. People treat this like a multi-million dollar business. Security researchers demanding a bounty. Heck, I can barely buy a Mac Mini from the Sponsors. It's supposed to inspire people. And I'm glad it does. And yes, most non-techies should not install this. It's not finished, I know about the sharp edges. Heck, it's not even 3 months old. And despite rumors otherwise, I sometimes sleep.
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Behold the mainstream media cult. They loyally recite the DNC/deep state narratives of the day. One can only imagine how different the US would be if we had a truthful, unbiased mainstream media.
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My one time post on politics is this: I have voted both sides. Sad there are usually only 2 viable choices. Worked for large corps for 8 years and self employed for 40 or so. Had successes and failures. Just enough more successes to be an investor now. Which is a bettor. I wouldn't bet against a guy that accidentally became president against all odds, then 8 years later became President again with all the might and power of the media and US intelligence and Justice department opposing him. He learned a lot about the world and US government from 4 years as President and thought alot about what would do if he had the chance again. I assume that what I hear publicly and what he executes privately are two different things, and understand why. I voted to make him President for 4 years, because I trust his plan, without knowing it. I am not going to micro-criticize every decision he makes after that.
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Goethe on scientists - noting that $$ incentives will pretty easily overcome their ‘search for truth.’ Covid, climate, pharmaceuticals etc. Goethe said this to Eckermann in 1825 - nothing new under the sun.
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🙌Outstanding 🙏🏻Thanks to the Lean Mass HyperResponder study published in JACC: Advances, we now have a modern, real-world confirmation of what decades of science have consistently proven: High LDLc causes atherosclerosis. 🫀📈 No matter how “metabolically healthy” you are, how low your triglycerides or CRP might be. They tried to challenge LDL causality… and accidentally delivered one of the clearest proofs instead. 🎯 This case will now be mandatory reading 📚🧠 and a highly valuable tool for lectures, presentations, and conferences to explain the causal relationship between LDL and atherosclerosis. 🎤🧬 Thank you for this unforgettable self-own. Truly, an educational masterpiece. 👏
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My thoughts on US vs China. Xi is experiencing a quiet revolution in China. Two generals that are pro invasion of Taiwan are under investigation for corruption, rather suddenly. There is a faction of anti-war, old guard that are exercising their power quietly. Xi is under threat by a pro business anti war group. Trump tariff flex was to show the US has the will and the means to damage China if needed. It is not needed yet. It was a message to the anti-war and pro business group.
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Also, eliminate the phrase "The Science" in all official communication.
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My wife who is a California licensed architect and managing a significant building project in CA right now, gave me some background about why the water proposition that passed in 2014 has not built anything a decade later. It is pure California. 1. Red tape. It is wrapped in a myriad of both state and federal level red tape. 2. Litigation. Apparently, multiple environmental groups have filed multiple law suits over the years to prevent reservoir construction. The irony is that the state of California is in some cases the major local donor to the group suing them. 3. Paper work(which might be red tape). In one case, California filed the paper work tot he US Army Corp of Engineers who kicked it back for missing sections required. Apparently the first project approvals were issued in 2023. I don't even believe construction permits have been pulled yet. Mind you this was from a proposition and funding that passed in 2014. Welcome to California baby
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Re: H1B MAGA debate I've helped numerous physicists and engineers get O1 (alien of extraordinary ability) and H1B visas. The former tend to be PhDs (eg Russian theoretical physicist from top university) and the latter tend to be engineers with more applied backgrounds. I also helped @Dominic2306 Dominic Cummings and No 10 Downing St. reform skilled immigration to the UK. The following are all true statements: 1. O1 threshold is high. People who get this are usually PhDs from top programs who have published significant research and are internationally recognized. Stealing these people from other countries is great for the US economy, bad for their home countries, and has a negative effect on job prospects for really talented Americans (let's not kid around). 2. H1B: There are many super talented people that US companies would like to bring here, and the only way to do it is to enter the horrible, unpredictable H1B lottery. (Example: graduating CMU MS AI/ML students from India that we interviewed at Superfocus.) These people generally won't qualify for O1 but are still super valuable. Similar impact on economy and jobs as #1 above. 3. There are lots of NOT TALENTED H1B workers brought in by US companies simply to reduce costs - bc they can do the work more cheaply, are less likely to leave for a better job, etc. Any mid-level IT worker in the US is familiar with this situation - they are not making it up. H1B could be converted from a crap lottery system to a merit-based system more along O1 lines. This would require more resources, for specialized review of applications, but would be worth it to the US economy. OF COURSE immigration hurts US workers that have to compete with the new workers. It increases supply and lowers the local value of labor. This is true for both high- and low-skill work. (Don't believe crap studies that claim otherwise - ie by "economists" based on weak data and influenced by ideological priors.) But high-skill immigrants (categories 1&2) make the US economy (eg SV) more competitive and able to WIN important tech competitions. Some of these competitions lead to WINNER TAKE ALL MONOPOLIES with returns to scale (eg FAANG). Or, they let the US dominate a specific industry, set standards, leap ahead in R&D, etc. PRC has as much talent as the Rest of the World combined - significantly more than the US produces domestically - SEE BELOW. If US tech companies want to compete with Chinese counterparts, they NEED to import top talent in categories #1 and #2 or they have NO HOPE OF WINNING. Take AI as an example. Probably ~50% of all top AI researchers in the US come from China, and the remainder are drawn from all over the world. Only a minority are US-born. (Source: Global AI Talent Tracker.)
Total US STEM grads ~16M PRC: +5M grads per annum now, but started from a much lower base. US grads ~500k pa, so +4.5M gap. Every ~4y PRC gets NEW STEM workforce = ENTIRE US STEM workforce. Next 10y S&T innovation will be very different from last 10y! ncses.nsf.gov/pubs/nsb20221/…
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.@CDCgov is quietly deleting misleading information from their website The following statement was removed from their website between July 16th and July 22nd: “The mRNA and the spike protein do not last long in the body.” Current link: cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-nco… ht: @RayArmat
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Replying to @JackPosobiec
It can’t be a coincidence that Hunter worked for shady Ukrainian corporation, Joe extorts Ukraine so they fire prosecutor, Trump gets impeached for asking Ukraine to look into it and now we’re sending the same country hundreds of billions of dollars…
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FEMA seems to be very confused why the people of #WNC are choosing to NOT use the hotel vouchers they are handing out... Let me explain: a) You're living in Swannanoa NC when the river rises 22 feet and sweeps away your home and 2 vehicles. b) You have a family of 4 depending on you to make ends meet and work starts back in a few days. c) FEMA hands you a hotel voucher an hour's drive from your now-destroyed home. d) You tell the FEMA rep, "Look, I don't have a car and I can't live in a hotel 40 miles away from work and the home I need to start fixing" e) FEMA says, "Ok, well your temporary home is 3 months away, sorry, so go live in the hotel." f) You say, "If I go live in that hotel, I'll lose my job, I won't be able to repair my home, and everything we've worked so hard for will be gone." g) FEMA says, "We still don't understand why you won't go live in a free hotel." h) You decide to it's actually LESS RISKY to live in a makeshift tent outside of your home and pray a volunteer will deliver you an RV than go live in a hotel an hour away and lose everything. This is what FEMA cannot seem to understand. People are generally very logical, they don't WANT to sleep in tents. Government policies tend to be broadly applied to all situations and the hotel vouchers are just not gonna cut it for a lot of people in #WNC, for the reason I mentioned above.
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The purists reviewing the Trump picks are playing fantasy football. Meanwhile the unlikely coalition that actually won the election and beat back a campaign w/ 4X the money, the entire MSM & the "deep stae" on its side etc, is organizing a gov't & making real-world deals
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