https://xitter.cf/t.co/ADltMSqInz A starter, Founder of iCook / INSIDE

Keelung (基隆)
Joined June 2007
Germany amended its constitution in March 2025 to create a special fund of €500 billion, about $560 billion, for infrastructure and climate projects to be approved over 12 years. In the first year, the fund was budgeted to pay out €37.2 billion. It actually paid out €24 billion, and €10 billion of that was a transfer into the Climate and Transformation Fund. The states' €8.3 billion share went entirely unpaid that year, because the federal-state agreement wasn't signed until December 11. The 2025 federal budget itself wasn't promulgated until October 2, ending months of provisional spending rules, and took retroactive effect from January 1. This is a country that wrote a borrowing limit into its constitution. In 2009, the Bundestag voted 418 to 109 for the debt brake. Under that rule, new structural federal borrowing was capped at 0.35% of GDP, adjusted for the business cycle, unless an emergency exception was invoked; a 2025 amendment later exempted defense spending above 1% of GDP. In 2014, Finance Minister Wolfgang Schäuble announced that the following year's budget would need no new borrowing, the first time since 1969, and the "black zero" became shorthand for his policy. Public investment stayed low throughout. In 2005, German government investment was 2.2% of GDP; France's was 4.4%. In a 2026 survey by the state-owned development bank KfW, municipalities put their own investment backlog at a record €231.2 billion, about $260 billion. The Rahmede Viaduct on the A45 autobahn got a failing inspection grade in 2011. A strengthening plan, estimated at up to €13 million, was never carried out; in 2014 the decision was made to rebuild instead, and planning dragged on for years. On December 2, 2021, inspectors found that the main girders had deformed, and the bridge was closed that day. It was demolished in May 2023, and the first half of the new bridge opened on December 22, 2025, 14 years after the first failing grade. Money going out isn't always new investment. The Bundesbank says some of the fund's investment was shifted from the regular budget; the government says the fund has raised investment by more than €12 billion. In September 2026, Germany had 2.994 million registered unemployed. On October 19, the eve of the Invest in Germany summit in Berlin, Chancellor Friedrich Merz (@_FriedrichMerz) shared a stage with NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang, and the government signed a letter of intent with NVIDIA (@nvidia) on industrial AI. The same day, the head of Roche's German business said all of its future investment decisions in Germany were on hold, while projects already committed would go ahead.
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安杜里爾(Anduril)的超大型無人潛航器鬼鯊(Ghost Shark),10 月 19 日第一次公開三種原本保密的酬載。澳洲國防工業部長康洛伊(Pat Conroy)在雪梨的鬼鯊工廠宣布,一艘鬼鯊一次可佈 12 枚水雷,也能把後勤補給艙先放到海底、日後回來取,還能放出 Altius 無人機群。他的說法是「鬼鯊現在有牙了」。兩天後,安杜里爾放出一段 34 秒影片,鬼鯊浮在水面,甲板升起一組發射管,無人機一架接一架升空,接著它再潛回水裡。 這些東西公開的時間點,比採購晚了一年多。澳洲政府在 2025 年 9 月就簽下 17 億澳幣、5 年的量產合約,數量只說「好幾十艘」,精確數字以隱密為由不公布;同年 10 月 31 日雪梨工廠開幕,第一艘量產型當天下線,2026 年初交給海軍測試驗收。合約先簽了,第一艘也交給海軍測試驗收,能裝什麼,到這個月才講。 鬼鯊的起點是一家約 30 人的波士頓新創 Dive Technologies,用大型 3D 列印機直接印出潛航器船殼。安杜里爾在 2022 年 2 月收購它,一個月後在雪梨成立澳洲分公司,5 月起與澳洲國防部共同出資,3 年做 3 艘原型。開發期花了多少錢,媒體報 1.4 億澳幣,部長的說法是 1.5 億、雙方各出一半。2022 年 12 月計畫命名時,台上擺的還是 Dive-LD;第一艘原型 Alpha 到 2024 年 4 月才在雪梨港公開,官方說比合約提早一年、沒有超出預算。 美國海軍的同類計畫是波音的 Orca,2019 年簽約,美國政府審計署 2022 年的報告說,進度至少落後 3 年、成本至少超支 2.42 億美元。把 Orca 拿來跟鬼鯊比較的,是安杜里爾總裁布羅斯(Chris Brose),屬廠商觀點。 公開的三種酬載之外,能確定的事情不多。鬼鯊的長度、航速、航程、已交付數量、單價,搭載哪一型 Altius、能不能在水下發射無人機,官方都沒有公開。安杜里爾說酬載艙也能裝魚雷,澳洲戰略政策研究所的評論則認為鬼鯊太慢,不適合自己發動魚雷攻擊。 同一家族的 Dive-LD,今年 9 月在荷莫茲海峽入口被伊朗革命衛隊撈起;安杜里爾承認在該海域損失一具,創辦人帕默拉奇(Palmer Luckey)在 X 上說那是量產的可損耗型潛航器,設計上就預期可能被擄獲,已經在美軍中央司令部轄區運作好幾個月。台灣中科院在 2025 年 9 月簽約採購的,也是 Dive-LD。 澳洲加速採購這批無人潛航器,一個重要的背景是潛艦換代,6 艘柯林斯級潛艦延壽後預計 2038 年起每兩年退役一艘,向美國購買的維吉尼亞級要到 2030 年代初,三國共同設計的新潛艦首艘要到 2040 年代初。澳洲國家審計署今年 5 月批評延壽計畫,設計合約改了 53 次,金額從 1.25 億澳幣漲到 8.13 億。澳洲海軍今年 4 月正式命名「海上自主系統單位」,統一操作鬼鯊與 Speartooth 無人潛航器、Bluebottle 無人水面艇。官方的說法始終是無人載具與有人潛艦互補,兩種都需要;AUKUS 今年 5 月宣布的第一個無人水下指標專案,也是三國共同開發無人潛航器的酬載與配套系統,預計 2027 年開始交付。 [合作]主持人桌上配件由 MOFT 提供
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On October 21, 2026, Taiwan's Fair Trade Commission blocked Grab from buying foodpanda's Taiwan delivery business for $600 million. Grab has never run a delivery business in Taiwan; the deal would have put it in foodpanda's place, with Uber Eats still the only other major platform. The commission said the concern was that Uber (@Uber) owns about 13.1% of Grab, an ownership link that could soften both companies' incentives to compete and increase coordination risks. It is the second time in two years that the commission has blocked a proposed sale of foodpanda Taiwan. In 2024, Uber itself bid $950 million. The commission blocked that deal on December 25, 2024, and its vice chairperson at the time said the two platforms together would have held more than 90% of the market. Uber walked away in March 2025 without going to court. The Uber-Grab link goes back to 2018, when Uber sold its Southeast Asia business to Grab for a 27.5% stake. Singapore's competition regulator later found that after the deal, fares after discounts rose 10% to 15%. Taiwan's commission cited that history, saying the two companies went ahead even though they knew, or should have known, that the deal violated competition law, and completed it in a way that was hard to undo. Grab has dual-class shares, so by the commission's count Uber holds only 3.9% of the voting power, not enough to control Grab's strategy. The worry is incentives. If Uber Eats fought Grab hard in Taiwan, it could hurt Grab's profit and, through Uber's stake, Uber's own investment. Grab, in turn, knows its rival's parent is one of its major shareholders. Even without any secret agreement, the commission said it would be easier for the two companies to predict one another, increasing the risk that they would fall into step, and Taiwan has no meaningful third competitor to disrupt that. Grab offered to dilute Uber's stake, limit Uber's representation on its board and restrict the sharing of competitively sensitive information, and Uber's CEO left Grab's board in July. The commission said it could not be sure those commitments would work, and that Uber would need to sharply reduce its stake, or even sell it. Three commissioners voted to block, one favored approval with conditions, and a fifth was recused. The parties can go to court within two months after the decision is served, and Grab can also submit a new filing. There is a precedent for this worry, and it involves the seller. Delivery Hero bought 15% of Spain's Glovo in 2018. In June 2025, the European Commission fined the two companies a combined €329 million for a cartel that included no-poach agreements, sharing sensitive information and dividing up markets, the first time it had punished the anticompetitive use of a minority stake. The difference: the EU fined conduct after the fact, while Taiwan is weighing a risk before a deal closes. For now, foodpanda Taiwan still belongs to Delivery Hero, which Uber agreed in July to buy in a takeover that values it at $14.8 billion. Shareholders have until November 5 to tender their shares, and the deal still needs regulatory approval. Taiwan was not on the list of markets Uber said it was acquiring.
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公平會 10 月 21 日禁止 Grab 以 6 億美元收購 foodpanda 台灣。Grab 在台灣沒有外送業務,跟 foodpanda 在台灣外送市場沒有直接競爭,公平會的關鍵疑慮,是 Grab 與 @Uber 之間的股權連結。Uber 持有 Grab 約 13.1% 的股份,是 Grab 的主要股東。 這筆持股來自 2018 年 Uber 把東南亞業務賣給 Grab 的交易。照公平會的計算,Uber 的表決權只有 3.9%,公平會擔心的是兩家的錢綁在一起,Uber Eats 在台灣砸優惠搶 Grab 的客人,也會傷到 Uber 手上這筆投資;Grab 也知道對手背後就是自己的主要股東。 公平會還翻出 2018 年的舊帳,新加坡主管機關事後調查,交易完成後 Grab 叫車市占約 80%,實際車資漲了 10% 到 15%。Grab 提出的稀釋持股等承諾被認為無法確保執行,公平會要的是 Uber 大幅減持甚至出清,表決 3 票禁止、1 票主張附條件放行、1 位委員迴避。
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In March 2026, Gen. Dan Caine, chairman of the Joint Chiefs, said A-10 Warthogs were flying maritime interdiction missions around the Strait of Hormuz. Their targets were the fast attack boats of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. The jet was designed in the 1970s to stop Soviet tanks in Europe, and the U.S. Air Force (@usairforce) has tried to retire it since 2014. Iran's fast attack boats are small, fast, and numerous, and can swarm together to harass tankers. Expensive missiles don't make economic sense against them, and fast fighters have a hard time keeping watch over the water for long. The A-10 flies slowly and can stay over the strait for long stretches. Its tank-killer reputation is more complicated. After Desert Storm, A-10 units were credited with 987 tanks. A 1997 GAO assessment found that Air Force analysts counted one tank for every three that A-10 pilots claimed, and that at least a third of A-10 strike results couldn't be determined from the records. Against armor, the A-10 relied mainly on Maverick missiles, firing about 4,800 of them. In April 2026, after an F-15E was shot down, A-10s flew into Iran in the Sandy role, protecting the downed crew and coordinating the rescue. Both crew members were rescued. One A-10 was hit, and the pilot ejected over Kuwait. It is the only A-10 the U.S. has publicly confirmed losing in flight in this war. On April 20, Air Force Secretary Troy Meink said three A-10 squadrons would remain in service until 2030 at the latest. Under the plan at the time, about 36 aircraft would fly into 2030 and then retire, nearly 60 years after the A-10's first flight.
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研究台灣選舉逾 30 年的日本學者小笠原欣幸,依 8 月底的情勢說過蔣萬安連任幾乎不會變;10 月 22 日他在東洋經濟的新文章改變判斷,說沈伯洋的支持度已越過民進黨在台北 28 年沒破的那條線,追上蔣萬安。 他的文章沒有引用民調,TVBS 10 月 8 日公布的民調蔣萬安仍領先 8 個百分點,5 月時是 28 個。小笠原沒有說誰會贏,只舉了兩個前例,2010 年蘇貞昌民調一度領先,最後落選;2018 年韓國瑜 9 月起急起直追,最後當選。 你覺得,這次比較像 2010,還是 2018?
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The U.S. Army (@USArmy) has released a new 46-page warfighting guide, How the Army Fights. The word Taiwan appears once, in the heading of a hypothetical scenario in Annex E: "Taiwan – Dynamic Army Strike Contribution (Hypothetical)." The scenario opens by saying a rigid 96-hour Air Tasking Order cycle "will not survive contact with the PLA." Its answer is a dispersed web of strike options in northern Luzon, Philippines: upgraded fires, attack aviation employing long-range launched effects, one-way attack munitions, and mid- and long-range precision fires. The guide says that web is "far more responsive than Navy or Air Force platforms alone." For speed, it cites Israel's Tzayad command system, which it says cut fire-support cycles from 40–50 minutes to 1–7. Tzayad supplier Elbit has presented the same figures. A second hypothetical, set in 2027, envisions an Army sustainment command deploying across northern Luzon and the Babuyan Islands, with hidden supply hubs, watercraft, autonomous surface vessels, drones and on-site additive manufacturing. The guide says that network would help prevent a rapid fait accompli. Both are labeled hypothetical, not published plans. The region has hosted real exercise deployments: the Army's Mid-Range Capability in northern Luzon in 2024, and the Marine Corps' NMESIS on Batan Island in 2025.
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德國修改憲法,設了一筆 5,000 億歐元的特別基金,用來修橋鋪路、推動氣候轉型,期限 12 年。可是第一年,2025 年整個基金預定支出 372 億歐元,實際只撥出 240 億(其中 100 億是轉進氣候與轉型基金),約三分之一沒有撥出去。帳列給各邦的 83 億,因為聯邦和各邦的協議拖到 12 月 11 日才簽,當年一毛都沒撥;聯邦預算也到 10 月 2 日才公布、結束暫行預算,效力再回溯到 1 月 1 日。 這是一個把舉債上限寫進憲法的國家,2009 年聯邦議院以 418 票對 109 票修改基本法。規則是,扣掉景氣因素、又沒啟動例外條款時,聯邦每年的結構性新借款不能超過 GDP 的 0.35%。2014 年財政部長蕭伯樂宣布隔年的聯邦預算不借新錢,是 1969 年以來第一次,「黑零」從此成了他財政政策的代名詞。 同一段期間,德國的公共投資一直偏低。2005 年德國政府投資只占 GDP 的 2.2%,法國是 4.4%;德國復興信貸銀行 2026 年調查地方政府,各地自估的投資缺口達到 2,312 億歐元,創下紀錄。 A45 高速公路上的拉梅德高架橋,2011 年檢查評分已經不及格,補強方案估計最多要 1,300 萬歐元,最後沒有執行;2014 年改成重建,方案和核准程序又拖了好幾年。2021 年 12 月 2 日,檢查發現主梁變形,當天封橋,2023 年 5 月爆破,2025 年 12 月 22 日新橋第一半幅通車。從評分不及格到第一半幅通車,過了 14 年。 錢流出去,也不一定是多出來的投資。德國央行指出,特別基金裡有一部分投資,是從原本的預算搬過去的;德國政府的說法則是,特別基金已讓投資多了 120 億歐元以上。 到了 2026 年,9 月德國登記失業 299.4 萬。10 月 19 日,梅爾茨(@_FriedrichMerz)在柏林投資德國高峰會的前一晚和輝達執行長黃仁勳同台,德國政府同日宣布與輝達(@nvidia)簽下工業 AI 合作意向書;同一天,瑞士藥廠羅氏的德國負責人說,還沒核准的德國投資決定先暫停,已經核准的照常進行。
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美國陸軍(@USArmy)10 月 7 日發布 46 頁的作戰指引《How the Army Fights》,由美國陸軍副參謀長、同時代理陸軍參謀長的拉內夫上將署名。全文搜尋英文的 Taiwan 只出現一次,是附錄裡一段標明「假想」的情境標題:「台灣:陸軍的動態打擊貢獻」。 這段情境的第一句寫,反恐戰爭時期養成、僵化的 96 小時空中任務週期,碰上解放軍會行不通。空中任務週期是美軍把目標、飛機與支援任務整合成作戰命令的流程,美軍另有臨時處理移動目標的辦法,但這份指引認為,面對能快速轉移的目標,整套流程還不夠快。 它提出的做法,是陸軍在菲律賓呂宋島北部分散部署多種打擊武器,彼此支援,形成一張打擊網。清單包括升級過的火力系統、攻擊航空部隊發射的長程無人載具、地面部隊攜帶的單向攻擊彈藥(打出去就不回收),以及中程與長程的精準打擊武器。指引說,這些分散運用的能力,反應比單靠海軍或空軍快得多。 速度的參照來自以色列,指引寫道,以軍的 Tzayad 數位指揮系統把外部火力支援的週期,從 40 到 50 分鐘縮短到 1 到 7 分鐘。同一組數字,也見於 Tzayad 供應商 Elbit 一位執行副總裁在英國皇家聯合軍事研究所會議上的簡報。 附錄另一段假想 2027 年的情境,寫的是補給怎麼跟上,美軍第 593 軍級後勤支援司令部散在呂宋北部與巴布延群島,補給點藏在崎嶇的山區。船艇、無人水面艇與無人機把彈藥送到分散的中程飛彈、海馬士多管火箭和防空系統發射器旁,零件壞了由機動 3D 列印單位在現場製作,目的是防止對方迅速造成既成事實。 這些劇本背後有正文的定調,指引把解放軍定為「步步進逼的威脅」,要求陸軍比照冷戰時期面對蘇聯的方式,拿解放軍當標準來編組、訓練與配備。附錄也寫到,陸軍在第一島鏈(從日本、台灣延伸到菲律賓的島嶼帶)前沿部署的部隊,要在衝突第一天就能行動,近期優先興建燃料與彈藥的儲存設施。 現實中的演訓,已出現部分相同的裝備與地點,美國陸軍的中程飛彈系統 2024 年 4 月在演習期間首度部署到呂宋北部;2025 年美菲肩並肩演習期間,美國海軍陸戰隊把反艦飛彈系統運上巴丹島。指引裡寫著「台灣」的那段情境,陸軍的位置就在台灣南邊的呂宋島北部。
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美軍參謀首長聯席會議主席凱恩上將在 3 月 19 日說,A-10 攻擊機正在荷莫茲海峽攻擊伊朗革命衛隊的快速攻擊艇。這種飛機的正式名稱是雷霆二式,暱稱疣豬,從 2014 年起,美國空軍就多次提出要讓它全數退役。 它的源頭是 1966 年空軍啟動的 A-X 計畫,目標是一架專門做近接支援的攻擊機。整架飛機圍著一門 GAU-8 七管 30 公釐機砲設計,每分鐘可以射出 3,900 發;砲管要對準機身中心線,後座力才不會把機頭推歪,所以前起落架偏在一邊。座艙包著鈦合金裝甲,部隊叫它「浴缸」,設計目標是擋住最大到 23 公釐的高射砲火。2003 年 4 月 7 日,飛行員金・坎貝爾在巴格達上空被地面火力打中、液壓失效,她切換到機械備援操縱,把飛機飛回科威特的基地降落。 蘇聯也在同一時期發展自己的近接支援機蘇-25,最大的差別在砲,蘇-25 裝的是一門雙管 30 公釐機砲,A-10 則是整架飛機圍著七管大砲設計。 1991 年沙漠風暴之後,空軍協會的刊物寫 A-10 部隊被記功擊毀 987 輛坦克。1997 年美國國會審計署 GAO 的評估指出,對只有飛行員回報、沒有影像能確認的坦克擊毀宣稱,空軍分析人員統計時,A-10 每 3 輛只算 1 輛。 空軍在 2014 年提出的 2015 會計年度預算,要讓整個 A-10 機隊退役,國會擋下;之後幾年,空軍連年提,國會連年擋。 到了 2026 年對伊朗的行動,伊朗當地時間 4 月 3 日一架 F-15E 在伊朗上空被擊落,A-10 擔任戰鬥搜救中的 Sandy,負責現場指揮與掩護,飛進伊朗境內,在落地人員周圍做近距離壓制射擊。過程中一架 A-10 被敵火擊中,飛到科威特上空後飛行員彈射獲救。4 月 20 日,空軍部長米因克宣布 3 個 A-10 中隊延役,其中 2 個最晚飛到 2030 年。
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美軍參謀首長聯席會議主席凱恩上將在 3 月 19 日說,A-10 攻擊機正在荷莫茲海峽攻擊伊朗革命衛隊的快速攻擊艇。這種飛機的正式名稱是雷霆二式,暱稱疣豬,從 2014 年起,美國空軍就多次提出要讓它全數退役。 A-10 是 1970 年代為了在歐洲對付蘇聯坦克而設計的,整架飛機圍著一門 GAU-8 七管 30 公釐機砲打造,每分鐘可以射出 3,900 發;飛行員坐在鈦合金裝甲包起來的座艙裡,兩套液壓都被打壞時,還能切換成機械備援操縱飛回基地。代價是速度,依空軍資料,它最快每小時約 676 公里。 它最出名的一仗是 1991 年的沙漠風暴,空軍協會的刊物寫 A-10 部隊被記功擊毀 987 輛坦克。1997 年美國國會審計署 GAO 的評估卻指出,空軍分析人員統計時大幅打折了飛行員的回報,A-10 飛行員宣稱的坦克每 3 輛只算 1 輛;同一份報告也寫,A-10 晚上出動零損失,伊拉克戰俘說聯軍飛機裡最怕的就是 A-10 和 B-52。 空軍近年主張,A-10 速度慢,面對整合的現代防空網生存能力有限,也希望把經費與人力轉給其他機隊。空軍在 2025 年提出的 2026 會計年度預算,原本要求退掉剩下的 162 架,國會最後只准退部分機隊。 到了 2026 年對伊朗的「史詩怒火」行動,除了在海峽打快艇,A-10 也在 4 月擔任戰鬥搜救的 Sandy 掩護機,也就是在現場協調並掩護救援的角色,飛進伊朗境內,支援一架被擊落 F-15E 的兩名機組員,兩人分別在 4 月 3 日與 5 日獲救。過程中一架 A-10 被敵火擊中,飛到科威特上空後飛行員彈射獲救。 4 月 20 日,空軍部長米因克宣布 3 個 A-10 中隊延役,理由是在國防工業把戰機產量提升上來之前,先保住戰力。依空軍當時的規劃,約 54 架留到 2029 年,約 36 架飛到 2030 年,之後全部退役。9 月,最後一架 A-10 已經離開內華達州的內利斯空軍基地,戰鬥搜救的 Sandy 任務由誰接手,截至今年 5 月,空軍仍未指定接班機型。 [合作]主持人桌上配件由 MOFT 提供
🤝 Paid partnership
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公平會 10 月 21 日宣布,禁止 Grab 以 6 億美元收購 foodpanda 台灣的外送業務。Grab 是東南亞的叫車與外送平台,在台灣沒有既有的外送業務;交易完成後,它會接替 foodpanda,台灣外送市場仍然是它和 Uber Eats 兩家主要平台在競爭。公平會擋下這筆交易的理由,落在 Uber(@Uber)持有 Grab 約 13.1% 的股份上。 這是公平會兩年內第二次擋下 foodpanda 台灣的買家。2024 年 Uber 自己出價 9.5 億美元要買,公平會在當年 12 月 25 日禁止,時任副主委陳志民說明,兩家結合後市占率將超過 90%。Uber 沒有提行政訴訟,2025 年 3 月放棄交易,foodpanda 的母公司 Delivery Hero 隔年才找到 Grab 這個新買家。 Uber 和 Grab 的關係要從 2018 年算起。當年 Uber 把東南亞業務整個賣給 Grab,換得 Grab 27.5% 的股份,Uber 執行長也進了 Grab 集團的董事會。新加坡競爭主管機關事後調查,交易完成後,新加坡扣掉優惠的叫車車資漲了 10% 到 15%。公平會這次把這段寫進理由,認為雙方當年是在知道或應該知道違反競爭法的情況下,用難以回復原狀的方式完成交易。 13.1% 的持股,換成表決權更少。Grab 採雙重股權,照公平會的計算,Uber 的表決權只有 3.9%,無法直接決定 Grab 的競爭策略。它擔心的是持股改變了兩家的誘因。Grab 盈餘增加時,Uber 也能從持股中獲利;Uber Eats 若在台灣砸優惠搶 Grab 的客人,也可能減少 Grab 的獲利,間接影響 Uber 手上這筆投資的利益。Grab 也知道,對手 Uber Eats 的母公司就是自己的大股東。公平會認為,兩家就算不私下講好,也更容易預測對方、互相配合。 公平會也認為,台灣市場沒有第三股力量能打破這種默契。外送平台要同時拉到餐廳、外送員和消費者,需要投入大量資金,新業者短時間進不來,餐廳和消費者也缺乏足夠的力量制衡大型平台。 Grab 為了過關,提出稀釋 Uber 持股、限制 Uber 的人擔任 Grab 董事、限制交換競爭敏感資訊等承諾,Uber 執行長也在今年 7 月辭去 Grab 董事。公平會認為這些承諾無法確保真的執行,要化解疑慮,Uber 的持股必須進一步降低,甚至出清。公平會發言人在記者會上說明,表決是 3 票禁止、1 票主張附條件放行,另 1 位委員迴避。Grab 仍可在處分送達後 2 個月內直接提起行政訴訟,公平會也表示可以重新申報。 少數股權促成兩家聯手,已經有過前例,主角正是這次的賣方。Delivery Hero 在 2018 年買下西班牙外送平台 Glovo 15% 的股份,歐盟執委會後來查到兩家靠這層關係約定不挖對方員工、交換競爭敏感資訊,還在歐洲經濟區分割國別市場,2025 年 6 月罰兩家合計 3.29 億歐元。這是歐盟第一次處罰由少數股權促成的聯手限制競爭。歐盟是查到行為之後才罰,公平會這次判斷的則是交易之後可能出現的風險。 交易被擋下之後,foodpanda 台灣仍然屬於 Delivery Hero。Uber 今年 7 月與 Delivery Hero 簽約,提出公開收購要約,對 100% 股份推算的股權價值為 148 億美元。交易仍須達到最低接受門檻並取得監管核准,股東接受收購的期限是 11 月 5 日,預計 2027 年下半年交割。Uber 公布的收購市場名單裡沒有台灣。
🤝 Paid partnership
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In 2010, Steve Jobs said touch surfaces don't want to be vertical. After a while, "your arm wants to fall off." Sixteen years later, Apple's Greg Joswiak (@gregjoz) teased next week's event: "Can't wait to pro and tell next week." Bloomberg's Mark Gurman (@markgurman) watched the six-second teaser and wrote, "Obviously this is a finger touching a display and drawing on it." According to Gurman's reporting, the new MacBook Pro would be the first touchscreen Mac and the first Mac with an OLED main display. Reports say the keyboard and trackpad stay, touch is one more option, and Apple reinforced the hinge so a tap doesn't push the screen back. None of it has been announced yet. The hands-on event is October 28 in Los Angeles at 10 a.m. PT. #MacBookPro #Apple
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讓日本首相高市早苗(@takaichi_sanae)當晚緊急上 X 催大家更新的 PHP 漏洞,能實際利用的攻擊方法,是研究團隊在 AI 協助下找出來的。 8 月 11 日,資安公司 Calif(@calif_io)用 OpenAI 的模型檢查 PHP 原始碼,回報可以實際利用的攻擊方法,OpenAI 團隊同一天也獨立回報;Wiz(@wiz_io)8 天後也找到。之後兩個月,PHP 維護者主導修補,OpenAI 協助協調,Cloudflare 等業者先準備防護,原定 10 月 22 日公開,消息提前外流,PHP 只好在 10 月 21 日提早一天推出更新。 OpenAI(@OpenAI)把這段時間叫做「防守者的窗口」。總裁 Greg Brockman(@gdb)提到,未來可能要讓政府這類經過授權的防守者掃描網路、通知對方,極端情況下遠端修補,這些做法還在徵求意見。 如果你的網站有漏洞,經過授權的單位可以在極端情況下遠端幫你修補,你願意嗎? [合作]主持人桌上配件由 MOFT 提供
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蘋果(@Apple)10 月 28 日要在洛杉磯辦一場讓媒體現場上手的活動,以 Pro and tell 為標語,台灣時間是 10 月 29 日凌晨 1 點。蘋果全球行銷資深副總裁 Greg Joswiak(@gregjoz)10 月 19 日在 X 上預告「等不及下週的 Pro and tell 了」,把英文的 show and tell(小朋友帶東西到班上介紹)換成了 Pro。日文版邀請函的標語寫成「Proの晴れ舞台。」。蘋果還沒說要發表什麼。 預告片約 6 秒,畫面上一筆一筆畫出一顆發光的蘋果標誌。彭博社記者 Mark Gurman(@markgurman)看完寫道「這顯然是一根手指碰著螢幕,在上面畫」。 Gurman 在 2023 年 1 月就報導蘋果在開發觸控螢幕的 Mac;2025 年 10 月他再報導,蘋果在準備第一款觸控螢幕的 MacBook Pro,也會是第一款用 OLED 螢幕的 Mac。依報導,這款有 14 吋和 16 吋,鍵盤和觸控板都保留,觸控是多一種操作方式;為了讓手指點螢幕時畫面不往後晃,蘋果強化了轉軸和螢幕結構。這些目前都是報導,蘋果尚未證實。 這件事會被拿出來講,是因為賈伯斯反對過。2010 年 10 月 20 日的 Back to the Mac 發表會上,他說蘋果做了大量使用者測試,結論是觸控表面不適合直立;示範時效果很好,用一下就會累,用久了手臂像要掉下來,人體工學很糟。他說觸控表面該是水平的,所以蘋果把多點觸控做進筆電的觸控板。 賈伯斯也不是反對手指,2007 年發表第一代 iPhone 時,他問台下誰想要觸控筆,接著說我們生來就有最好的指向裝置,一人十根,就是手指。那句話講的是手機;講到 Mac 的直立螢幕,他在 2010 年的答案是不要。 從 2010 到 2026 年剛好 16 年,新 MacBook Pro 是不是真的能觸控,最終以蘋果正式公布為準。
🤝 Paid partnership
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日本首相高市早苗(@takaichi_sanae)10 月 21 日晚上在 X 發文,用「大至急」形容她的請求,請經營網站的人今晚就處理 PHP 的漏洞。 她寫道,PHP 安全團隊(@ThePHPF)對兩個重大漏洞發出警告,請大家確認自己公開的網站有沒有用到 PHP,做好準備,在日本時間當晚 11 點修補程式公開後盡快套用。如果沒辦法馬上更新,她說暫時把網站停掉,也是降低風險的有效做法之一。 PHP 是網站伺服器端最常用的程式語言之一,架站軟體 WordPress 就是用它寫的。調查網路技術使用狀況的 W3Techs 統計,能辨識出伺服器端語言的網站裡,大約 70% 用 PHP。一般網站使用者通常不會直接碰到它,但它一出問題,大量依賴 PHP 的網站都可能受到影響。 這兩個漏洞在 CVSS 4.0 評分裡都是 9.2 分,這套指標滿分 10 分,9 分以上屬於最嚴重的等級。PHP 官方說明,攻擊者不需要登入任何帳號,就有機會讓伺服器執行攻擊者指定的程式碼。在 Apache 搭配 mod_php 的架設方式下,已經有人示範過攻擊,網站自己的程式碼還沒開始跑,攻擊就觸發了。 照原本的安排,這些細節要等修補程式準備好才公開。資安公司 Huntress 整理,10 月 20 日早上,Hacker News 上出現一篇貼文,說兩個 PHP 重大漏洞即將揭露。貼文很快被撤下,截圖卻已經在社群平台流傳。資安公司 watchTowr 隨後證實漏洞是真的,還說原本訂好的公開時間是 10 月 22 日美東時間上午 11 點。 PHP 安全團隊當天發出預告,把修補時間提前到 10 月 21 日的世界協調時間 14:00,也就是日本晚上 11 點、台灣晚上 10 點。團隊也說,如果細節先曝光,或發現漏洞遭到實際利用的跡象,還會再提前。 21 日下午 1 點(日本時間,以下同),日本國家資安統括室在 X 上提醒各界準備。下午 4 點多,Cloudflare 技術長 Dane Knecht(@dok2001)說,他們已經觀察到初期的攻擊活動。 從下午起,日本的網路服務一家接一家宣布緊急維護。保育與教育機構使用的業務系統 CoDMON 直接停止全部服務,卡牌遊戲《Shadowverse: Worlds Beyond》和 Sakura 的租用伺服器服務,都預告從晚上 11 點起維護。 網路開店平台 BASE 原本排定晚上 10 點維護,後來提前到下午 3 點 50 分,一路維護到隔天早上 7 點。《賽馬娘》原本預告晚上 11 點開始,晚間 9 點多又把維護提前到 10 點。 高市早苗的貼文,是在晚上 9 點 55 分發出的。歐盟的 CERT-EU 與 Huntress 記錄,PHP 大約在晚上 10 點半釋出 8.5.12、8.4.27、8.3.36、8.2.35 四個修正版,比預告早了半小時左右,距離她發文大約 35 分鐘。官方在公告裡寫,沒有完整的緩解措施,更新是唯一安全的選擇。
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Elon Musk (@elonmusk) says there have been "a few times" he thought maybe Larry Page was right. Page once called Musk a speciesist for deciding that humans should always be in control of AI. In the first episode of his new podcast, The Builders, Walter Isaacson (@WalterIsaacson) asked Musk whether humans should always be in control. Musk said he'd "probably prefer it," but "it would depend on the AI." He also said it's hard to imagine humans staying in control if there were a million times more digital intelligence than biological intelligence. One idea he offered: since AIs are trained on everything online, write more utopian narratives for AI. Isaacson's 2023 biography places the Page argument at Musk's 2013 birthday party; other reports say it happened in 2015.
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On October 19, Elon Musk said he would give one of his own SpaceX shares to every child in America next year. President Trump said the shares would go into Trump Accounts. How they will be handed out hasn't been announced. If “every kid in America” means every U.S. resident under 18, then about 72 million people times SpaceX's October 16 close of roughly $146 would put the pledge above $10 billion. The rules: for eligible U.S. children born from 2025 through 2028, once a parent claims the account, the government deposits $1,000 once. Regular contributions can only go into funds that track the U.S. stock market, and the money is generally locked until 18. Family, friends, and employers can add up to $5,000 a year combined. We backtested it using historical S&P 500 returns, with 250 different starting months and an 18-year holding period. With just the government's $1,000, the median was about $4,000. With the family adding $5,000 every year, the median was about $227,000. Whatever the starting month, the worst result with yearly deposits was more than 10 times the best result with $1,000 alone. Investor Brad Gerstner (@altcap), who pushed for the accounts, has said it would be a failure if the bottom third of families didn't claim them. Early Treasury data from midyear, as summarized by the Urban Institute, suggested that about 39% of children eligible for the $1,000 pilot contribution had enrolled in the program. In Britain, which ran a similar program for eligible children born between September 2002 and January 2011, about one in five matured accounts still hasn't been claimed. In Israel's early years, nearly two-thirds of the richest fifth of families chose to double their child's savings, versus under one-third of the poorest fifth. Outside money helps, but only so much. Michael and Susan Dell pledged $250 apiece for 25 million children too old for the government's $1,000. Donations have to go to a whole group of children, with the same amount per child, so they can't match what one family adds every year. Taiwan, a democracy of 23 million, has three child-account models in play: a matched-savings account already running for children in low- or lower-middle-income households and those in long-term out-of-home placement; the opposition-backed Future Account Act, passed in July but not in effect after the premier refused to countersign it; and the cabinet's NT$5,000 (about $150) monthly growth allowance, half saved from age 6, which could start in January if the budget passes.
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馬斯克(@elonmusk)在傳記作者 Walter Isaacson(@WalterIsaacson)的新節目《The Builders》第一集說:「老實說,有幾次我想,也許 Larry Page 是對的。」 據 Isaacson 寫的《馬斯克傳》,2013 年兩人為 AI 吵起來,馬斯克主張人類要一直掌控 AI,被 Google 共同創辦人 Page 稱為物種主義者。 這次他說,大概還是比較希望人類掌控,但要看 AI;如果數位智慧是生物智慧的 100 萬倍,很難想像人類還能掌控。他認為的安全做法是讓 AI 追求真相、保持好奇,不要逼 AI 說謊。
🤝 Paid partnership
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Japan's H3 rocket lifted off from Tanegashima on October 20, carrying JAXA's (@JAXA_en) MMX spacecraft. JAXA describes MMX as the world's first sample-return mission to the Martian sphere. Its target, Phobos, is the larger of Mars's two moons. Phobos is about 17 miles along its longest side, roughly the north-south length of Taipei. Scientists still debate whether it's a captured asteroid or debris from a giant impact on Mars. Samples studied on Earth could help settle it. MMX is due to reach Mars next year and aims to return at least 10 grams, about the weight of two US nickels. On ESA's schedule, the capsule lands in Australia in 2031. China's Tianwen-3 also targets around 2031, from the surface of Mars, but hasn't launched yet. #MMX #Phobos
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