having the incredible fortune of pressing buttons for a living then shitting on everyone attempting the same
drawdown cycle signs
early: pnl annoyance/chasing, sizing up to erase last mistake
mid: willing to run from singapore to phuket and back to make it all go away
late: resignation, accepting multiyear comeback plan. changing pw to eatgruelgrind2046
yeah so accountability is key
trading drugs through the ages
citi/bofa: rails of coke under desk using paper plates in between potato gun fights because nobody cares. zero risk control, making too much money
cs/bnp: vikes and percs to drown out losses, nonsense, french accents
(1/2)
didnt think we would revisit the ancient breakout level this year.
no longer trade, but if i did i wouldnt use opts here.
teapawt.org/pnlcorrect/status/2011…
55% daily win rate
10% daily stop loss (momoing pnl)
50% average daily limit usage
1:1 win/loss ratio
yields
≈100% median cagr
while
enabling leverage from risk controls and consistency
risk on/off agnostic
building sample size and trajectory, semblance of a profession
currencies respond to vibe shifts. they are coins.
dont trust the industry of fx gigabrain explainers. do they make $15m on 3 sharpe?
401k opened at first job + years of contributions
purest representation of long term views
20+yr cagr below tbills
a reminder trading is a task and not an expression of personal views
teapawt.org/pnlcorrect/status/2042…
no idea when this xau move ends, but seen some exit because of 200dma revisit (reasonable on 1st touch) and "ppl lesser than me are long" (lame, surrendering agency, ngmi mindset)
to a passive observer id rather go w round number hold + inconvenient (circled) momentum
this is partially why i push for low status daytrading so often. its a controlled chaos workable compromise between the upside of letting loose and damage control.
but its also grueling and hard to adhere to beyond a certain pnl and age.
unlike some psychopaths ive met blessed with the temperament to trade forever into astronomical numbers, i knew i could never outrun my flaws and needed to quit while the going was good.





















