Founder of Machine Learning Week, author of "The AI Playbook" and the best-seller "Predictive Analytics," former Columbia U. professor, and Forbes contributor.
SF Bay Area
Joined May 2009
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Why should companies invest at least as much in #predictive AI as #genAI?
How do metrics like precision, recall, accuracy fail to demonstrate financial returns?
Why is my P(doom) is 0?
It was my pleasure appearing on the Ignite podcast with host and accomplished VC Brian Bell.
Your AI model can be 95% accurate and still be too dangerous to deploy.
Eric Siegel (@predictanalytic), co-founder of Gooder AI and author of The AI Playbook, has spent more than 35 years studying machine learning.
We discuss:
•Why companies should invest at least as much in predictive AI as generative AI.
•Why improving training data often delivers more business value than adding model complexity.
•How technical metrics like precision, recall, and accuracy fail to demonstrate actual financial returns.
•Why an AI system that's correct 95% of the time can still be commercially unusable.
•How predictive reliability layers can identify risky AI interactions and escalate them to humans.
•Why Siegel considers AI extinction scenarios another form of technology hype.
"my P doom is zero."
If an AI agent needs human oversight for its riskiest decisions, should we consider that a failure of autonomy or the smarter business model?
🎧 Watch, listen, and follow on your favorite platform: buff.ly/WVYymbO
💬 Join the conversation on your favorite social network: buff.ly/8atYlCQ
📝 Read the full episode breakdown on our blog: buff.ly/W99UUc2
Data teams, stop building #MLmodels that never ship. Stakeholders, stop funding science projects.
Get those predictive decision-making systems deployed.
My book, "The AI Playbook," presents the gold-standard, six-step framework for running predictive AI projects successfully.
Pre-order the paperback in the next four days and get the audiobook for free: machinelearningkeynote.com/t…
Harvard Business Review article that summarizes the bizML framework: predictiveanalyticsworld.com…
An epic battle has erupted between 𝗔𝗜 𝗴𝗹𝗶𝘁𝘇 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗔𝗜 𝘃𝗮𝗹𝘂𝗲. 𝘐𝘵’𝘴 𝘤𝘩𝘪𝘤 𝘷𝘦𝘳𝘴𝘶𝘴 𝘨𝘦𝘦𝘬.
The sheer usefulness of #predictiveAI holds a seductive appeal of its own—but, with the #genAI craze, 𝗶𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝗲𝗻𝗼𝘂𝗴𝗵 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝗶𝘁 𝘁𝗼 𝘀𝘂𝗿𝘃𝗶𝘃𝗲?
🤖 Made with AI
Read the full article (adapted from the new preface to the paperback edition of "The AI Playbook"): predictiveanalyticsworld.com…
Pre-order the paperback of "The AI Playbook" this week and receive the audiobook for free: machinelearningkeynote.com/t…
10 days remain on this free audiobook offer: Get the audiobook edition of my book "The AI Playbook" for free when you pre-order the new paperback edition, which ships in less than two weeks (with a new preface).
machinelearningkeynote.com/t…
It was a pleasure appearing on "Speak to an Agent." We explored my love/hate with #Jev: 1) our shared great admiration for its offering and how it has made #predictiveAI deservingly hot again, and 0) the intense slickness of its marketing
youtube.com/watch?v=4U-ekqrt…
Listen to the latest episode of "The Dr. Data Show," in which I narrates my article:
#Jev Fever: #PredictiveAI Is Superhot Again
A new breed of models has rejuvenated predictive AI. But successful deployment demands a new business-value playbook.
doctordatashow.com/e/jev-fev…
AI users are pouncing on the new predictive capabilities of #Jev and its competitors. But to make money with Jev, you must also "valuate" it for your project.
forbes.com/sites/ericsiegel/…
Eric Siegel retweeted
AI has become the default answer to every business problem.
@predictanalytic machine learning expert and author of The AI Playbook, says start with the outcome instead.
Out now on Digital Disruption, on all platforms. Link below.
#TechPodcast
Let's discuss the two “wows” of AI: impressive demos vs. deployment. We rarely get to the second wow, for either #predictiveAI or #generativeAI.
It was a pleasure appearing on Digital Disruption with Geoff Nielson. Check it out: youtu.be/O26f4PZNWn4
A new breed of models has rejuvenated #predictiveAI. But successful deployment demands a new business-value playbook.
A new industry-darling model called #Jev has caught on like wildfire...
Read the full article, my latest in @Forbes:
forbes.com/sites/ericsiegel/…
On The AI Exchange podcast, I claimed that AI is overvalued by a factor of 10-20, and did my best to back that up! We also discussed #AGI, the difference between #predictiveAI and #generativeAI, and much more. It was a pleasure.
Watch the full episode: youtu.be/PHigwYyBvkg
Listen to the new preface to my book "The AI Playbook":
Predictive AI Thrives, Despite Generative AI Stealing the Spotlight
This is the new preface to the book's paperback edition.
doctordatashow.com/e/genai-o…
My book is coming out in paperback, with a new preface:
𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗔𝗜 𝗣𝗹𝗮𝘆𝗯𝗼𝗼𝗸
𝘌𝘯𝘥𝘰𝘳𝘴𝘦𝘥 𝘣𝘺 𝘚𝘤𝘰𝘵𝘵 𝘎𝘢𝘭𝘭𝘰𝘸𝘢𝘺, 𝘔𝘶𝘴𝘵𝘢𝘧𝘢 𝘚𝘶𝘭𝘦𝘺𝘮𝘢𝘯, etc.
𝗣𝗿𝗲-𝗼𝗿𝗱𝗲𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗽𝗮𝗽𝗲𝗿𝗯𝗮𝗰𝗸 𝗻𝗼𝘄: bizML.com
Don't Let #GenAI's Glitz Distract From #PredictiveAI’s Low-Hanging Fruit
Predictive AI remains as economically important as ever, and its emerging role in making genAI reliable further expands its importance.
Read the article, my latest in @Forbes:
forbes.com/sites/ericsiegel/…
Special offer: Pre-order the paperback edition of my book "The AI Playbook" – shipping October 27, 2026 – and receive a free copy of the audiobook version now.
You'll also receive the audiobook for book "Predictive Analytics."
machinelearningkeynote.com/t…