
Building @VerumData | Ex Microsoft & Salesforce | Favorite Band: @theholdsteady
San Carlos, CA
Joined February 2009
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The "white collar hiring spree" claim is a myth.
We had a recession, and once the economy improved, employment reverted back to longer term trends.
That trend broke down as the Fed approached peak rates, and the gap has been widening since.
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I’ve been saying this for a while, the companies who benefit the most from AI spend the least
Spoke to a sales person at one of the hyperscalers.
It's becoming increasingly difficult to sell "AI" to Enterprises as they still don't understand the use cases which will have ROI.
Other than multiple PoCs and small scale initiatives, it's hard to sell BIG Enterprise stuff, and the AI sales function at the hyperscalers are under tremendous pressure to come up with and convert deals.
It was quite interesting to hear it.
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AI can’t replace humans quickly enough
The newer generations are unemployable, so I shut down a business yesterday.
I have many small businesses I got involved in, one is a Saltwater fish store. It sells fish, corals, aquariums etc.
The most profitable part of one of these stores is outside Maintenance. Going to peoples houses, changing the fish tanks water, cleaning glass etc.
This is a very simple job, you run a hose in from the truck, suck water out, pump water in (nothing manual), and use a magnetic razor blade to clean the glass. Take a water sample and leave.
We had 4 trucks and 6 guys doing this... then 5, 4, 3... each person that quit put more work on the ones left.
We tried to hire, it's a very low skill job. Most maintenance guys make $15-18 an hour. We went upto $35 an hour to try and get people. Beyond that we cannot be profitable.
The job is easy, you have to have a license (actually hard as hell apparently), and pass a background check (youre in peoples homes, also hard as hell). Pass a drug test.
At $35 an hour we got the following.
Someone that caused almost 8k of damage when they started pumping in water, went out "for a smoke" and the tank overflowed.
At least 5 hires that went through background tests, drug tests etc then didn't show for work the 1st day and never called us again.
Someone that intentionally pulled the guard off the water pumping hose, and sucked someones fish into the pump.
Someone that scratched the District Attourney of las vegas, Steve Wolfson's tank by deciding to not use the magnetic razor, and "do it by hand"... fo no fucking reason. (4k bill)
A wrecked van
Someone who stole our water tester (1500 dollar machine).
I have no empathy, at least in Las Vegas, for people complaining about no work, no jobs blah blah blah.
$6000 a month to put hoses in and out of a tank and look at pretty fish.
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People should be cloning services with AI, not software
The new SaaS is Services as a Software
4 months ago I cloned Airtable for a client in 5 days because they refused to pay Airtable $500/mo
months later, I’m still maintaining it
every two weeks it’s another edge case, a UI tweak, or a "quick 10-minute request." They’ve easily spent 10x more in headaches than the $2,000 they would’ve paid Airtable
just proving that SaaS isn't dead. Cloning isn't enough, if you want it to be same quality as original it becomes a full time job
and at this point isn't it easier to just pay?
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As if I needed more reason to give @OpenAI compute, @AnthropicAI "safeguards" flagged my locally hosted personal infrastructure project.
Even data plumbing is considered dangerous to these people.
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If you lay people off due to AI, you will be held to a higher standard.
Replying to @brian_armstrong
just get your nontechnical employees to vibecode a quick fix to the overheating and we're good to go. sorted ship it let's go
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Putting E-Z Pass on the Mt. Rushmore of tech is what I'd expect from Kara Swisher at Vox, not Ben Thompson at Stratechery.
Five Questions on Apple at 50 Years Old, The Axios Hack and AI Security, Q&A on Starlink, AI IPOs, AirPods
sharptech.fm/member/episode/…
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Because the bottleneck is distribution
A contradiction:
Many developers (incl ones I know) are claiming 10-100x productivity gains via LLM.
Almost none of them are quitting their jobs to prove it in the free market.
If AI is *that* good, the time to turn founder is now isn't it? Why not take advantage of the lead?
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