Fighting against antisemitism and for the truth. Debunking misinformation about the Gaza war by doing investigations and evidence based journalism and reports.

Traveling around Europe
Joined August 2021
Bibi calming for an investigation about the Arab votes in the Israeli election.
הליכוד: הבחירות במדינת ישראל נגנבו על ידי מפלגות ערביות שתומכות בטרור ובחיסול המדינה היהודית באמצעות עבירות פליליות חמורות של שוחד, איומים, אלימות, זיופים ושימוש בתוכנות אסורות להמרצת מצביעים. מפלגת הליכוד מעבירה למשטרה, לשב״כ ולוועדת הבחירות מאות עדויות וראיות על גניבת בחירות בקלפיות ערביות רבות- אלפי מעטפות עם כסף מזומן ופתקי רע״ם, איומים ואלימות כלפי חברי הקלפי, ריבוי מצביעים מאחורי הפרגוד, הצבעות בזהות כפולה, פערים בין מספר המעטפות למספר המצביעים, שימוש בתוכנות המרצה אסורות ועוד. אנו דורשים מהמשטרה ומהשב״כ חקירה יסודית בגין גניבת הבחירות על ידי המפלגות הערביות ומיצוי הדין עם העבריינים. אנו דורשים מוועדת הבחירות התייחסות מיידית לחקירת העבירות הפליליות הללו שפגעו באופן קיצוני בטוהר הבחירות בישראל ובתוצאות הבחירות. זו פגיעה חמורה בדמוקרטיה הישראלית ובזכות הבחירה של אזרחי ישראל. גופי האכיפה מוכרחים לפעול ביד קשה ובאופן מיידי.
37
Ana ‘temper tantrum’ Kasparian caught lying again. Some “journalist” 😂
260
478
35
4,130
195,927
Holy shit. More evidence of Qatar brining the media.
HUGE: KIND founder and Shark @DanielLubetzky says Semafor's CEO once bragged to him about getting millions from Qatar to "train journalists," for work costing a tiny fraction of that. He says it felt to him like a bribe. Exactly what my thread laid out.
1
2
73
This right here is so important. Also the fact thst in war nine out of ten deaths are normally civilans, with the largest numbers conning from the bad conditions that comes with war. In Gaza everyone is directly in the war zone, but the rate of natural deaths and births stayed at pre war levels and the rate of miscarriages where lower than pre-war. At the same time: the deaths related to malnutrition in Gaza often had pre-existing conditions as cause. During the so called famine in Gaza 75% of the deaths were adults, mostly over 60 in age, and they died of heart failures. Normally in a famine it is expected that between 1/2 to 2/3 of all malnutrition related deaths are children under five years old. In Gaza during this period it was 25%, and that also included children all the way up to 18 years old. xitter.cf/EYakoby/status/2115447…
🚨 Gaza’s own 2025 health data demolishes the narrative of both famine and claims of horrible life conditions during the war. This is some of the most important details we know: 1. Malnutrition amoung children under five years old, the most vulnerable age group, showed GAM (WHZ) = 0.5%, which is lower than Germany & Finland. 2. Stunting (May 2026): 12.2% (up from 9% pre-war), lower than Egypt & Morocco that are not in war, and around half the global average. That is a long term evidence that shows no widespread starvation took place the years before. 3. Neonatal mortality (children who dies first 28 days after births) = 9.1/1,000 people (up from 6–7 pre-war and still clearly better than most Arab neighbors). 4. Low birth weight: 10% (same as in 2020). 5. Miscarriages: lower than 2022 and the ratesclosely follows the number of children being born months later. This shows reports about much higher rates was actually just more women being pregnant. 6. 98.4% of births occurs in hospitals, meaning a still working healthcare system. 7. The first year of the war had 60,000 births (compared to an average of 56,139/year 2018-2022). In 2025 the number was over 50,000. However, the births followed expected seasonal patterns and also stayed at the expected pre-war rates of accounting for the number of people that left Gaza and the deaths (image 1). 8. Population rose during the war period by MoH’s own figures, with many tens of thousands and around 72,000 until September 2026, if comparing births vs deaths. 9. No famine occurred and none of IPC’s own thresholds were even close to be met. 10. Malnutrition deaths stayed very low compared to what IPCs Phase 3-5 classifications predicted (image 2). Gaza MoH reported 407 deaths in 2025 according but their own data shows that many of these didn't have malnutrition, some even died of violent attacks, and their 2025 report actually only indicates around 280 malnutrition related deaths during the year. A large share of the reported "malnutrition deaths" involved pre-existing conditions, not starvation that came from lack of food. 11. In every other famine in the world mostly children under the age of 5 dies. The normal rate is around 1/2 to 2/3 of the deaths, like IPCs guidelines says, famine experts and data from famines. In Gaza during the famine claims in 2025 75% of the malnutrition related deaths where adults even though Gaza has one of the youngest populations in the world (image 3). That's because Gaza MoH added many eldery who died of heart related causes. 12. Thousands of accidents are also included in the death toll, in additions to terrorists killed inside Israel participating in the October 7 attack. This even though this death toll figure it is presented as only including violent deaths by Israel in Gaza. 13. Much more food entered Gaza during the war than pre-war (image 4), 114 food trucks/day on average in 2024, 116/day in the first half of 2025 and then hundreds more in the second half of 2025 abd 2026. That in comparison to 2015-2023 when the pre war average was 73 food trucks/day and that included food that were much less kcal dense. 14. By 2025, natural deaths (including malnutrition) weren’t even meaningfully above pre-war levels. Meaning: No mass starvation. No collapsed health. No demographic collapse. The official data from Gaza itself says the opposite of the media story. No genocide.
5
1
12
308
🚨THE OFFICIAL POPULATION NUMBERS IN GAZA ARE FALSE, AND HERE IS 100% PROOF! From 2018 to 2025 The Palestinian Central Bureau of Statistics (PCBS) has inflated the population number of Gaza with a huge amount. This thread will primarily do a deep dive into the pre-war population numbers from 2018-2022 and provide very strong evidence, by official data and calculations, which shows that PCBS has inflated the population numbers by a lot. That is a huge problem because these population numbers PCBS present to the world and then the media, UN and research reports are then using these numbers as established fact which of they make all their calculations and assumptions from. The number that is primarily used by PCBS, UN, media and by researchers is that 2.23 million people lived in Gaza when the war started in 2023. However, the actual population number was around 150,000 lower than that, with around 2.08 million people living there at around when the war started. This is a difference of around 7%.
3
14
2
27
3,154
Summary of all the recent findings: xitter.cf/seekersomething/status…
🚨 Gaza’s own 2025 health data demolishes the narrative of both famine and claims of horrible life conditions during the war. This is some of the most important details we know: 1. Malnutrition amoung children under five years old, the most vulnerable age group, showed GAM (WHZ) = 0.5%, which is lower than Germany & Finland. 2. Stunting (May 2026): 12.2% (up from 9% pre-war), lower than Egypt & Morocco that are not in war, and around half the global average. That is a long term evidence that shows no widespread starvation took place the years before. 3. Neonatal mortality (children who dies first 28 days after births) = 9.1/1,000 people (up from 6–7 pre-war and still clearly better than most Arab neighbors). 4. Low birth weight: 10% (same as in 2020). 5. Miscarriages: lower than 2022 and the ratesclosely follows the number of children being born months later. This shows reports about much higher rates was actually just more women being pregnant. 6. 98.4% of births occurs in hospitals, meaning a still working healthcare system. 7. The first year of the war had 60,000 births (compared to an average of 56,139/year 2018-2022). In 2025 the number was over 50,000. However, the births followed expected seasonal patterns and also stayed at the expected pre-war rates of accounting for the number of people that left Gaza and the deaths (image 1). 8. Population rose during the war period by MoH’s own figures, with many tens of thousands and around 72,000 until September 2026, if comparing births vs deaths. 9. No famine occurred and none of IPC’s own thresholds were even close to be met. 10. Malnutrition deaths stayed very low compared to what IPCs Phase 3-5 classifications predicted (image 2). Gaza MoH reported 407 deaths in 2025 according but their own data shows that many of these didn't have malnutrition, some even died of violent attacks, and their 2025 report actually only indicates around 280 malnutrition related deaths during the year. A large share of the reported "malnutrition deaths" involved pre-existing conditions, not starvation that came from lack of food. 11. In every other famine in the world mostly children under the age of 5 dies. The normal rate is around 1/2 to 2/3 of the deaths, like IPCs guidelines says, famine experts and data from famines. In Gaza during the famine claims in 2025 75% of the malnutrition related deaths where adults even though Gaza has one of the youngest populations in the world (image 3). That's because Gaza MoH added many eldery who died of heart related causes. 12. Thousands of accidents are also included in the death toll, in additions to terrorists killed inside Israel participating in the October 7 attack. This even though this death toll figure it is presented as only including violent deaths by Israel in Gaza. 13. Much more food entered Gaza during the war than pre-war (image 4), 114 food trucks/day on average in 2024, 116/day in the first half of 2025 and then hundreds more in the second half of 2025 abd 2026. That in comparison to 2015-2023 when the pre war average was 73 food trucks/day and that included food that were much less kcal dense. 14. By 2025, natural deaths (including malnutrition) weren’t even meaningfully above pre-war levels. Meaning: No mass starvation. No collapsed health. No demographic collapse. The official data from Gaza itself says the opposite of the media story. No genocide.
50
Last week I made an investigation into the population numbers of Gaza from 2018-2022, where I found clear evidence that the Palestinian Bureau of Statistics (PCBS) without a doubt increased the population number of Gaza with 120,000 people more than the official birth, death and immigration statistics show that it was wcwn possible. In fact, the official birth numbers were smaller than the total growth, which is impossible when when the migration is negative. When counting births, deaths and people leaving Gaza (which were over 81,000 during this five year period), the population during these years should have been much lower than what PCBS has used as the official population number for Gaza. But that was all assuming the last population counting in 2017, was all correct and that PCBS didn't already use a false baseline from that year onwards. I have now extended the investigation and looked at the population numbers from 2007-2023, in both Gaza and the West Bank. Because UN or any other sources doesn't present clear data of people leaving Gaza and West Bank before 2017, it was much harder to find and process the numbers for this period. However, when looking at earlier research and making estimates from that, my findings didn't show the same kind of difference before 2018 as I had expected. My expectation was that PCBS would have manufactured the population numbers for the West Bank in the same way as in Gaza between 2018-2022, and that in Gaza maybe the difference would have been three times as large when the time period was 15 years instead of 5 years. But for the West Bank the difference from the official population data, together with the official data of births, deaths and estimates on net migration based on others earlier research, was negligible and seemly non existent. However, for Gaza the difference was substantial, even though not as large as I had expected. The final difference was a population just above 200,000 higher increase in Gaza according to PCBS official population numbers, in these 15 years, than births, deaths and net migration together could have given. My expectation was around 300-400,000 in Gaza, and maybe even higher numbers in the West Bank because of its higher population. But it only seems like they clearly fabricate the population data of Gaza, and by around 90,000 between 2007-2017 and then around 110,000 from 2018-2022. However, this is also using PCBS birth data and between only during 2018-2022 their birth numbers where around 7,500 higher than Gaza MoH births, and seems to include non-live births also. And Gaza MoH also had lower death counts than PCBS. The difference from 2018-2022 was around 10,000 more, at 120,000, when using Gaza MoH numbers instead of PCBS number, for birth and deaths. There is therefore likely that PCBS inflates some of the births and lowers the deaths, in the official statistics and that the final number for both Gaza and the West Bank was somewhat larger than 203,157 for Gaza and -2,122 for the West Bank. Full table of calculations below:
14
Last week I made an investigation into the population numbers of Gaza from 2018-2022, where I found clear evidence that the Palestinian Bureau of Statistics (PCBS) without a doubt increased the population number of Gaza with 120,000 people more than the official birth, death and immigration statistics show that it was wcwn possible. In fact, the official birth numbers were smaller than the total growth, which is impossible when when the migration is negative. When counting births, deaths and people leaving Gaza (which were over 81,000 during this five year period), the population during these years should have been much lower than what PCBS has used as the official population number for Gaza. But that was all assuming the last population counting in 2017, was all correct and that PCBS didn't already use a false baseline from that year onwards. I have now extended the investigation and looked at the population numbers from 2007-2023, in both Gaza and the West Bank. Because UN or any other sources doesn't present clear data of people leaving Gaza and West Bank before 2017, it was much harder to find and process the numbers for this period. However, when looking at earlier research and making estimates from that, my findings didn't show the same kind of difference before 2018 as I had expected. My expectation was that PCBS would have manufactured the population numbers for the West Bank in the same way as in Gaza between 2018-2022, and that in Gaza maybe the difference would have been three times as large when the time period was 15 years instead of 5 years. But for the West Bank the difference from the official population data, together with the official data of births, deaths and estimates on net migration based on others earlier research, was negligible and seemly non existent. However, for Gaza the difference was substantial, even though not as large as I had expected. The final difference was a population just above 200,000 higher increase in Gaza according to PCBS official population numbers, in these 15 years, than births, deaths and net migration together could have given. My expectation was around 300-400,000 in Gaza, and maybe even higher numbers in the West Bank because of its higher population. But it only seems like they clearly fabricate the population data of Gaza, and by around 90,000 between 2007-2017 and then around 110,000 from 2018-2022. However, this is also using PCBS birth data and between only during 2018-2022 their birth numbers where around 7,500 higher than Gaza MoH births, and seems to include non-live births also. And Gaza MoH also had lower death counts than PCBS. The difference from 2018-2022 was around 10,000 more, at 120,000, when using Gaza MoH numbers instead of PCBS number, for birth and deaths. There is therefore likely that PCBS inflates some of the births and lowers the deaths, in the official statistics and that the final number for both Gaza and the West Bank was somewhat larger than 203,157 for Gaza and -2,122 for the West Bank. Full table of calculations below:
🚨THE OFFICIAL POPULATION NUMBERS IN GAZA ARE FALSE, AND HERE IS 100% PROOF! From 2018 to 2025 The Palestinian Central Bureau of Statistics (PCBS) has inflated the population number of Gaza with a huge amount. This thread will primarily do a deep dive into the pre-war population numbers from 2018-2022 and provide very strong evidence, by official data and calculations, which shows that PCBS has inflated the population numbers by a lot. That is a huge problem because these population numbers PCBS present to the world and then the media, UN and research reports are then using these numbers as established fact which of they make all their calculations and assumptions from. The number that is primarily used by PCBS, UN, media and by researchers is that 2.23 million people lived in Gaza when the war started in 2023. However, the actual population number was around 150,000 lower than that, with around 2.08 million people living there at around when the war started. This is a difference of around 7%.
4
2
8
309
War Detective retweeted
Good that I added “who knows” 🫠 With 72% of the count done, the “right wing polls” look much better than the mainstream ones arguably, and esp i24 basically spot on correct. Rather embarrassing for Ch11/12/14. What does this mean for Netanyahu? He has a pretty good chance to stay in office, at least for now. The opposition block is far from a plurality, so even the Arab parties abstaining wouldn’t get them into office. If the below is the end result even Ra’am (who already were part of a govt in 2021) joining and the Arab List abstaining wouldn’t give a majority. So unless something dramatically changes, it looks likely that Netanyahu will either remain as caretaker for ~6 months until new elections or he manages to build a cross block majority, maybe with some power-sharing agreement, though that won’t be an easy sell either. The one bright spot: given the opposition in total has a clear majority at least they can, and likely will, at least pass a state commission of inquiry into October 7th and maybe a few other key laws.
Utterly insane divergence of exit polls. Really not something that should even be possible with proper methodology. Someone’s seriously cooking the books and will get a rather rude awakening (Ch14 I guess but who knows).
3
4
5
739
War Detective retweeted
UNBELIEVABLE 😵‍💫 Man Arrested in England for Shouting “Come On, England!” Near Pro-Palestinian Protest In England, a man walking near a pro-Palestinian demonstration was arrested by police after simply shouting, “Come on, England! Come on, England!”
79
253
18
687
18,363
War Detective retweeted
Jews: 0.2% of the World Population, yet make up 222 Nobel Prizes. Muslims: 24% of the World Population, yet make up 4 Nobel Prizes. (Arabs have 8 Nobel Prizes). What is the part you don't understand?
51
115
7
1,163
13,423
War Detective retweeted
BREAKING: Israeli elections have ended and the exit polls are in. All three Israeli channels have Netanyahu's bloc at 50. Eisenkot's bloc is at 52 or 53. The Arab parties are at 17 or 18, the most seats they have ever won. Likud finished first with 24 or 25. Yashar is second with 21 to 23. Bennett has 12 to 14. Nobody has 61. Netanyahu cannot form a government without Bennett, and Eisenkot cannot form one without either Bennett or the Arab parties. Israel had the highest turnout in its history today, and the country is still split down the middle.
111
532
78
1,825
400,672
War Detective retweeted
Your sister party is the Democrats, @magdandersson? That’s funny because 13 years ago your predecessor party leader Stefan Löfven said that Fatah (the Palestinian party that carried out terrorist attacks against Israelis) was your sister party.
Tomorrow, Israel goes to the polls. Our sister party, the Democrats, is led by Yair Golan, an impressive man who on 7 October 2023 rescued survivors from the massacre at the Nova music festival. I wish him success in tomorrow's election.
13
126
3
818
15,749
War Detective retweeted
SURPRISE SURPRISE
44
466
15
1,761
11,412
Chaos in polling station.
Unusual footage: Violence near a polling station in Rahat.
92
War Detective retweeted
When we take power, we are immediately arresting and jailing all Zionists.
89
1,276
16
15,273
148,048
Did you know that births in Gaza, during the war and after, didn't not drastically fell like often portrayed like in the media these last couple of years? And did you know that the rate of miscarriages didn't rise to record levels, as also seen in the media. It is false. The births has during the war followed seasonal trends and spikes during the war. In 2023 and 2024 the births were clearly higher than pre-war. During 2025 and so far 2026, the births has fallen by around the same amount as expected when 110,000 people had left Gaza until June 2024 and 150,000 until May 2025. This does not happen in the direct affected war zone, in any other wars in the world. In relatively against pre war numbers, the births were higher and the miscarriages lower, than pre-war levels.
BIRTHS, EXPECTED BIRTHS AND MISCARRIAGES IN GAZA 2025-2026 I have here combined the number of births (blue) and miscarriages (grey) in Gaza January 2025 to September 2026, with the rate of expected births (yellow) and the pre-war adjusted number of miscarriages (red). Miscarriages (red): The adjusted number of miscarriages during the period (red) is based on the fact that in Gaza the rate of before the war was around 137-140 miscarriages per 1,000 live births, or 13.7-14%. That gives 100/14=7.1, which means that for each miscarriage around 7.1 live births occurred pre-war. This number is then multiplied to the rate of miscarriages and then adjusted 6 months forward in time, because most miscarriages occurs in the beginning of a pregnancy, not the end of one. This together gives a line that is comparable to the number of births we saw, with a overall clearly lower rate of miscarriages than occurred in 2025-2026 and that is the only period we have exact data of births and misscarrys, since the war began in October 2023. Expected number of births (yellow): The expected number of births (yellow) is based on the average of the seasonal fluctuation in birth numbers that can be seen in the only monthly pre-war Gaza MoH data available, from 2019, 2021 and 2022. This data clearly shows that the birth numbers where much lower in February to June during these year. That is normal because February is the shortest month of the year and this period also follows nine months after the extremely warm summer months, where fewer people want to be "close to each other". In addition, these birth numbers where also adjusted monthly after the number of people leaving Gaza in this period, 110,000 until June 2024 and 150,000 until May 2025, in addition to the loss in population because of violent and natural deaths (only makes tiny differences). What this means: When these dips in births also occurred in February to June in 2025 and 2026, during the current conflict, Gaza MoH, the media, NGOs and the UN all has reported it as enormous fall in births that took place because of horrible life conditions in Gaza. But as seen, they has mostly followed the seasonal average and when more intents fighting took place, sometimes higher, sometimes lower but it is not showing any indications of horrible life conditions. When it comes to miscarriages the rate has even been lower in comparison to what was expected. If it had followed the blue line it would have followed the pre-war average of miscarriages per live birth. Now it is clearly lower, meaning the rate has fallen.
1
4
23
669
Important context to the destruction of Gaza, in this thread. When the average was almost two destroyed structures per death, that clearly indicates that IDF didn't destroy to kill as many as possible. They destroyed for military objectives, to kill terrorist, to destroy weapons and the evacuations saved so many lives.
📊HOW MUCH OF GAZA WAS DESTROYED DURING THE WAR AND HOW MANY DEATHS/INJURIES OCCURRED AT THE SAME PERIOD OF TIME? After two years of fighting, when the war ended on 10 October 2025, 123,464 structures out of Gazas 245,000 pre-war structures had been destroyed according to UN damage assessment. That is 50.4% of the structures that Gaza had before the war started. As seen on the satellite images from Gaza, shared in my thread below, most of the destroyed areas are close to the Israeli border. And when it comes to the major cities in Gaza, except for Rafah, most of the city centers are still intact. 50.4% of structures destroyed, but that covers more of the smaller structures in Gaza than the larger inner city ones, according to satellite images from Gaza, and that is missed when looking at the overall destruction numbers. But how did the destruction actually match the death toll and the injures? I have matched the available UN damage assessments from 2023 (Oct and Nov), 2024 (Jan, Feb, Apr, May, July, Sep and Dec) and 2025 (Apr, July and Oct), with the number of deaths and injures at the same curve. This is seen in the two graphs below. Note: 1. First, the damage assessments are most often from the end of the month. However, it not always 100% direct comparable at all times to the casualties. 2. Second, the boxes without a number in the upper graph are averages, based on the closest UN damage assessment before and after. 3. Third, the black number in the top are total numbers for all destroyed and damaged structures together, and the same for injuries and deaths, while the red numbers is the confirmed destroyed buildings and deaths. 4. The death toll includes is what Gaza MoH counts as violent deaths. However, they also includes accidents in that number. Of these violent deaths at least 3-4,000 are accidents. What can be seen here? The amount of destruction of course follows the casualties mostly pretty closely. The two first months had lower destruction in comparison to deaths, 21.4% vs 26.52%. In the end of January 2024, when 45.33% of the deaths had occurred, the destruction where at 39.6%. Then they followed closer the rest of the war. Around 0.7 structures, that most often includes several or many housing units per structure, were damaged or destroyed per casualty (including both deaths and injures). 174,437 structures in comparison to 242,856 cautalites in total. At the same time, 122,464 structures were destroyed in comparison to 72,166 deaths in total, which is a rate of around 0.41 deaths per destroyed structure. That is a very low ratio of deaths in comparison to how the rate of destruction was. Several things are clear from this: 1. If Israel wanted to kill or injure as many Gazans as possible, the rate of casualties, and especially the rate of deaths, would have been much higher than the amount of destroyed structures. That is clear. 2. If Israel wanted to kill as many as possible, and also didn't have any related military objectives, they would have destroyed the inner cities of the larger cities in the Gaza Strip. Not just primarily the structures at the border to Egypt, that was used for smuggling, and the smaller structures that were closer to Israel and the structures in the outskirts of the largest cities, that indicates typical urban warfare patterns. 3. Israel has the capability to kill people if the wanted. The statistics show they didn't want to. The demographics of the death toll heavily indicates around 30,000 fighters dead. 4. Gaza already had huge problem with limited groundwater, over-usage and saltwater intrusion. Destroyed structures, and especially terror tunnels, will always make water supply harder. It is often portrayed as limited water supply is Israel's fault but it mostly comes from the fact that Gaza is a very small area, that is a desert, heavily over populated, where Hamas has used a large part of the civilian infrastructure for terror purposes.
2
5
25
615
War Detective retweeted
A review of the Airwars incident report shows how over time, based on Hamas & PIJ martyr notices, what was initially reported as "civilian only" turns out to have killed combatants, several commander level. I will bet this number goes to 10+ eventually. airwars.org/incidents/ispt00…
20
2
143
2,525
War Detective retweeted
BIRTHS, EXPECTED BIRTHS AND MISCARRIAGES IN GAZA 2025-2026 I have here combined the number of births (blue) and miscarriages (grey) in Gaza January 2025 to September 2026, with the rate of expected births (yellow) and the pre-war adjusted number of miscarriages (red). Miscarriages (red): The adjusted number of miscarriages during the period (red) is based on the fact that in Gaza the rate of before the war was around 137-140 miscarriages per 1,000 live births, or 13.7-14%. That gives 100/14=7.1, which means that for each miscarriage around 7.1 live births occurred pre-war. This number is then multiplied to the rate of miscarriages and then adjusted 6 months forward in time, because most miscarriages occurs in the beginning of a pregnancy, not the end of one. This together gives a line that is comparable to the number of births we saw, with a overall clearly lower rate of miscarriages than occurred in 2025-2026 and that is the only period we have exact data of births and misscarrys, since the war began in October 2023. Expected number of births (yellow): The expected number of births (yellow) is based on the average of the seasonal fluctuation in birth numbers that can be seen in the only monthly pre-war Gaza MoH data available, from 2019, 2021 and 2022. This data clearly shows that the birth numbers where much lower in February to June during these year. That is normal because February is the shortest month of the year and this period also follows nine months after the extremely warm summer months, where fewer people want to be "close to each other". In addition, these birth numbers where also adjusted monthly after the number of people leaving Gaza in this period, 110,000 until June 2024 and 150,000 until May 2025, in addition to the loss in population because of violent and natural deaths (only makes tiny differences). What this means: When these dips in births also occurred in February to June in 2025 and 2026, during the current conflict, Gaza MoH, the media, NGOs and the UN all has reported it as enormous fall in births that took place because of horrible life conditions in Gaza. But as seen, they has mostly followed the seasonal average and when more intents fighting took place, sometimes higher, sometimes lower but it is not showing any indications of horrible life conditions. When it comes to miscarriages the rate has even been lower in comparison to what was expected. If it had followed the blue line it would have followed the pre-war average of miscarriages per live birth. Now it is clearly lower, meaning the rate has fallen.
🚨THE RATE OF MISCARRIAGES IN GAZA WERE ACTUALLY LOWER IN 2025 AND 2026 IN COMPARISON TO PRE-WAR LEVELS Pre-war the rate of miscarriages in Gaza were 140 per 1,000 births in 2022, or 14% of the total pregnancies. During the war we have heard over and over again that the miscarriages has been skyrocketing in Gaza, with claims of 460 miscarriages per 1,000 births, and that is one of the biggest arguments of the Genocide accusations against Israel and South Africa's Genocide ICJ case. middleeasteye.net/news/war-c… However, as everything else when it comes to what is said about the humanitarian situation in Gaza, that claim is not actually true. 14% miscarriages tells us that 7.1 times as many children were born in comparison to pregnancies that ended without a child that was born (100/14=7.1). If we apply the same rate of miscarriages from the pre-war 2022 number onto the miscarriages numbers from 2025 and 2026, we should then see much higher rate of miscarriages then in comparison to how many were pregnant at the time. But we don't. How to count: The important detail about miscarriages is that they are generally happening in the first 1-3 months of the pregnancy, with an median of week 7-8. Therefore to compare the births during 2025-2026 with miscarriages during the correct period we need to adjust both the period of the miscarries forward 7 months to match the period and multiply the numbers with 7.1 to see if the rates match. What we see: When doing that, as the image below shows, the adjusted miscarriages number is lower than the birth numbers where 7 months after the miscarriages happened, when adjusting for the same rate of miscarriages as pre-war 2022 average of 14% miscarriages per birth. The months with the lowest birth rate were April and May 2026, with around 2,000 births both months. But nowhere did the rate ever got close to the reported 460 miscarriages per 1,000 births. In April for an example, if the miscarriages were adjusted 7 months forward, the rate was still only 63 out of every 1,000 deaths. So these reports of is not just false. This show the opposite.
2
18
1
52
1,607
WTF!? 😂
Replying to @TRHLofficial
Me see big wall words from orange chief Trump. Funny talk man Maher once help chief on show, become big. Now Maher mean, sweat when visit white cave, then lie on show. Maher numbers fall like dead mammoth. Chief numbers high. Maher spew fake about voters and cities. Maher loser, no more talk. Chief strong. Ugh.
124