We're back with another episode of The Interview and our guest today is active Prediction Market trader and @zscdao member, @senzer Keep reading to hear what Senzer has to say! Hello Senzer, how are you doing today? Doing great man, thank you! How did you get into Crypto? Late 2021, came for the NFTs, and never left the ecosystem since then When and How did you stumble upon Prediction Markets? Heard about it late 2024 initially, but i faded it because i thought it was just degen gambling and i hated casino games where the house always wins. My first real touch was early 2025 with Myriad on Abstract. Cool concept but friction was too high, 3% fees, few markets, thin liquidity, hard to commit. Then i joined Polymarket in September 2025. Tbh, once you try it, you can't use anything else. They still have a lot to improve regarding bugs/stability, but aside from that, haven't enjoyed crypto this much in years How’d you describe Prediction Markets to anyone who’s just hearing about it? It’s about monetizing your conviction. It doesn’t matter the niche, if you have an edge, you get paid for it. Crucial distinction i always make: you aren’t playing against the house (casino), you’re playing pvp against other users. markets are fair, prices reflect collective belief What single biggest advantage do Prediction Markets bring to the average person? We saw it in recent elections, Prediction Markets were consistently faster and more accurate than traditional polling. When money is on the line, the signal gets sharper What markets narratives do you actively trade or prefer to trade? I don't force a specific niche. Lately, I've been heavy on politics and geopolitics because that's where the volume is. I stay flexible, but i have one hard rule: zero sports betting because It's too efficient, too much variance and feels like gambling to me. What’s your base thought process to approaching these trades? I only enter if i can explain why i think an event will happen. I look for, → High conviction: My own research or trusted alpha. → Informational Edge: Sometimes that means leveraging friends who are domain experts in fields I'm not. Edge comes from everywhere. Can you give an overview on what tools you use, what metrics you like to look at and what conditions prompt you into entering a trade? Keeping it lean atm with mainly two tools, → @standdot (live feeds): Essential to track what top traders are executing in real-time. helps me discover markets i missed → @predictingtop: Great for wallet discovery and finding new profitable traders to monitor. What are some of your worst losses and how did that impact how you trade? No single catastrophic loss, but my start was rough. First 2 months on Polymarket, my pnl chart looked like a heartbeat monitor bc i was trading like a tourist: no research, didn't read rules. Then i realized i had to professionalize. Implemented strict risk management and a clear thesis requirement for every trade, treating it like a business, not a slot machine changed everything. What single biggest problem do you think Prediction Markets have atm? Oracle dispute resolution is the biggest problem atm How’d you reckon this problem then be solved? Haven't thought about it enough, but there should be ways that are fair and impartial. Maybe a randomized jury model could work to reduce manipulation On the flip side, what’s an underexplored/underrated concept within Prediction Markets? Vibe coding custom tools. People overcomplicate it. You can spin up simple bots with AI in minutes, scrapers for niche news, speed alerts, etc.. Where do you see the overall Prediction Market ecosystem in say, 12 months from now? It's the first crypto primitive that actually onboards normies. I have irl friends, geopolitics nerds who never bought bitcoin now trading daily on Polymarket. In 12 months, i see this becoming the primary information layer for the internet, people will check odds before they check the news What accounts would you recommend people follow to get familiar with Prediction Markets in general? Hard to list everyone, but start with these two hubs. They curate the best PM content → @PolymarketTrade → @zscdao Anything else you’d like to share? Focus on Prediction Markets, biggest narrative loading.