Bombshell 2.0 from @JeKavanagh: strategic clarity in the opposite direction. The argument is that the United States needs a Taiwan policy that explicitly rules out military intervention should the island come under attack, given how far the military balance has shifted in China’s favor. I disagree with much of the prescription, but it raises one important question that I am hearing more often in Japan: “Leaders in Japan and South Korea may worry that Chinese control of Taiwan would bring risks even if unification occurred peacefully by making it easier for China to interdict trade in nearby waters.” For Japan and South Korea, the concern is not only war over Taiwan. It is what the regional balance looks like afterward. That concern is real. asia.nikkei.com/opinion/the-…