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Follow this thread for how I've been positioning for the next bull market for #btc.
Update: The DCA continues, now with clear transitional signals. These are my "confirmation" levels for a transitioning market. Capital reserved for capitulation/confirmation will be deployed more aggressively here (if not deployed prior into any capitulations).
If you're following me you'll be familiar with this chart, I posted it well in advance so we prepared to act at these value areas.
I do not know if #bitcoin has bottomed...
But I do know that if history repeats or even rhymes we're into value pricing.
Hence the DCA continues...
If I were to take a guess, I think #bitcoin keeps moving up into the 92-100k region before any major corrections come in.
I think 92-100k is the area to watch, where we'll likely spend a lot of time. We'll see some type of major scare/correction, somewhere in that 20% range driving price back down into 75-80k or so...
Bears will celebrate that they were right all along and there will be FEAR, but they will all likely be wrong.
This is just my guess... pure speculation.
#solana posted back on the 7th. Up 22% since.
We’re into the 118’s now. Want to see daily closes, then weekly.
Wouldn’t want to see back at 100 at this stage. Flush/liquidations the exception.
Reminder: There was no reason to become bearish...
Pointed this out at the start of the month for ethereum:native
$ETH TLDR; Bullish unless signals start failing.
ETH is attempting to reclaim the bearish primary high on the weekly.
We’ve had two attempts, but neither was decisive. The current weekly candle is pushing higher again.
Weekly closes above this level confirms the macro bullish trend shifting.
Underlying strength is clear:
- Weekly RSI has reclaimed 50
- Price is above the weekly bands, which are close to flipping green
- The latest sell-side order flow (FVG) has been inverted
- New buy-side order flow (FVG) has formed
If these signals begin to fail, that’s weakness creeping back in.
Until then, I see no reason to be bearish.
We're into the 83k's now. This is the key macro structure shift level I pointed out at the start of the month.
We're looking for daily closes above first, then weekly.
Hope you'd been paying attention... #bitcoin
We're into the 83k's now. This is the key macro structure shift level I pointed out at the start of the month.
We're looking for daily closes above first, then weekly.
Hope you'd been paying attention... #bitcoin
When you start seeing #Bitcoin close above $83K on the weekly, the market is telling you the macro trend is shifting.
The early signals were already there. Now we’re watching for the next confirmation signals.
There may be plenty of reasons to be bearish...but they’re not showing up on the chart right now, and that’s what matters most.
If you're following me you'd know how I've been positioning... I had been DCA'ing for months I more recently had been deploying dry powder. On confirmation, I will be converting running DCA's into buys.
#Solana
> Look at the arrows.
Bottoms take time to develop, and often the first breakout will mitigate (revisit) the "bottoming range".
Sometimes mitigations are sharp, shallow and fast. Sometimes they take time to consolidate back within the range.
Usually after mitigation the expansion is aggressive and by the time the next meaningful consolidation happens the best of the move may be over.
My read on $SOL right now:
- Any mitigation into <=97 is to be bought
- Under 79 would raise concern
- Above 118 and the expansion is beginning.
I shared this #Bitcoin chart back in February.
You must always be prepared.
Preparation looks different for every trader, but it’s what helps you win the battle with yourself when the moment comes. Real traders know what I mean.
A big part of that prep, as @Trader_XO said it best, is knowing where you want to do business.
Since the original post, only the transitional levels on this chart have changed. Value hasn’t.
My two-minute read as of right now:
$83K is the key level. A weekly reclaim would, in my view, mark the transition from bear market back to bull market.
I don’t see meaningful weakness unless we start trading below $70K.
Even then, based on my broader read of the market and the cycle, I’d view that as an opportunity to accumulate more Bitcoin.
Bookmark this if you’re trying to work out where to buy #Bitcoin in the next bull cycle.
Yes, there will be another bull market.
No, I don’t know when.
In my framework, price and time matter equally.
Price:
I study historical cycles, market structure, and cross-asset signals.
Time:
I track macro regime shifts and liquidity conditions.
These charts are not predictions.
They are not trading signals.
They are broad zones of historical significance.
Use them as context, not certainty.
One final note.
It is not unusual for price to trade below deep value bands during major bottoms.
If we reach those levels, I will care less about timing and more about long-term positioning. That is where retirement capital gets deployed.
When you start seeing #Bitcoin close above $83K on the weekly, the market is telling you the macro trend is shifting.
The early signals were already there. Now we’re watching for the next confirmation signals.
There may be plenty of reasons to be bearish...but they’re not showing up on the chart right now, and that’s what matters most.
If you're following me you'd know how I've been positioning... I had been DCA'ing for months I more recently had been deploying dry powder. On confirmation, I will be converting running DCA's into buys.
Latest update:
teapawt.org/travbcrypto/status/209…
When you start seeing #Bitcoin close above $83K on the weekly, the market is telling you the macro trend is shifting.
The early signals were already there. Now we’re watching for the next confirmation signals.
There may be plenty of reasons to be bearish...but they’re not showing up on the chart right now, and that’s what matters most.
If you're following me you'd know how I've been positioning... I had been DCA'ing for months I more recently had been deploying dry powder. On confirmation, I will be converting DCA's into buys.
There's a new version of this post
$ETH TLDR; Bullish unless signals start failing.
ETH is attempting to reclaim the bearish primary high on the weekly.
We’ve had two attempts, but neither was decisive. The current weekly candle is pushing higher again.
Weekly closes above this level confirms the macro bullish trend shifting.
Underlying strength is clear:
- Weekly RSI has reclaimed 50
- Price is above the weekly bands, which are close to flipping green
- The latest sell-side order flow (FVG) has been inverted
- New buy-side order flow (FVG) has formed
If these signals begin to fail, that’s weakness creeping back in.
Until then, I see no reason to be bearish.
#DXY closed below its weekly trend bands last week, breaking the recent weekly uptrend.
The bands remain green for now, but are likely to flip red if DXY stays below them into the weekly close.
This is on watch now. The fun continues while DXY remains below the weekly bands; however, once it reaches the range lows, I would introduce caution again.
#BTC vertical accumulation continues, I wouldn't fade until you start losing at minimum 1H structure.
My guess is shorts blown out until 82's.
I built and traded this pattern with good success last bull market.
We're seeing it again in #bitcoin now and many others.
Here's my playbook for it, completely free, no sign ups or anything required. Hope it can help other traders.
Remember no pattern works all the time every time, context matters.
a-team-ai.notion.site/Vertic…
I built and traded this pattern with good success last bull market.
We're seeing it again in #bitcoin now and many others.
Here's my playbook for it, completely free, no sign ups or anything required. Hope it can help other traders.
Remember no pattern works all the time every time, context matters.
a-team-ai.notion.site/Vertic…
The weekly candle that expanded #Bitcoin out of the last bear market closed +22.1%.
No other bullish weekly candle during that bear market came close, but the size of the move wasn’t the only signal.
The broader structure showed:
• Sellers repeatedly failing to push price lower
• Absorption around the major lows
• Bullish divergences on weekly RSI
• A prolonged basing and accumulation range
The current weekly candle is tracking near +22%, with similar conditions present.
What confirms the macro shift?
Bitcoin holds above the weekly bands, the bands flip green, and they become support.
That would confirm the transition from bear-market structure to bull-market structure.
Posted back in Feb to mark your levels and create your plans.
This was a key area I highlighted back then to watch. So far we nailed it.
#bitcoin #crypto
Bookmark this if you’re trying to work out where to buy #Bitcoin in the next bull cycle.
Yes, there will be another bull market.
No, I don’t know when.
In my framework, price and time matter equally.
Price:
I study historical cycles, market structure, and cross-asset signals.
Time:
I track macro regime shifts and liquidity conditions.
These charts are not predictions.
They are not trading signals.
They are broad zones of historical significance.
Use them as context, not certainty.
One final note.
It is not unusual for price to trade below deep value bands during major bottoms.
If we reach those levels, I will care less about timing and more about long-term positioning. That is where retirement capital gets deployed.





















