
stats + marketing. cofounder/co-ceo of https://xitter.cf/t.co/OedYQ7tAn9 and founder/partner of https://xitter.cf/t.co/E57inCqWF6. adjunct @columbia_biz
Brooklyn, NY
Joined January 2009
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if anthropic truly believes claude is conscious, then they are truly reckless & amoral because they have no idea if it is suffering or not. imo, this means they can't honestly believe it is conscious. go leo.
Our incredible ICE warriors are doing a FANTASTIC job—the best in the world! They are cleaning up our streets and doing it with incredible grace, even when the ice is very slippery! Nobody slips better or gets back up stronger. So brave! Total patriots! 🇺🇸
in case you had questions re: the competence or average iq of the finest men our country has recruited for the important mission of cartoonishly waddling around our cities armed to the teeth with weapons they don't know how to use, this video should answer all of them:
tackling a peaceful protestor who's doing nothing but recording you must feel soooo good if you're an idiot with anger management problems
NOW: Border Patrol agents tackle an Anti-ICE Protester while conducting operations at a gas station in St Paul, Minnesota
Video by @noturtlesoup17 (FNTV)
[email protected] to license
tom vladeck 👾 retweeted
Replying to @ArmandDoma
It's interesting what an opportunity this episode has given people with bad characters to out themselves. It has been almost unique in that respect.
CMOs and CFOs don’t always get along, or even speak the same language. @getrecast cofounder @Mike_Kaminsky wrote about how to get everyone on the same page in @HarvardBiz
hbr.org/2025/09/when-cmos-an…
not sure how long this will last but
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_o…
Me when it comes to dropping dry Frosted Flakes on the top of my newborn son’s head when he’s in the harness
Come work with @getrecast!
Replying to @Mike_Kaminsky
We're looking for people who know the inner-workings of package development (e.g., CRAN-quality packages), CI/CD, and cloud computing environments to join our team. Check out the JD at this link: job-boards.greenhouse.io/rec…
the statisticians dunking on this are a little overeager to criticize nate imo. he's not making a causal claim; he's just using regression to quantify the amount of correlation between two things. that seems fine to me.
Replying to @NateSilver538
There are some confounders here, but the inflation thing is actually statistically significant! Each additional $100 of inflation in a state since January 2021 predicts a further 1.6 swing against Harris in our polling average vs. the Biden-Trump margin in 2020.
maybe i’m dumb but i never understand race strategy — why isn’t it just always to run/swim/bike the distance as fast as you can? why does it matter what other racers do? am i dumb? news at 11
what is there even to spin exactly
so it seems like fivethirtyeight's model is cooked (it is now paused but it was giving crazy results earlier)... nate's is behind a paywall and i'm cheap... do i just look at polymarket? where do i inject numbers into my veins?
i predict that a lot of the people that came out in support of trump will backtrack and claim that they only supported him over biden













