Speculator | here for the love of the game

Joined December 2022
just remember if everybody is betting on a crash coming theres no crash coming
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Time to buy the dip on established Robinhood coins Was a nice cool off after the big run but it's still early days and one of their biggest live events is only a few days away Should be a good catalyst to send stuff higher again
Houston, we're almost ready for launch. September 29. 5:30 PM CT.
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solana:69QoXvsveQUUcRLNWw5WyoDDxMfMXvJWBXcLN8bJpump feels free here at 400k
A few things coming together for $POOF 🎩 - DexScreener artwork - Locking the liquidity pool - A dedicated X account Working through these now.
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The Arc launch makes you realize how lucky we are to have a chain like Robinhood
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Ink season started
gmINK, @Uniswap is live on Ink. Select Ink in the dropdown to swap and LP.
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man why did they turn robinhood in to bsc
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Be happy for other peoples wins, it pays to believe in abundance
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Pools.fun is going live soon and @alexmccurryo's dog is is sitting sub 50k with confirmed name lol
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tyke retweeted
// robinhood $HOOD and the hated 95%+ margin industry: 346million$ net income for a 100billion stock, 245million$ in addressable net income. at the moment the meme trading infrastructure industry is doing an aggregate total of ~250million$ in revenue per quarter (pump, axiom, gmgn, uniswap, etc), in an environment where memes are very much hated these are platforms where they onboard net ~zero-to-minimal new users, as the majority of their current users are mostly pre-existing from last onchain cycle. most might not be aware of this, but in the meme trading infrastructure & platform industry, margins are extremely high. higher than even memory supercycle magins. rpc cost is 10k$ a month, servers are 2k$ a month. fees are 1% of volume. essentially, more than 95% of revenue is profit - which makes for approximately 242.5million$ net income per quarter at the minimum. robinhood $HOOD is currently worth 101billion$ mcap. their latest earnings at Q1 2026 puts them at 1.067billion$ revenue with 346million$ net income. they control the highest population of degenerates on the planet - essentially, the "next 10 million crypto users" that our industry has been trying to onboard for the past 3 years. they have 27 million kyc'ed degenerates on their platform - actual real users. not botted crypto "users" running on the founder's macbook for the monopolizer of the "next 10 million crypto users" with more than 7x coinbase users, it is not unrealistic to assume that they would be able to capture at least 30% of existing (bear market) onchain trading revenue market share. they are bigger than all of them combined in terms of PMF and also control the biggest, untouched customer sector - degens. note that when i say onchain, 95% of onchain volume today is literally memes - personally wish that there is more utility, but the market is bigger than us. so hence we should adapt to the market. 30% of existing meme trading revenue converts to ~80million$ in additional earnings per quarter, given that margins are ~95% for meme trading infrastructure. tradfi brokers (ibkr, fidelity, etc) fight tooth and nail to charge an approximate ~0.1-0.15% fees. gmgn, photon, etc charges nearly 10x that at 1%. it is simply the lowest hanging fruit for robinhood to harvest given their user-market-fit moat. ~80million$ in additional net income represents a +24% gain in robinhood's earnings, quite possibly as soon as this quarter, since as we know in memes things move VERY fast. pumpfun made it from launch to an annualized 600million$+ profit in less than a quarter. robinhood knows that. such a sudden and extreme earnings growth would likely push the stock by 20%-30%, taking a midpoint it's a +30billion$ mcap move on robinhood's table as long as they capture the meme trading infrastructure sector - which is honestly speaking, not hard to do. even nobodies were able to push meme trading infras to 250million+ quarterly net income - let alone the platform with the largest meme moat on the planet (27million degens. 7x coinbase users). obviously, they will do it. note that these calculations were based on a meme eco where so what am i getting here - is that robinhood will likely place memes as their top priority this quarter. there is simply no second best to generate such asymmetric earnings growth for a company in that position. and they have a duty to their shareholders to prioritize what benefits the company most. this isn't a call directed to any meme - but moreso a thesis that memes are coming back. whether we like it or not. the market is the market, and a trader's job is to adapt to changing market conditions.
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Typical script for Bitcoin in the declining phase is around the $85k level before resumption of the trend.
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“The trade is too crowded, that’s why this time is different”. So many people midcurving the 4 year cycle again. seems likely it will just play out as it always did and the left curve approach isn’t even that crowded.
Been buying on the way down; this is the most BTC exposure I've had in my life. STRC introduces positive reflexivity to BTC that is being underpriced by the market. "Sitting in cash to buy the guaranteed Q4 bottom" is a crowded trade. Believe in something.
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last thing you see before getting raped 5 red weeks in a row.
I could be wrong, but Super Cycle incoming.
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My Full Thesis on $SXS Imagine an overlapping of Tradfi X Crypto where you have enforced trading hours with different pools. That's exactly what $SXS is, a unique concept that's never been done before in Crypto. You have 3 different pools, where each pool has limited hours in which you can buy/sell. Pool 1 (New York/ETH) is open 11am to 7pm EST. Pool 2 (Tokyo/USDC) is open 6pm to 2am EST. Pool 3 (London/CBBTC) is open 1AM - 12pm EST. When the project first launched you were only able to buy on Pool 1 (New York/ETH) during the hours of 11am to 7pm EST. Outside of that trading was completely closed. The fees generated from Pool 1 stack up and go towards creating Pool 2. Once Pool 2 (Tokyo/USDC) has been created the fees then go towards Pool 3 (London/CBBTC). We are currently (0.86/1.5BTC) towards filling the last pool. Devs have injected their own money to fill the pool by burning eth until the fees absorbed everything. The real fun starts once all 3 pools have been created. Once all three pools are live, fees stop funding new pools. They flip to dividends. You hold, you get paid in ETH, USDC, and cbBTC. When you have an overlap between different pools it creates more volume which in turn creates more fees + dividends for holders. The dev has been actively cooking and I truly believe this has the potential to bring new buyers onto Base that we haven't seen before. CA: 0x3dA7Ad8101bc1fc0C80E2860Be9A531385258525 Best way to buy: t.me/based_eth_bot?start=r_k… meta.matcha.xyz/
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Now that we finished sending web2 devs free money let’s run up some good TikTok coins.
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tyke retweeted
newyorker jews rugged us to fund their antisemitism awareness program?😭
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Seems like the real privacy coin won in the end
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bullish on shiny rocks
SPOT SILVER RISES NEARLY 3% TO $79.24/OZ
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lowk nothing feels better than cooking on new launched chains.
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