JD's a common man's conservative - Republicans betrayed their constituents by continuing the warmongering and ineffective economic policies that aren't helping working class Americans get back on track.
One of the things the data analysts on our side obsessed over was "composition"โwhether the electorate looked close enough to 2024 for Republicans to win. And despite polls that showed a Democrat blowout, the data kept on telling us the same story: in some states turnout was merely OK, in other states it was downright amazing, and in no state was it catastrophic. There was a genuine sense of optimism on our team: our people were showing up.
So, I asked the smartest data guy I know, does that mean we're going to shock the world? "No," he told me. "We might do better than the polls suggest. But the data is telling us that a lot of Trump/Vance 2024 voters are pissed and planning to vote for the other guys. Our voters are turning out, but they may not vote for us."
Well, that looks prophetic now. Our voters did show up. In Florida, for example, the electorate was 9 points more Republican than Democrat, just a couple points worse than 2024. Undoubtedly there were places we could have done better on turnout. But the main problem is not turnout. The main problem is that many people who voted for Trump/Vance in 2024 voted for Democrats in 2026.
There will be a lot of infighting and arguing over what happened and why that is. One of the pollsters I really respect told me that our economic messaging wasnโt sharp enough down the stretch. Iโm sure thatโs true.
But the real reason we lost is obvious to almost everyone.
Another pollsterโone of the smartest people I know in politics, told me yesterday weโd lose the generic ballot by 13 points. I felt negative going into Tuesday, but even I was shocked by this. In his polling, he saw that a lot of Trump 2024 voters were angry and planning to vote for Democrats. He asked those voters who had abandoned us what would cause them to come back on our team. The top four answers, accounting for nearly all of the responses were:
1) End the war
2) Focus on cost of living/inflation
3) Put America First
4) Change our relationship to Israel
Our voters showed up. And the above four reasons are why many of them voted for Democrats. This is according to a pollster who nailed the results. While many spent Monday attacking Rachel Campos Duffy for calling for a diplomatic resolution to the conflict, it turns out her political advice was sound. (Sheโs also a great person.)
In the next few months, there's going to be a lot of gaslighting. Expect to hear any number of establishment politicians say the solution to our woes is amnesty. I'm open to the idea that we should change enforcementโby focusing more on businesses that hire illegal labor, for instance. But anyone pushing amnesty is lying to you.
The reason we lost is the war. The president himself said so last night.
If you'd like to argue it was worth it, that losing the Senate for the next 6 years was worth it, then do so. Argue it was a worthwhile cost to pay. Agree or disagree, that's at least honest.
But everyone knows why we lost. And any honest conversation about where we go from here must start there.
I remain hopeful about our country. To the people who are pissed off and want to say, โI told you soโ: youโre right, you did tell us so. Take that energy into electing Republicans who share your worldview. To the people who are just pissed at the results, you should be. Letโs take that anger and get back to the work of saving our country.
Tyler Ellison ๐บ๐ธ ๐ง๐ท retweeted
From @StatsPerform:
BYU's Robert Wright III is only the fifth Div. I player with 35+ points, five or more assists and one or fewer turnovers in a season opener since 1996-97.
He is the only one of the five to do it against a major conference opponent.
Tyler Ellison ๐บ๐ธ ๐ง๐ท retweeted
One night in and BYU jumped from 33 to 22 in KenPom after the Ohio State win
Tyler Ellison ๐บ๐ธ ๐ง๐ท retweeted
BYU should not be ranked below Notre Dame in any rankings. They both have 1 loss and BYU literally beat them head to head.
๐จ PUCK DONโT LIE ๐จ Logan Cooley, a Pittsburgh native with a hat trick in his hometown & the tying goal with 1 SECOND left in the 3rd, then Sergachev wins it in OT at 3:27. Mammoth 4, Penguins 3. Cooley scored all 3 Utah goals in regulation. #PuckDontLie #UtahMammoth #TusksUp
๐ค Made with AI
This @BYUMBB team could be surprisingly good.
Here are the teams with the most elite 3PT shooters on their roster, based on preseason projections at EvanMiya.com:
BYU has FIVE guys on the list ๐
Tyler Ellison ๐บ๐ธ ๐ง๐ท retweeted
McCarron and OโBrien give the people of Utah a show ๐ฟ๐ฅ
Tyler Ellison ๐บ๐ธ ๐ง๐ท retweeted
Due to inflation I'm downgrading from ADHD to AD720p with ads
Got cooked by the community note - @SportsCenter showing blatant rule violations as "shifty" playing is on-brand for selling an NBA that doesn't give a hoot about fair play and enforcing its own rules equally.
Tyler Ellison ๐บ๐ธ ๐ง๐ท retweeted
๐จ Pat McAfee GOES OFF on the University of Utah ๐ณ
He says heโs never felt so uncomfortable, even bringing up what happened at UVU last year.
โI did not enjoy the University of Utah.โ
HOLY SMOKES ๐
Tyler Ellison ๐บ๐ธ ๐ง๐ท retweeted
The longest rush by a QB in Broncos history. ๐
๐บ: CBS
Tyler Ellison ๐บ๐ธ ๐ง๐ท retweeted
Veggie whooping and hollering in the back
Yams and Trocheck cheering on the side
and finally Weegar and Sima mid flight hug
hang it in the Louvre ๐ฆฃ๐ฉต
























