ashok patel (@ugaap) profile picture

Chemical Engineer, Independent Climate Researcher, Asset Allocation Strategist, Weather Analyst.

Rajkot
Joined May 2010
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Gujarat State: 31st October 2026: Unseasonal rainfall data for last 24 hours ending today morning 06.00 am. Source: SEOC, Gandhinagar
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ગુજરાત રાજ્ય માં: 31 ઓક્ટોબર સવારે 6 વાગ્યા સુધી ના છેલ્લા 24 કલાક ના વરસાદ ના આંકડા માહિતી સ્ત્રોત: SEOC, ગાંધીનગર
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OISSTv2.1 Data based KOLA Relative Nino Index (RONI) is 2.71 C for Week 43 ending 28th October 2026. Current Month 2026 KOLA RONI 2.57 and KOLA RONI Daily for 21st October are both 2.66C Current Status: Extremely Strong El Niño
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El Niño expected to peak November 2026 CSFv.2 Data based KOLA rNiño3.4 Forecast Plumes E3, E2 & E1 for 30th October 2026
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Status: 28th October 2026 KOLA IOD for Week 43 has increased again to +0.80 C. The Persistence requirement: The index must remain beyond the threshold for at least 8 consecutive weeks. Additionally, the 12‑week running mean of the DMI must also remain beyond the threshold. The West Tropical Indian Ocean (WTIO) is at 1.11 C above normal while South East Tropical Indian Ocean (SETIO) is at 0.32 C above normal.
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Very Severe Cyclonic Storm ARNAB Makes Landfall Near Yanam Along the Andhra Pradesh Coast — Gujarat Maximum Temperatures Expected to Range from 35°C to 37°C During 28 October–4 November 2026; Possibility of Isolated Showers in Latter Part of Forecast Period gujaratweather.com/?p=59910
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Very Severe Cyclonic Storm ARNAB Makes Landfall Near Yanam Along the Andhra Pradesh Coast — Gujarat Maximum Temperatures Expected to Range from 35°C to 37°C During 28 October–4 November 2026; Possibility of Isolated Showers in Latter Part of Forecast Period
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અતિ તીવ્ર ચક્રવાતી વાવાઝોડું ARNAB આંધ્રપ્રદેશના દરિયાકાંઠે યાનમ નજીક ત્રાટક્યું — ગુજરાતમાં 28 ઑક્ટોબરથી 4 નવેમ્બર 2026 દરમિયાન મહત્તમ તાપમાન 35°Cથી 37°C રહેવાની શક્યતા; આગાહી સમયગાળાના ઉત્તરાર્ધમાં આઇસોલેટેડ ઝાપટાંની શક્યતા gujaratweather.com/?p=59910
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Very Severe Cyclonic Storm ARNAB Makes Landfall Near Yanam Along the Andhra Pradesh Coast — Gujarat Maximum Temperatures Expected to Range from 35°C to 37°C During 28 October–4 November 2026; Possibility of Isolated Showers in Latter Part of Forecast Period gujaratweather.com/?p=59910
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OISSTv2.1 Data based KOLA Relative Nino Index (RONI) is 2.55 C for Week 42 ending 21st October 2026. Current Month 2026 KOLA RONI 2.55 and KOLA RONI Daily for 21st October are both 2.60C Current Status: Extremely Strong El Niño
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Status: 21st October 2026 KOLA IOD for Week 42 has declined to +0.49 C and is now close to the +0.4 C threshold. The Persistence requirement: The index must remain beyond the threshold for at least 8 consecutive weeks. Additionally, the 12‑week running mean of the DMI must also remain beyond the threshold. The West Tropical Indian Ocean (WTIO) is at 0.97 C above normal while South East Tropical Indian Ocean (SETIO) is at 0.47 C above normal.
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OISSTv2.1 Data based KOLA Week 42 till 19th October 2026 Relative Nino Index (RONI) is 2.55 C. Current Month 2026 KOLA RONI and KOLA RONI Daily for 19th October are both above 2.50C Current Status: Extremely Strong El Niño
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Status: 19th October 2026 KOLA IOD for Week 42 till 19th October has declined to +0.58 C. The Persistence requirement: The index must remain beyond the threshold for at least 8 consecutive weeks. Additionally, the 12‑week running mean of the DMI must also remain beyond the threshold. The West Tropical Indian Ocean (WTIO) is at 0.99 C above normal while South East Tropical Indian Ocean (SETIO) is at 0.42 C above normal.
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21st October 2026 El Nino Peak expected in November/December 2026 Product Note: KOLA Relative Monthly ENSO Plumes are derived from CFSv2 E1, E2 and E3 NetCDF (.nc) forecast files. The graph has been customized to illustrate the transition between the latest observed ENSO value and the first forecast month value. Output is annotated using KOLA ENSO classification thresholds.
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