amateur sports capper :) access all my plays below 💕
Joined December 2023
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🚨 BIG ANNOUNCEMENT 🚨
Excited to officially announce that I've joined the CapperUniversity Discord as their first ever sub-capper 🎓
I'll be dropping daily WNBA, College Basketball & College Football plays alongside some of the best cappers in the game - @MailManLockz @SpadePicks @PANPOTD
Just dropped my first WNBA play in there as well 👀
Get a FREE week of VIP access using the link in the comments - join today ⤵️
CBB Play No. 1 | Monday 2nd 🏀
Collin Chandler o1.5 3PM
G | BYU
🪜3+ 3PM (+220)
🪜4+ 3PM (+600)
Analysis Below ⤵️
Chandler was brought over from Kentucky, where he averaged 2 3PM on fewer than 5 3PA/g, but has an amplified role in this Cougars offense as seen through his exhibition performances. He posted 18 and 21 FT+FGA in their 2 exhibitions, numbers he never reached in his 66 career games at UK.
Coach Young has emphasized that this squad is going to shoot a LOT of threes as BYU attempted 36 and 30 3PA in their two exhibitions against P6 competition. Chandler led the team in 3PA in both exhibition games with 7 and 8 attempts. With 5+ 3PA last season, he went over this line in 15/20 games and 14/16 with 6+. With 6+ 3PA, he averaged 3.3 3PM/g.
Their opponent, Ohio State also just allowed Butler to put up 38 3PA in their exhibition, with three players making 3+ threes, including one who knocked down four. Like the spacing the offense will see from Wrights drives in this matchup.
Will be a homecoming as well for Chandler, who returns to Utah after winning HS Gatorade Player of the Year and originally committing to BYU.
13.5 points is also a valid alt.
get the rest of my plays for FREE! 3 day trial: winible.com/checkout/1580622…
CFB Halloween Recap 🎃💸
Drake Lindsey o15.5 Completions (-130) ✅
LaNorris Sellers o15.5 Completions (-133) ✅
Noah Fifita o250.5 Passing Yards (-114) ✅
🪜 275+ Passing Yards (+140) ✅
Cole Tabb o1.5 Rec (-145) ✅
Cole Tabb o10.5 Receiving Yards (-125) ✅
Byrum Brown ATD (-115) ✅
Trinidad Chambliss ATD (+110) ✅
Jordan Shipp o5.5 Rec (-130) ❌
Parker Puckett Lotto Lean (+649) ✅
MONSTER day for the Discord, so that only happens to mean the X play misses. L read on Shipp, I'll eat that. BUT don't miss out on the cord. 🤑🫰
CFB Play No. 1 | Halloween 🎃
Jordan Shipp o5.5 Receptions
WR | North Carolina
Analysis Below ⤵️
The WR1 for the Tar Heels takes the field at home against the #1 team in the country, the Miami Hurricanes. The Canes come in as 14.5-pt favorites, with an underwhelming defense, when considered next to their surrounding top 5.
Shipp has gone over this line in 5/6 games vs FBS opponents this season. His only miss happened to come Week 1, and he has been rolling ever since. 7, 9, 9, 9, and 10 targets the week following their win vs ETSU.
The UNC coaching staff has done everything in their power to get Shipp the ball, running around 50/50 of his snaps in the slot vs out wide.
Facing P4 competition, Miami has allowed a receiver 5+ receptions in all 5 games. Expect that to stay the same here with those all being each teams target leader:
Hicks [PITT] - 5 rec / 9 tar
Robinson [FSU] - 5 rec / 10 tar
Wesco [CLEM] - 9 rec / 12 tar
Hernandez [WF] - 10 rec / 14 tar
High [STAN] - 6 rec / 7 tar (only 17 routes)
Not to mention, Shipp has a target to reception percentage (75%) than everyone, but Hernanadez (80%). Expect Shipp to get involved to help UNC have a chance at anything happening.
velv. retweeted
WHAT A SATURDAY WE HAD! 8-1!🔥👀
CFB + NBA Saturday Recap⬇️
✅Jaden Craig O 288.5 Passing Yards
✅Rocky Beers O 3.5 Receptions
✅Devon Dampier O 9.5 Rush Attempts
✅Tommy Carr O 13.5 Pass Completions
✅Mason McKenzie O 57.5 Rushing Yards
✅Keshaun Singleton O 3.5 Receptions
✅Stefon Castle O 5.5 Assists + Spurs ML
✅Khaman Maluach O 9.5 Rebounds + Assists
🪝Dylan Edwards O 15.5 Receiving Yards
WE COOOOOOOOOKED💰
Very pleased with the reads...let's keep it rolling tomorrow!
❤️IF YOU MADE SOME MONEY W/ ME!🤝
CFB Play No. 2 | Saturday 17th 🏈
Chris Durr Jr o6.5 Receptions
WR | Maryland
collab w/ @QuentinLocks
Analysis Below ⤵️
Will finally hop on the Durr train in this matchup for Malik Washington at home.
The Wyoming transfer has been the clear and elite WR1 for this Terrapins offense. Durr is averaging 79.3 yards/g on 7.7 rec/g. Expect Durr to bounceback this week in route volume and in his targets after an abysmal matchup vs Ohio State.
Prior to the OSU matchup where he posted 5 targets and 4 receptions on 25 routes, he had 36+ routes in 4 straight games vs Nebraska, UCLA, VT, and UConn. In these games, he had 11+ targets in each, with 7+ receptions in each as well.
As Maryland's primary slot receiver, Durr has posted an aDOT of < 9 yards in every single game this year, prioritzing short and easily completable passes to help sustain drives.
Rutgers will be the worse coverage unit Durr has faced since Virginia Tech in Week 2, where he hauled his season high of 15 targets and 12 receptions.
The receivers closest in receiving volume, Becker/Marsh (41 targets each), WHICH is still 23 targets less than Durr, both hauled in 7+ receptions in their matchup vs the Scarlet Knights.
This matchup SHOULD be a Durr vs Duff battle, with both receivers owning both defenses.
velv. retweeted
LET’S RUN IT BACK🔥🔄
Jeremy Payne O 13.5 Receiving Yards
( TCU | #GoFrogs )
-115 Bet365
CFB Saturday Prop #2🏈
❤️IF YOU ARE TAILING W/ US!⬇️
COLLAB W/ @velvetraces
Have to run this back again, love betting on this guy…
Uphill battle once again here for TCU as they are nearly a TD underdog on the road against Baylor.
Payne has CRUSHED this number in every single loss so far this season…
5/27 vs. UNC
6/21 @ UCF
4/23 vs. BYU
He’s had 4+ targets in all three of those games. He’s gone over this line in ALL 9 games in his career with 4+ targets.
Going up against a Baylor defense that funnels a ton through the air as a result of their solid run defense…17th in YPC allowed (3.1).
They are allowing the 2nd MOST pass attempts per game (41.3) and the 12th HIGHEST Pass Play% (55.4%) in the entire country. This trend will remain strong in a trailing game script for TCU.
This offense has to get the ball in Payne’s hands in as many different ways as possible and I’m expecting a ton of opportunities for him to clear this number.
He’s one of the best in the business out in space and has even had multiple longs of 14 and 17 on the year. All it could take is one catch.
❤️IF YOU ARE RIDING W/ US!🤝
CFB Play No. 1 | Saturday 17th 🏈
Jeremy Payne o13.5 Receiving Yards
RB | TCU
collab w/ @QuentinLocks
Analysis Below ⤵️
Line available at 9.5 on DK/FD as well.
Uphill battle once again here for TCU as they are nearly a TD underdog on the road against Baylor.
Payne has CRUSHED this number in every single loss so far this season…
5/27 vs. UNC
6/21 @ UCF
4/23 vs. BYU
He’s had 4+ targets in all three of those games. He’s gone over this line in ALL 9 games in his career with 4+ targets.
Going up against a Baylor defense that funnels a ton through the air as a result of their solid run defense…17th in YPC allowed (3.1).
They are allowing the 2nd MOST pass attempts per game (41.3) and the 12th HIGHEST Pass Play% (55.4%) in the entire country. This trend will remain strong in a trailing game script for TCU.
This offense has to get the ball in Payne’s hands in as many different ways as possible and I’m expecting a ton of opportunities for him to clear this number.
He’s one of the best in the business out in space and has even had multiple longs of 14 and 17 on the year. All it could take is one catch.
velv. retweeted
Rocky Beers O 3.5 Receptions✅✅
WHAT A SWEAT🤣
Has 3 in the 1H then gets his 4th with less than 2 mins left…
LET’S GO @velvetraces
❤️IF YOU CASHED!
🔥He will CRUSH this line🍻
Rocky Beers O 3.5 Receptions
( Oklahoma | #BoomerSooner )
-128 DraftKings
CFB Saturday Prop #3🏈
❤️IF YOU ARE TAILING!
Backing a guy this week with one of the best names in college football…Mr. Beers.
So far, the Colorado State transfer, has been super productive for the Sooners in big games. In the two games against P4 opponents, he has crushed this line…
@ Michigan: 6 Receptions (9 Targets & 34 Routes)
@ Georgia: 8 Receptions (9 Targets & 26 Routes)
These were also Oklahoma’s two losses and also the only two games that Mateer has thrown the ball more than 25 times. He has a pass attempts line slated at 32.5 for this one.
He and this Sooners offense faces Texas as a 7.5 point underdog…pass volume should be there.
Oklahoma and Mateer has really struggled to move the ball on the ground, making them super one dimensional.
We have also seen Beers’ aDOT drop each game as the season has progressed…9.5/9.1/8.0/7.6.
Very indicative that they want to get him the ball short and underneath and let him be the demon he can be after the catch.
Huge fan of this spot for Beers to get a lot of looks as we can expect a ton of attention to be on Sategna.
Shoutout to @velvetraces for putting me on this one🤝
TAIL THIS PLAY ON COURTSIDE & GET FREE $100!🚨⬇️
courtside.onelink.me/5EKN/pa…
GET 25% OFF W/ “QUENTIN” ON @propsmadness & LAB LIKE A PRO!🧪🔥
❤️IF YOU ARE RIDING W/ ME!⬇️
CFB Card Week 6 🏈
• Conner Weigman o10.5 Rushing Attempts (-145)
• Darius Taylor o2.5 Receptions (-112)
• Rocky Beers o3.5 Receptions (-132)
• Nico Iamaleava o25.5 Pass Attempts (-120)
• Jadan Baugh o18.5 Rush Attempts (-145)
Some juice, but worth it. Beers ended up dwindling down too. LOOKING FOR THE 5-0 ✅✅ Who’s tailing‼️
CFB Play No. 3 | Saturday 10th 🏈
Conner Weigman o10.5 Rush Attempts
QB | Houston
Analysis Below ⤵️
Look for Weigman to make use of his legs in a battle of Big 12 cats as Houston hits the road to face Kansas State.
Although only over in 2/5 games this season, both overs have come in conference play, rushing for 13 RA vs. TTU and 13 RA vs. UCF. He’s also seen increased designed-run usage in those matchups, with 5 and 7 designed runs, respectively.
Conner has a line of 42.5 rushing yards, and when reaching 30+ rushing yards over the L2 seasons, he’s gone over this line in 9/11 games. Against Big 12 opponents over that same span, he’s gone over in 10/11 games.
With a 2.5-point spread, expect a competitive game where Houston should have reason to keep Weigman involved throughout. In red-zone and goal-line situations, he’s been getting extra work, as we saw last week with 3 rushing TDs and 6 carries inside the 20.
He’s also been a threat in short-yardage situations, converting 15 of his 28 rushing attempts into first downs this season. Additional wind could affect the passing game and create more scrambling opportunities.
With 5+ designed runs over the L2 seasons, Weigman has gone over in every single game, conference opponent or not (10/10).
CFB Play No. 2 | Saturday 10th 🏈
Rocky Beers o3.5 Receptions
TE | Oklahoma
Analysis Below ⤵️
Missed out on backing Beers last week, but won't be making that mistake again. He's been one of Mateer's top targets this season, totaling 22 targets across 4 games (5.5/game). However, digging deeper into his usage is where this play stands out.
Beers saw 9 targets in both the Michigan and Georgia games (Oklahoma's only P4 matchups), with Mateer attempting 33 passes in each. Beers turned those into 6 and 8 receptions, respectively, while posting an aDOT below 10 yards in both. His short routes have made him a reliable underneath option for Mateer. With Mateer lined at 33 attempts again in a home matchup against the #1 team in the country, I expect Beers to be involved early and often.
Beers ran 34 and 26 routes in those two losses, and I expect similar involvement here (25+). He also posted a 30% TPRR across those matchups, an elite rate, especially for a TE. If that usage carries over, Beers should have plenty of opportunities to clear this line.
Looking back at Oklahoma's TE usage last season, Kanak (TE1) recorded 4+ receptions in 4 of 5 games with 25+ routes. Kanak was also the third option behind Satenga and Burks, whereas Beers has emerged as the clear second option this season, trailing only Satenga.
velv. retweeted
🔥He will CRUSH this line🍻
Rocky Beers O 3.5 Receptions
( Oklahoma | #BoomerSooner )
-128 DraftKings
CFB Saturday Prop #3🏈
❤️IF YOU ARE TAILING!
Backing a guy this week with one of the best names in college football…Mr. Beers.
So far, the Colorado State transfer, has been super productive for the Sooners in big games. In the two games against P4 opponents, he has crushed this line…
@ Michigan: 6 Receptions (9 Targets & 34 Routes)
@ Georgia: 8 Receptions (9 Targets & 26 Routes)
These were also Oklahoma’s two losses and also the only two games that Mateer has thrown the ball more than 25 times. He has a pass attempts line slated at 32.5 for this one.
He and this Sooners offense faces Texas as a 7.5 point underdog…pass volume should be there.
Oklahoma and Mateer has really struggled to move the ball on the ground, making them super one dimensional.
We have also seen Beers’ aDOT drop each game as the season has progressed…9.5/9.1/8.0/7.6.
Very indicative that they want to get him the ball short and underneath and let him be the demon he can be after the catch.
Huge fan of this spot for Beers to get a lot of looks as we can expect a ton of attention to be on Sategna.
Shoutout to @velvetraces for putting me on this one🤝
TAIL THIS PLAY ON COURTSIDE & GET FREE $100!🚨⬇️
courtside.onelink.me/5EKN/pa…
GET 25% OFF W/ “QUENTIN” ON @propsmadness & LAB LIKE A PRO!🧪🔥
❤️IF YOU ARE RIDING W/ ME!⬇️
CFB Play No. 1 | Saturday 10th 🏈
Darius Taylor o2.5 Receptions
RB | Minnesota
Analysis Below ⤵️
Good spot to back Taylor in at a line we've seen him crush plenty of times throughout the past three seasons. He is recovering from injury and has worked his way up back to a much better snap count. He played 47/68 (70%) of snaps this last week vs Michigan, and 30/63 (47.6%) the week prior at Washington.
With 30+ snaps over the last two seasons, which is an insanely low floor, Taylor is 9/9 to this line averaging 5.7 targets / 4.3 receptions. Going even further back to 24' season, he was 9/12 to this line hooking at 2 in all three misses.
A strong receiving back like Taylor helps the Minnesota offense sustain drives and keep momentum im a particularly run-heavy, clock-dominant offense. Look for Taylor to catch a couple out of the backfield to keep the chains moving.
2.5-pt spread here, should stay close here and could see some points put up, and Lindsey is lined for 20.5 completions. With 18+ comps last season, Taylor never caught less than 4 passes.
CFB Recap Week 5…
• DJ Lagway o33.5 Pass Attempts ✅
• Xavier Townsend o3.5 Receptions / ND ML ✅
• Bryce Underwood o10.5 Rushing Attempts 🪝
• Davis Warren o19.5 Completions 🪝
• Demond Williams Jr o33.5 Pass Attempts ❌
Only lose 0.5u in profit due to sizing, but wow, some incredible losses. Michigan had :47 TOP in the 3Q, missed out on a single RA that quarter. Warren and Stanford were 13.5-pt underdogs but lose by 50 and he hooks on last drive by taking 2 sacks. Demond I will take the L on as they kept it close. Need to get on track.
CFB Card Week 5 🏈
• Bryce Underwood o10.5 Rushing Attempts (-115)
• Xavier Townsend o3.5 Receptions / ND ML (-128)
• Davis Warren o19.5 Completions (-120)
• DJ Lagway o33.5 Pass Attempts (-120)
• Demond Williams Jr o33.5 Pass Attempts (-130)
Time to bounceback from last week going 1-3 on the card unfortunately. Love all of these plays. Lets ROLL 🔥
May have some more props later as well 👀
