Everything is beautiful here….
🇺🇸🇷🇺🇺🇦The U.S. proposal to secure a deal on a new Europe-Russia security architecture as part of an agreement to end the war in Ukraine was a key focus of the Abu Dhabi talks
🇺🇸🇷🇺🇺🇦Russian negotiators said Putin launched the invasion of Ukraine because then-President Biden did not reply to his 2021 letter laying out his security concerns, two sources with knowledge of the talks said
🇺🇸🇷🇺🇺🇦According to one of the sources, Kushner and Witkoff told the Russians that the world has changed a lot since 2021
🇺🇸🇷🇺🇺🇦They proposed that Russia draft a new proposal that includes its security concerns and demands, but also lays out what "symmetrical steps" it's willing to take to de-escalate and reassure Europe that it will not attack in the future
🇺🇸🇷🇺🇺🇦Kushner and Witkoff also told the Russians that in order to seriously discuss security issues in Europe, they need to agree to allow European representatives to participate in future peace talks
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Who could ask for more?
🚨Scoop: The U.S. has asked Russia to submit a new proposal for a future security agreement with Europe that includes Russian steps to ease tension with the continent, two sources with knowledge of the matter said. My story on @axios
axios.com/2026/11/11/russia-…
At least one creative idea for the talks in Abu Dhabi (not clear it was US or Ru): UA could change its administrative borders in Donbas, so that land currently under UA control would go to Kharkiv region, while “full Donbas” remained under Ru control. Could end the war at LOCs.
Not clear what the US means by “Nato-like security guarantees” and why Russia would agree to that. If it’s a mutual defense security treaty ratified by the US Senate, Ru went to war to prevent just that. Everything else is merely Trump’s promise valid for 2 years.
🚨 The U.S. has asked Russia to accept U.S. and NATO security guarantees for Ukraine modeled on Articles 4 and 5.
A U.S. official tells reporters on a call: “What they would be getting would be effectively very similar to NATO.”
“I think right now there's definitely security guarantees that we'll discuss. Again, we'll see what President Trump decides if he wants to grant it. Getting a U.S. security guarantee is a really, really big deal. But, but that'll be up to him and President Zelensky to discuss.”
If that’s the plan, good luck with it…
Replying to @shashj
Official says resurrection of NATO Russia Council "will hopefully be an integral part of this.. we want to find a way to make it a little bit more robust. We want to reactivate it, but we really need to have a way for communications, de-escalation, and future conflict resolution."
On security guarantees: "we've asked the Russians for us to be able to give an Article Four & Article Five-like security guarantee to Ukraine, along with NATO providing the same. So what they would be getting would be effectively very similar to NATO."
This opens up all sorts of possibilities and unintended outcomes…. A Herculean task even for very experienced diplomats and military experts. But the currents talks are not structured this way. A two days session can only get you a road map for further extensive talks. Hard.
President Trump is determined to bring an end to this horrible war, which has caused enormous loss of life, destruction, and suffering. We are working hard to find a negotiated solution that can deliver lasting peace and create the conditions for a sovereign, secure, and prosperous Ukraine within a more stable European security environment.
Before beginning the two days of trilateral talks with Ukraine and Russia in Abu Dhabi, @SEPeaceMissions and I will meet with our partners from Ukraine, the EU, NATO, Germany, France, the United Kingdom and Italy to continue the close consultation and coordination we have undertaken on European security and Ukraine’s postwar future over the past several weeks.
These will be the first trilateral talks since February. Building on our separate consultations with both sides, our objective is to bring Ukraine and Russia together to discuss directly their postwar security concerns, proposals, and potential solutions. We hope these discussions will identify areas of common ground, advance practical solutions, and build momentum toward the next phase of negotiations.
Ultimately, achieving a comprehensive and lasting settlement will also require direct engagement between Russia and our European partners on the broader security arrangements that affect them. We hope the discussions in Abu Dhabi will create the conditions for that engagement to begin in the near future, as part of a broader multilateral process.
Our work has focused on four interconnected priorities: ending the fighting, developing credible postwar security guarantees and arrangements that reduce the risk of renewed conflict, preparing a comprehensive economic and prosperity plan for Ukraine, and advancing humanitarian measures to alleviate suffering and address the human consequences of this war.
Together with Ukraine, the EU, and other European partners, we are working to address Ukraine’s substantial postwar fiscal and reconstruction needs, support critical infrastructure, attract private investment, and create the conditions for long-term economic growth and self-sufficiency.
We are also working with the parties on important humanitarian issues, including the return of prisoners and civilians, and practical measures to alleviate suffering and reduce the human cost of this conflict.
An important part of this process is encouraging all parties to begin thinking seriously about what comes after the war. By discussing postwar security, economic recovery, and the mechanisms needed to prevent future conflict, we hope to shift the focus from managing the war toward building the foundations for a durable peace.
The existing European security agreements and institutions provide an important foundation for this work. We want to build upon what has worked, identify where existing mechanisms have fallen short, and what practical improvements are needed to make them more effective in the future. Our discussions will focus on stronger consultation, reliable crisis communications, greater military transparency, and reciprocal measures to reduce escalation risks, while fully respecting the sovereignty and independent decision-making of every nation.
This is an extraordinarily difficult and complicated conflict. We recognize the difficult decisions ahead and are approaching these discussions with determination and realism. Our hope is to make meaningful progress, establish a practical pathway forward, and help create the conditions for a lasting peace.
That seems to be the plan all along.
Replying to @dszeligowski
7/ Russia's objective is to link two processes: negotiations over ending the war against Ukraine and US-Russian negotiations over the broader European security order. That is, to incorporate any decisions about Ukraine into a wider US-Russian settlement on European security
If Kushner’s template for the “enduring security framework in Europe” were Russia-NATO Council, it would be of little interest to Ru. Unless it’s a binding Ru-U.S.-NATO security treaty along the lines of Ru December 2021 memos. A hard sell for all.
washingtonpost.com/opinions/…
Putin sends a serious team to trilateral talks in UAE after meeting with them at Ru Security Council: Ushakov, deputy FM Ryabkov, Galyzin; military intelligence chief Kostyukov. Medinsky still leads the team. Ushakov, his senior, may coordinate from MSK.
t.me/kommersant/118918
This word salad seeks to broaden the scope of the final deal as Ru wanted but does not fix RU’s key demand: indivisible security in Europe that would give Ru an effective veto over any security decision by the EU/Nato.
President Trump today advanced an important discussion with several European leaders about the need for a broader European security architecture that can help establish the conditions for lasting peace.
Building on his leadership and the substantive work undertaken this week in Brussels with Ukraine, NATO, and our European partners, @SEPeaceMissions and I wanted to share some of the objectives guiding our ongoing discussions.
For more than 30 years, Europe and Russia have struggled to establish a sustainable security framework. Decades of mistrust, competing security concerns, and the devastating consequences of this war make this an extraordinarily difficult challenge, but one that is essential to lasting peace.
Our objective is to develop practical arrangements that address the security concerns of all sides, reduce the risk of future conflict, and create a more stable and predictable security environment.
We are exploring five principal goals: permanent security consultations, reliable crisis communications, greater military transparency, reciprocal measures to reduce escalation risks, and an enduring framework for long-term European security and stability.
Any arrangements must fully respect the sovereignty, territorial integrity, and independent decision-making of every nation. Each country will retain authority over its own security and alliances, and no country would have a veto over another’s sovereign choices. NATO will remain central to European collective defense, and this initiative would build upon existing institutions and commitments.
We will continue consultations through the Shell Bay format with Ukraine, NATO, the EU, and our European partners, expanding engagement to ensure that all relevant perspectives and ideas are considered. We will also engage Russia as part of the peace negotiations.
Next week in Abu Dhabi, the United States will convene the first trilateral peace discussions with Ukraine and Russia since February. All parties remain intensely engaged in preparing for substantive and productive negotiations. We will consult closely with our European partners on the sidelines and, if progress is made, aim to move toward a broader multilateral format with their direct participation.
These ideas continue to evolve, and we welcome thoughtful input. Creating the right structure will be critical to ending this war and transitioning from conflict toward conditions that make possible a durable peace.
This is difficult, detailed work. There are no easy solutions. But the opportunity to help end this devastating war and build a foundation for a more peaceful, secure, and prosperous Europe for generations to come makes it a challenge well worth undertaking.
We will see how these discussions develop and continue working intensively with all parties toward President Trump’s objective of a comprehensive and lasting peace.
We are long past the INF debate now and there is no “zero option” for long-range precision strike in today’s environment. All sides would have to live with these systems deployed in Europe and Asia. Some numerical ceilings and deployment modalities could be agreed though.
Replying to @GeorgeBeebe13
Flight times for these missiles will be so short that they will incentivize launch-on-warning postures. Why would Moscow sit passively while NATO missiles "shoot the archers" inside Russia? The Russians will have reason to use their missiles before they lose them.
Here is the Trump administration doing exactly what Ru has always thought responsible U.S. leaders should be doing: keeping its allies in check and in line with the U.S. policy to avoid military confrontation with Russia. And it’s happening now.
Exclusive: Pentagon officials have in recent weeks asked several NATO countries to tone down their rhetoric regarding the threat posed by Russia, arguing that some statements by European leaders and officials have undermined continental security reut.rs/4sxwEuB
Ru made it clear yesterday it could see the leaders of Finland and Norway at the table, but only as leaders of Ru neighboring states. Ru does not want anyone from Brussels there. The “neighbor” format may extend to Turkey/Poland/Slovakia/Romania/Hungary, but not now.
There is a growing realization among European governments that they may soon need to nominate someone to face Russian leader Vladimir Putin in direct talks on a peace deal for Ukraine.
The main problem is deciding who should take on such a hazardous task. vist.ly/5peds
There is still no deal that both RU and UA and the EU for that matter could accept. Core positions remain misaligned and miscommunicated.
In Oslo and St. Petersburg, @JaredKushner and I met with Russian, Ukrainian, and European leaders to advance President Trump’s mission to end the war.
In St. Petersburg, we met with President Putin to build on the progress made in Oslo with President Zelenskyy, discuss a peace framework, and thank President Putin for releasing American citizen Stephen Hubbard to return home to his family.
These discussions were constructive, and will continue with trilateral talks between the United States, Russia, and Ukraine at the technical level.
While there is still important work left to do, President Trump remains committed to seeing this war end and achieving a comprehensive, durable peace that will provide security and prosperity for generations to come.
Ru, per Ushakov, does not view Witkoff’s “new ideas” as “particularly useful to ending the conflict in UA” but wants to keep Trump happily on Ru side and thus agrees to more talks.
BREAKING: Russian President Vladimir Putin agrees to resume trilateral talks with Ukraine and the U.S. next month, a Kremlin official says. apnews.com/article/russia-uk…
Per Ushakov today, Ru agrees with the US proposal to resume direct trilateral RU-UA-US talks in early November but wants them to center on the “principal issue”: RU-UA security in the European security architecture. Ru sees Finland and Norway as parties to these talks now.
The deal on the table is a narrow deal (sectoral ceasefire) and falls well short of Ru settlement terms. Previously, Ru rejected limited deals and insisted on talks for the final settlement to be held under continuing mil operations. But given how invested Trump is now, who knows
🇺🇸🇺🇦🇳🇴🇫🇮A U.S. official said the talks President Trump’s Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner held today with President Zelensky and the leaders of Norway and Finland were "very productive and constructive”
🇺🇸🇺🇦The U.S. official said Ukraine "brought forward new ideas and proposals, which were discussed in detail” and claimed the parties made "meaningful progress in aligning on a coordinated approach to engaging Russia and advancing the diplomatic process”
🇺🇸🇺🇦🇪🇺The U.S. official said there is now "strong alignment at the working level” between the U.S., Ukraine, and Europe on the next steps and there is "a shared commitment to finding practical solutions to end the war”
🇺🇸🇺🇦🇷🇺The discussions on Tuesday in Oslo covered the elements of a comprehensive peace framework, including long-term security guarantees for Ukraine, a post-war economic and prosperity plan, and a "broader European security architecture designed to create lasting stability”.
🇺🇸🇷🇺Witkoff will meet with President Putin tomorrow, with Jared Kushner participating virtually, the U.S. official said.
🇺🇸🇷🇺🇺🇦The U.S. official said: "The goal is to build on the progress made with Ukraine and Europe, discuss the proposals with Russia, and create a pathway toward direct trilateral and broader multilateral negotiations”
The proposal is from last year’s 27- point plan. It is part of a layered incentives structure to get Ru interested in ending the fighting. Unlikely to get there.
U.S. Floats Another Lifeline to Russia: Allowing It to Sell More Gas to Europe nytimes.com/2026/10/17/us/po… via @NYTimes












