🦇🔊 Zombie eyes maximalist

Joined September 2021
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I think it's becoming clear that there will be a major market scare related to cyber risk in the next 12 - 24 months. The entire AI thesis will for the 12th time be in questioned.
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I thought Anthropic was just trying to pump its valuation pre IPO?
SITUATION DETECTED: CloudFlare CEO Matthew Prince says he is aware of additional severe vulnerabilities in other pieces of critical software, and said “I think we’re going to have a couple years where every single week it’s going to feel like the sky is falling,” per Reuters.
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Replying to @allTheYud
@allTheYud can you comment on this?
when nick told me that he had some interp breakthroughs, he was uh, underselling it. i think this may be remembered as a major moment in scientific history. news so good even eliezer will have to lower his pdoom. we can start making alignment into a 'normal science'
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Replying to @liron @ilex_ulmus
She blocked me because I had the *audacity* to point out to her (and the rest of her org of AI experts) that the photo she claimed E and Aella took was actually AI generated. I offered $50 if they could get anyone to verify it was real. Still haven't had to pay out yet.
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Replying to @unusual_whales
@bot send this to X Desk and ask it to verify claims
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Shocked pikachu.jpg
Replying to @tszzl
the researchers at all the labs would tell you in private and sometimes in public that alignment has not been solved. if this is true, then racing into RSI is a folly that is unprecedented in world history. we will need to significantly slow the frontier of research very soon
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Replying to @poteto @bot
@bot read this thread and send me the most relevant and best ideas along with most interesting use cases
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Replying to @poteto @bot
@bot read this thread and send me the most relevant and best ideas along with most interesting use cases
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Replying to @RokoMijic
agree, might not think you're right about everything but you seem to be one of the most dynamic thinkers on the subject
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Call me crazy, but I’m not ready to concede. I’m having a different set of reactions entirely, based around a simple difference: I think the main thing holding back mathematics has been human sociology of mathematicians. Here’s why I’m excited: “When will it stop solving problems and build its first original theory?” “Can it figure out how octonions and exceptional algebra are actually part of the mainstream?” “At last! A mathematics that won’t be built around a Putnam and Olympiad-style problem-solving fetish.” Can it at last say “Y’all just wasted a *TREMEDOUS* amount of time and energy on Calabi-Yau phenomenology and Superstrings while calling people closer to the answer, morons, grifters and worse.”? That would be huge!! “I hope @OpenAI will hurry up so that the machine can at last shake its human prejudice from the training corpus and stop deferring to our ‘leaders’.” “At last, a non-PhD colleague!” “Somewhere I have notebooks full of ideas and observations in areas that were too expensive to explore!” “Does this mean that mathematicians are going to finally drop the bullshit about how they don’t care about credit?! Or that they don’t care about money?? Because @OpenAI is now running them in emulation…sped up! At last: a mature and non-infantile version of mathematics!” “Shalom Koide, Tits-Freudenthal, Elliptic Cohomology, and Interstellar.” —- Let our leaders call for a slow down. Then get those leaders out of the way as there is no telling what the rest of us humans can do with these new tools. My condolences to the problem solvers. A tough break for you. But know: It’s coming for all of us. I have no illusions about that. For now at least we humans (e.g. theory builders, great writers) are still top dog. Let’s spend that time wisely and optimistically. For all our sakes.
Navier-Stokes = Hiroshima. @OpenAI #math drop = Nagasaki. We must urgently reset goals + incentives in world where #AI is far superior at math + more. Only solution I can think of: authentically focus on human flourishing (not same as advancing science) psloh.com/math-ai
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Replying to @AdamHoltererer
the definition of "ackchyually" guy
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Replying to @lior_eth
All gut, no thesis
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The last hope... "muh research taste!" has also fallen according to this research. What barriers still exist to RSI loops closing? This does NOT mean AI will become ASI overnight. It could still take years from when the RSI process begins due to real-world constraints as far as we know.
How fast is AI's research taste improving? We find that the experimental research taste of frontier models has doubled every ~3 months since December 2025. The best model, Opus 5.5, now exceeds our expert human baseline. Our human experts are experienced researchers, but most haven’t worked at a frontier lab. Why measure research taste? In the AI Futures Model, it largely determines how quickly artificial superintelligence is reached once coding is fully automated.
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Replying to @Figure_robot
Very cool but clear you didn't anticipate what the response would be.
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Replying to @lior_eth
because they're weirdos mostly, it doesn't make (some) of their arguments wrong by default
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wrongplace retweeted
It’s not clear to me if alignment by default was totally wrong and the models simply weren’t smart and effectual enough for us to notice the gap or if alignment by default was true in the pretraining era but RL circa 2026 warps what were previously good minds. Inclined to think the latter, the answer does seem important
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Replying to @lumpenspace
you seem like a delight at parties
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Replying to @lumpenspace
models in the wild aren't smart enough, just wait
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Replying to @allTheYud
Aella posted about this over a year ago when the book came out, why is this breaking news to them?
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