Historian of Cuba. LatAm & Caribbean History PhD Candidate @UWMadison. Bylines: @thenation @DissentMag I’m https://xitter.cf/t.co/sn3zTPW2lK on BlueSky

Florence, Tuscany
Joined September 2013
Proud to have my latest in @DissentMag’s Spring issue, going live today I go over the causes and consequences of the current crisis in Cuba
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Andrés Pertierra retweeted
If Lula wins, it will be because the prospect of a Bolsonaro return shook the complacency and misgivings out of a national coalition that failed to take Flávio seriously as a challenger. The far-right is an indisputable force, but the premature PT obits will need to be shredded.
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Andrés Pertierra retweeted
It was the turnout, stupid. 3 million more people voted in 2nd round than 1st. Only 3.2% of all voters spoiled their ballots, lowest percentage in a 2nd round this century Source: @folha
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The elections could be annulled according to election lawyers, per @nytimes
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Arriving back in Europe to Lula having beaten Flavio Bolsonaro, keeping his golpista family out of power once more Lots of challenges await Lula’s new term, from rising debt to legislature’s right turn, but a crisis seems to have been averted for now
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Lula finding a successor to lead PT is now no longer a good idea but a necessity. He’s old, term limited, and as incredible of a political figure as he is he also comes with baggage I wonder who can hold together the PT’s wide coalition *and* win over the liberals needed to win
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O vídeo da noite.
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Right wing leaders of Chile and Paraguay very quickly recognizing Lula victory
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Brazil: despite its ruling that voting should be extended by 2 hours the Supreme Court says that voting machines that were sealed cannot be reopened. The only thing that's clear is that whichever side is declared the loser is not going to accept easily the result.
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Andrés Pertierra retweeted
To give you a small idea of the chaos: At São Paulo’s biggest voting station (PUC), some voting machines were closed for the night, while some still open. If you were assigned a closed machine, you cannot vote. That’s in SÃO PAULO. Expect massive legal challenges nationwide. Nobody knows what happens next
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Ancient Mesopotamian city states:
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Andrés Pertierra retweeted
Breaking News: María Corina Machado, the Nobel laureate and leader of Venezuela’s opposition, is back home after nearly a year in exile to press for new elections. nyti.ms/3UGWiRg
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Andrés Pertierra retweeted
After seven failed attempts, some of which were thwarted by opposition from U.S. officials, Maria Corina Machado is back on Venezuelan soil, her aides confirm.
Estoy aquí. Con ustedes
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Andrés Pertierra retweeted
Can we please stop this nonsense already? This is absolutely sickening. Yes, only a minority of Arday's scholarship looks outright fraudulent and needs to be retracted. And I understand why lefty anti-racism activists may still mistake that for vindication. But academics who still defend Arday--after all the blatant lies available to anyone who wants to see them--are doing much more harm to higher ed than the man himself ever did.
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After ten months outside the country it appears María Corina Machado is now back in Venezuela.
Estoy aquí. Con ustedes
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I've long thought the concept of "élites emergentes" from Guatemala was especially useful for understanding how power works in Latin America. Organized crime is one source of the emerging elite regionwide, in Mexico forming a remarkably stable caste of dominant crime families.
Hay familias que han monopolizado las posiciones de liderazgo en las organizaciones criminales como los Guerra, Valencia, Guzmán, Zambada, Arellano, Cárdenas o Carrillo. A continuación una gráfica con las que han durado más tiempo, que se incluyen en un artículo que escribí para @nexosmexico, cuyo link está en el primer comentario.
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If the details alleged against Aida Chávez’s boyfriend are true re: how leaks were conducted, that’s some pretty catastrophic craft at work
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Andrés Pertierra retweeted
Incredible detail about Chris Wickham from his Guardian obit theguardian.com/books/2026/o…
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Maybe this turns into something but usually “arise, arise and rebel!” messaging aimed at military-political elites in Cuba hasn’t gone anywhere. In that context reads more as a low cost gamble than anything else
To those who seek to create positive change in Cuba - now is the time. The disappointment of failed promises, corruption, and the privileged lives of only a few; seize this opportunity to create the change you desire through a discrete partnership with the CIA.
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This messaging was all over the place in 2021 too, or in Venezuela in 2024; didn’t really lead to anything At most it creates a permission structure of “remember you can work with us”, like what happened in Chile in ‘73, but I don’t think Cuban pols & generals need reminder
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The rise of mass short-form video content has been an unmitigated disaster.
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