All views are my own. Mainly interested in Global Macro, Meteorology Videogames and all things that relate to the Dolce Vita in Italy.

London
Joined March 2012
Literally everyone was calling for a complete wipeout in the gold market today, we rallied $80 bucks. Central banks have MUCH larger pockets than anyone one else in this market.
From my NinjaTrader Live First Print note this morning on gold. My commodity note is free: bit.ly/4uCtmqx
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No surprise to anyone half smart . Own goal after own goal by this circus of a party
The Laffer Curve strikes again. Rachel Reeves’s absurd increases to stamp duty have backfired after tax receipts from property sales above £5m fell by £541m in the 18 months following her 2024 budget when she raised the second-home stamp duty surcharge to 5%. Data from estate agents Knight Frank show that in the 18 months subsequent to the budget, the number of sales above £5m dropped by 14% from 2,569 to 2,208, when compared with the 18 months before the budget. Of course it is not just the stamp duty that is lost but also the economic activity that accompanies the property transactions. Reeves has just signed up to the Chartwell Speakers agency to sell speeches for money. Surely for anyone to buy a speech from her is a badge of idiocy?
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A lifetime inside the political and trade-union machine, virtually no serious business experience — yet somehow deemed qualified to run the country’s finances and knows nothing about banks. All ideological and no substance
Banks paid record amount of £48bn in taxes to the Treasury this year & are paying hugely more in London than other financial centres, PWC research has revealed. A London-based lender based faces a total tax rate of 46.2%, compared with 27.9% in New York, 39.1% in Frankfurt and 29% in Dublin. Yet Healey appears determined to make banking in Britain even less competitive. 1/2
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Sound of that slap . Bravo . Might wake him up. Enough is enough in Europe
Italians are out on the streets confronting leftists after riots and looting Legend says the sound of that slap can be still heard around Italy
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Some insane stats . If accurate they are catastrophic for Europe
The biggest, and stupidest, myth in European politics, particularly popular in France, is that Europe suffers the consequences of "austerity" and "neoliberalism". In the biggest 5 countries in Europe, more than half of the population makes its income from the state, less than half from the private sector. This is what makes the problem of reducing the welfare state so impossible: more than half of the voters are net recipients. No surprise that Italy's budget has not been balanced in 100 years, France's in 50 years (ooh la la, l'austérité!!): -France: 30 million from the state versus 21m private sector workers. State spending is 57% of GDP, taxes more than half the economy. The budget hasn't been balanced in the lifetime of most French (since 1974). - Germany: 35 million adults from the state, versus 34 million from the private sector. 10% of the population is registered as severely disabled. Public spending is over half of GDP. Germany has had a continuous budget deficit since 2019. -Italy: 23 million from the state, versus 20.5 million private-sector workers. Public spending is 51% of GDP. Italy has had a budget deficit every year since 1925, for 100 years. - Spain more people get their income from the state since 2024: 18.21 million from the public sector versus 17.9 million people working in the private sector. Since 2025, Spain also had more government employees than self-employed workers (autónomos) for the first time in history. State spending is at 45%, budget has not been balanced since 2007. - UK: 54% of households now receive more in state benefits than they pay in taxes. State spending is 44.5% of GDP, taxes (40%) are at their highest since 1950, the budget hasn't been balanced since 2001, and 1 in 5 new cars is paid by the government through a bizarre state disability scheme (Motability).
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David Balchin retweeted
And Bitcoin? A new 4-year cycle bull market could be underway, based on its power law patterns. There doesn’t seem to be a narrative, but then again, bull markets rarely start with one.
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Doc Elon . Back to the Future . Cheers me up big time
Back to the Future, but Elon is driving. 🚀
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Love this. Making dreams come true
One of my favorite shows as a kid!
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A classic for technical analysts lol Great indicator
Looking at the metadata on @TheEconomist website, you can see the exact time the cover came out. Un. Fooking. Real. @biancoresearch
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Yet we have a government that thinks it knows best ... and enough voters to keep perpetuating the same errors. We have a leadership worthy of the smallest cap out there in terms of stocks, if that
Jensen on why fixing Energy in the UK is crucial: “Without energy there’s no industry, without industry there’s no economic prosperity. With no economic prosperity social problems are hard to fix, national security problems are hard to fix, everything is hard to fix.” YES He said we need to import it or create it here and it could be “fusion, fission, solar, hydro, whatever technology you want to use”
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More than five centuries ago, the son of a wool weaver from Genoa sailed westward to widen the boundaries of the known world. Across a vast and punishing Atlantic, the voyage exhausted the patience of its crew, but never the conviction of its captain. Christopher Columbus kept going. Two hundred and fifty years after America’s founding, we still marvel at the restless spirit of discovery that revealed the New World to the Old. President Trump has defended Columbus against the radical left’s campaign to erase his legacy. Now, Columbus again stands where he belongs – within the great procession of figures who shaped our national story. Happy Columbus Day. Sail On.
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A classic Hard not to love this one
What’s the best Datasoft game released on the Commodore 64? (Without saying Bruce Lee.)
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BREAKING: China’s central bank officially bought +23 tonnes of gold in September, its largest monthly purchase since September 2023. This follows +20 tonnes purchased in both August and July, and marks its 23rd consecutive monthly gold purchase. So far in 2026, China has officially acquired +103 tonnes of gold, raising total holdings to a record 2,410 tonnes. China is now the world’s 5th-largest gold holder, following the US, Germany, Italy, and France. At this pace, it could surpass Italy and France as early as this year, which hold 2,452 tonnes and 2,437 tonnes, respectively. China is aggressively buying the dip in gold.
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You lose all legitimacy to protest or argue your case when acting like this . No matter the cause . What an earth does chopping down a tree in a city have to do with anything ? The level of stupidity is frightening
Meanwhile in France. 🇫🇷 More third World Wonders leave home carrying chainsaws now, causing more damage, destroying homes, destroying communities. These are not students, these are leftists who support the idealology of Islam.
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David Balchin retweeted
In terms of valuation, the forward cap-weighted P/E ratio is now a mere 19.7x, and the equal-weighted index is an even more modest 17.3x. Whatever you want to call this cycle, it isn’t a bubble. Bubbles are all about valuation, and what we have now is the opposite of the first two years of this cyclical bull, when multiples boomed while earnings lagged).
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David Balchin retweeted
I've been making the case for bonds. If this cover cannot convince you that it's time for bonds, I cannot help you anymore!! @donnelly_brent
For years, yields were below where the economy said they should be. That is no longer the case.
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In a recent conversation with Adam Taggart @adamtaggart I made the comment that more printing is inevitable. Some have reached out and said explain it or prove it. The point is that base money must expand to support the growth in debt. Otherwise the debt collapses. IT IS JUST MATH! This chart from our in process EMA Q3 Report shows what I am talking about.
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Will they vote Labour again ? Also what is the incentive of running an efficient council in a highly densely populated area ? None nowadays it would seem. No wonder people are leaving the UK . All the wrong principles here on display by this government
Labour-run Hammersmith & Fulham council is considering a 150% council tax rise on residents following sweeping cuts to its funding by central government. It would mean residents of a Band D property would pay £2,522.50 a year, an increase of £1,513. The council is losing 40% of its £222 million annual contribution from central government under Labour’s “Fair Funding” review. The basic premise of this Labour policy is that it is fair game to slash funding to councils which have succeeded in keeping council tax low. The other councils affected are all Tory-controlled.
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