Jim Tang · Nov 1, 2026 · 8:05 PM UTC

Jim Tang

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Billy Forney 3 retweeted

Jim Tang

@wxmann19h

Holy sh*t. That’s a missile

AZ Intel

@AZ_Intel_19h

BREAKING: New footage captures the aircraft crash in Greenacres, Florida. Preliminary information suggests the aircraft that crashed is a business jet.

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Daniel Swain · Nov 1, 2026 · 8:50 PM UTC

Billy Forney 3 retweeted

Daniel Swain

@Weather_West18h

Many have been asking: "Does this at least help with the Colorado Basin water crisis?" Well, the answer is complicated. Serious costs from historic flooding vs sharp Lake Powell water level rise. Yet Powell, while rising, is still 13 feet lower than this time last year!

Time series plot showing water levels in Lake Powell. A precipitous multiyear decline is visible, followed by a sharp increase in recent days (the magnitude of which still pales in comparison, however, to the multiyear decline).

ALT Time series plot showing water levels in Lake Powell. A precipitous multiyear decline is visible, followed by a sharp increase in recent days (the magnitude of which still pales in comparison, however, to the multiyear decline).

Daniel Swain

@Weather_West18h

Yet another extreme rainfall event is currently unfolding across Arizona and the Four Corners portion of AZ, NM, UT, and CO--and very serious major to locally catastrophic/record-breaking flooding is unfolding. Some areas will see *even worse* flooding than last week by tomorrow.

Current snapshot of flood watches/warning and forecasts from NOAA's Water Prediction Center. It depicts numerous locations at or above predicted flood stage, with more than a few at or predicted to se "major" flooding.

ALT Current snapshot of flood watches/warning and forecasts from NOAA's Water Prediction Center. It depicts numerous locations at or above predicted flood stage, with more than a few at or predicted to se "major" flooding.

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Taylor Trogdon · Nov 1, 2026 · 3:46 PM UTC

Billy Forney 3 retweeted

Taylor Trogdon@TTrogdon23h

I don’t think the hydrological event in southwest Colorado is getting enough attention. This flooding event is historic and that is not hyperbole. The San Juan River at Pagosa Springs is now expected to crest at 19.38 feet; nearly 4.5 feet higher than the historic flood just last week and almost 2 feet above its all-time record. Successive events of similar magnitudes compound impacts given that infrastructure has previously been weakened. I expect this event to cause significant damage to infrastructure across much of Southwest CO.

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Nathaniel Tabor · Oct 29, 2026 · 5:12 PM UTC

Billy Forney 3 retweeted

Nathaniel Tabor

@WeatherCast3Oct 29

I feel like given all the talk about stratospheric warming and polar vortex disruption some things need to be clarified: 1. A SSW(sudden stratospheric warming) and potential subsequent reversal in winds associated with the stratospheric polar vortex DO NOT guarantee wave reflections back to the troposphere or coupling. It can have significant impacts should coupling/reflections to the lower atmosphere occur, but that is something that is still an unknown and will need to be observed in coming days and weeks. Wave reflection can have impacts sooner, coupling can take longer. 2. Notice how I said weeks… there is usually a lag period between the actual disruptive warming event/reversal itself and subsequent downward reflection and/or potential coupling. This can take time, and is still not a guarantee. 3. With the above being said this may have impacts on our pattern at 500 MB down the road come mid/late November, but right now that is TBD. In any case the Nino enhanced sub tropical jet will lead to increased storminess, with wetter and cooler potential for the southern tier of the United States as we move deeper into November, that’s just Nino climo. So while this may be exciting for winter weather enthusiasts and while this event is extraordinary given the environment and time of year it is occurring, nothing is set in stone as of yet. Could this lead to a colder pattern later into November? Yes. Could wave propagation simply be absorbed by the stratosphere leaving a weakened vortex with little downward propagation/surface effects? Also yes. (The second scenario still doesn’t preclude downward coupling later down the road) We know this will more likely than not significantly disrupt the polar vortex, but we still need to have some patience and observe downward coupling/wave propagation over the next 2-4 weeks. Canada is also going to remain quite warm during this time, so any true cold will need to originate via cross polar flow should we get enough polar blocking. Just several things to think about before we get either too hyped up, or too dismissive of this event at the moment.

Image from Nathaniel Tabor (@WeatherCast3)

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Nathaniel Tabor · Oct 21, 2026 · 1:21 AM UTC

Billy Forney 3 retweeted

Nathaniel Tabor

@WeatherCast3Oct 21

This is amazing. Radial shear and vortex rossby waves shaping the eyewall of champi into a hexagonal shape. Similar vortex dynamics can be seen at the poles Saturn. Incredibly intense vortex represented here.

Jesse Ferrell

@WeatherMatrixOct 21

Also Super Typhoon #Champi

Image from Jesse Ferrell (@WeatherMatrix)

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Landon Schaeffer · Oct 20, 2026 · 2:15 PM UTC

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Landon Schaeffer

@LandonWX10Oct 20

What a specimen #Champi t 7.5-8 dvorak should be somewhat weaker once it affects Taiwan to Japan’s but much larger size. But for now what a textbook super typhoon

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NWS Houston · Oct 17, 2026 · 11:07 PM UTC

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NWS Houston

@NWSHoustonOct 17

These winds along our coast are still strong enough to elicit a High Risk of Rip Currents for our Gulf-facing beaches. Risk continues through Sunday morning. #TXwx

National Weather Service Houston/Galveston graphic displaying a High Risk of Rip Currents in effect through 7 AM Sunday for Gulf-facing beaches across the region. The graphic includes safety instructions warning that rip currents can sweep swimmers away from shore, advising against swimming directly against the current, and recommending swimming parallel to the shoreline to escape or drawing attention if unable to reach shore.

ALT National Weather Service Houston/Galveston graphic displaying a High Risk of Rip Currents in effect through 7 AM Sunday for Gulf-facing beaches across the region. The graphic includes safety instructions warning that rip currents can sweep swimmers away from shore, advising against swimming directly against the current, and recommending swimming parallel to the shoreline to escape or drawing attention if unable to reach shore.

National Weather Service Houston/Galveston safety graphic titled Rip Current Safety, updated October 17, 2026. It advises beachgoers to watch for channels of different water colors or choppy and foamy water, and to stay away from rocks due to dangerous rip currents.

ALT National Weather Service Houston/Galveston safety graphic titled Rip Current Safety, updated October 17, 2026. It advises beachgoers to watch for channels of different water colors or choppy and foamy water, and to stay away from rocks due to dangerous rip currents.

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Ryan Maue · Oct 15, 2026 · 3:33 PM UTC

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Ryan Maue

@RyanWeatherOct 15

Here comes the "giant eraser" ... powerful mid-October cold front with dry Canadian Arctic air into this weekend. It might be chilly for some folks! Florida is not participating, of course.

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Landon Schaeffer · Oct 15, 2026 · 4:27 PM UTC

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Landon Schaeffer

@LandonWX10Oct 15

We’re about 24 hours if not less from fall finally arriving in Houston. Gusty winds and temps falling off quickly by late tomorrow afternoon will likely need a light jacket by Friday evening. Will be somewhat of a shock to the system after we have had highs in the 90s all week. Enjoy!

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Nathaniel Tabor · Oct 15, 2026 · 4:53 PM UTC

Billy Forney 3 retweeted

Nathaniel Tabor

@WeatherCast3Oct 15

That’s definitely the sub tropical jet starting to really fire as we move towards Halloween. Going to start getting very rainy in the southern tier of the U.S. it seems.

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NWS Houston · Oct 13, 2026 · 7:28 PM UTC

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NWS Houston

@NWSHoustonOct 13

Looks like this front is shaping up to be the first "real" fall front of the season🍂 The front is expected to pass over our region on Friday, bringing cooler, drier, and breezier weather. Hazardous marine conditions are likely with this frontal passage. Mariners, stay safe!

National Weather Service Houston/Galveston graphic detailing a cold front expected on Friday, bringing cooler and breezy weather, a wind shift to north/northeast, possible rain ahead of the front, and weekend temperatures with highs in the 70s to 80s and lows in the 50s to 60s.

ALT National Weather Service Houston/Galveston graphic detailing a cold front expected on Friday, bringing cooler and breezy weather, a wind shift to north/northeast, possible rain ahead of the front, and weekend temperatures with highs in the 70s to 80s and lows in the 50s to 60s.

National Weather Service Houston/Galveston graphic detailing late-week hazardous marine conditions behind the first fall front, featuring strong winds and hazardous seas, Small Craft Advisory conditions Friday night into Saturday, an increasing chance of gale conditions, and seas of 5 to 8 feet with potential for over 10 feet.

ALT National Weather Service Houston/Galveston graphic detailing late-week hazardous marine conditions behind the first fall front, featuring strong winds and hazardous seas, Small Craft Advisory conditions Friday night into Saturday, an increasing chance of gale conditions, and seas of 5 to 8 feet with potential for over 10 feet.

National Weather Service Houston/Galveston probability map graphic showing the chance of temperatures falling below 60°F during the weekend, featuring high probabilities (>80% chance) north of I-10 and medium probabilities (50-60% chance) south of I-10 following the season's first real fall front.

ALT National Weather Service Houston/Galveston probability map graphic showing the chance of temperatures falling below 60°F during the weekend, featuring high probabilities (>80% chance) north of I-10 and medium probabilities (50-60% chance) south of I-10 following the season's first real fall front.

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NWS Houston · Oct 13, 2026 · 3:11 PM UTC

Billy Forney 3 retweeted

NWS Houston

@NWSHoustonOct 13

Do you notice how muggy it feels today? That's because of high Precipitable Water (PW) values over SE TX. Thanks to persistent onshore flow, lots of Gulf moisture is being advected inland and causing increased humidity today. Plus, high PW helps increase rain chances. #TXwx

A map of the Houston-Galveston region displaying precipitable water values exceeding 2 inches, illustrating above-normal atmospheric moisture levels originating from the Gulf of America.

ALT A map of the Houston-Galveston region displaying precipitable water values exceeding 2 inches, illustrating above-normal atmospheric moisture levels originating from the Gulf of America.

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DeAndre Bevins · Oct 11, 2026 · 11:25 PM UTC

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DeAndre Bevins@BevinsWxOct 11

THEORY THREAD | What happened in Pensacola, Florida during Hurricane #Isaias. The strongest winds in a tropical cyclone is typically seen in the NE Quadrant of the cyclone. However, Isaias strongest winds near landfall occurred in the NW & SW quadrants. So what happened?

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NWS Houston · Oct 12, 2026 · 7:51 PM UTC

Billy Forney 3 retweeted

NWS Houston

@NWSHoustonOct 12

Let's talk about this cold front! It should arrive to our area sometime on Friday. The strength of the front is uncertain, but there are decent chances of reaching temps below 60°F, especially for our northern counties! Regardless, this front will bring cooler, breezy weather.

National Weather Service forecast graphic for the Houston/Galveston area detailing an upcoming cold front on Friday that will bring cooler and breezy weather for the weekend. It notes uncertainty in strength, with some guidance suggesting seasonable conditions (lows in the lower 60s, highs in the lower 80s) and others indicating a stronger front (lows in the 40s, highs in the 70s). The graphic includes a timestamp of Monday, October 12, 2026, at 2:25 PM, National Weather Service branding, and the @NWSHouston social media handle.

ALT National Weather Service forecast graphic for the Houston/Galveston area detailing an upcoming cold front on Friday that will bring cooler and breezy weather for the weekend. It notes uncertainty in strength, with some guidance suggesting seasonable conditions (lows in the lower 60s, highs in the lower 80s) and others indicating a stronger front (lows in the 40s, highs in the 70s). The graphic includes a timestamp of Monday, October 12, 2026, at 2:25 PM, National Weather Service branding, and the @NWSHouston social media handle.

National Weather Service extended outlook forecast graphic for the Houston-Galveston area, featuring multi-day forecast categories including high temperatures in Fahrenheit, low temperatures in Fahrenheit, probability of rain percentage, and wind speed in miles per hour. The graphic includes a timestamp of Monday, October 12, 2026, at 2:25 PM, National Weather Service Office Houston-Galveston branding, the weather.gov/Houston website, and the @NWSHouston social media handle.

ALT National Weather Service extended outlook forecast graphic for the Houston-Galveston area, featuring multi-day forecast categories including high temperatures in Fahrenheit, low temperatures in Fahrenheit, probability of rain percentage, and wind speed in miles per hour. The graphic includes a timestamp of Monday, October 12, 2026, at 2:25 PM, National Weather Service Office Houston-Galveston branding, the weather.gov/Houston website, and the @NWSHouston social media handle.

National Weather Service forecast graphic for the Houston/Galveston area showing the chance percentage for fall temperatures below 60°F this weekend. The map indicates higher probabilities in the northern portion of the region and lower probabilities near the coast, noting uncertainty in the strength of the incoming cold front. The graphic includes a timestamp of Monday, October 12, 2026, at 2:38 PM, National Weather Service branding, and the @NWSHouston social media handle.

ALT National Weather Service forecast graphic for the Houston/Galveston area showing the chance percentage for fall temperatures below 60°F this weekend. The map indicates higher probabilities in the northern portion of the region and lower probabilities near the coast, noting uncertainty in the strength of the incoming cold front. The graphic includes a timestamp of Monday, October 12, 2026, at 2:38 PM, National Weather Service branding, and the @NWSHouston social media handle.

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Nathaniel Tabor · Oct 12, 2026 · 1:45 PM UTC

Billy Forney 3 retweeted

Nathaniel Tabor

@WeatherCast3Oct 12

After a brief cool shot this weekend it’s looking like warmth’s returns for a good chunk of North America. However, looking into the longer range on the euro weeklies it’s becoming increasingly obvious (at least on guidance) that our El Niño will be exerting itself on the pattern more and more the deeper we get into fall. Notice the sub tropical jet beginning to show up in the long range with undercutting across the southern tier of the U.S., and higher than normal precipitation analogies beginning to show themselves as well.

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NWS Weather Prediction Center · Oct 11, 2026 · 6:27 PM UTC

Billy Forney 3 retweeted

NWS Weather Prediction Center

@NWSWPCOct 11

Below are some of the preliminary observed rainfall reports associated with Isaias over the last two days.

Image from NWS Weather Prediction Center (@NWSWPC)

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Saildrone · Oct 9, 2026 · 6:36 PM UTC

Billy Forney 3 retweeted

Saildrone@saildroneOct 9

JUST IN: Saildrone Explorer SD-1045 passed through the eye of Category 3 Hurricane Isaias, recording wind gusts over 90 knots (103 mph). This is the same USV that filmed inside Hurricane Sam in 2021, setting a Guinness World Record. Watch ↓ @NOAA_AOML @noaapmel

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Matt Lanza · Oct 9, 2026 · 9:27 PM UTC

Billy Forney 3 retweeted

Matt Lanza@mattlanzaOct 9

Isaias remains a major hurricane on approach to Destin or nearby. Lots of lightning in that western eyewall. This storm won't give up easily.

The Eyewall@TheEyewallWxOct 9

A late Fri afternoon update, as Isaias is approaching a later evening landfall near Destin, FL. Details on the inland rain and wind risks are highlights of this post, as well as a detailed look at Tropical Storm Watches for the San Diego area from Rachel: theeyewall.substack.com/p/is…

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USGS Earthquakes · Oct 9, 2026 · 6:05 PM UTC

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USGS Earthquakes

@USGS_QuakesOct 9

Notable quake, preliminary info: M 8.0 - 14 km SW of Pitaloza Arriba, Panama ow.ly/HZPM106G9eV

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Dr. Levi Cowan · Oct 9, 2026 · 5:52 PM UTC

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Dr. Levi Cowan

@TropicalTidbitsOct 9

It's possible that the @NOAA_HurrHunter aircraft just measured the first solid evidence of vertical shear directly attacking the eyewall of Hurricane #Isaias. The last penetration measured an anomalous temperature spike at 750mb within the SW eyewall -—not within the eye—7C higher than the previously measured eye maximum. This might be evidence of a rapidly descending flow belt caused by shear laterally forcing external air into the eyewall region, leading to a massive subsidence inversion. This is often observed in high-resolution modeling (see HAFS sounding from this morning's 06Z run). The dewpoint also sharply decreased concurrent with the temperature spike measured by aircraft, supporting the possibility that this phenomenon was observed. This could foretell significant erosion of the southern eyewall in the near future, but time will tell. For now, Isaias remains as strong as ever according to the same aircraft data.

Image from Dr. Levi Cowan (@TropicalTidbits)

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