Stock market observer with a focus on fundamental analysis—tracking earnings, industry shifts, and risk management. Here to exchange ideas with fellow investors
Joined January 2025
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CCUS is the engine of industrial revitalization. The implementation of this project will promote employment and energy independence, thereby enhancing the UKs competitiveness in the field of low-carbon technologies CarbonCapture UKEconomy
Blithe Davis retweeted
Across 88 overlapping ten-year windows from 1928 to 2024, 10-year Treasuries posted a positive return every time.
Holding high-quality government bonds for a decade has a long record of ending above where it started.
The weakest stretch was 2013 to 2022, at +0.12% annualized. Barely positive, but still positive.
The strongest windows came in the period ending in the early 1990s, when annualized returns approached 14%.
The chart is clear about its limits. These are nominal returns before inflation, taxes, and fees, so positive in dollars does not mean positive in purchasing power.
Overlapping windows also share many of the same years, so 88 results are not 88 independent tests.
Even so, a century of data shows how rare it has been for patient Treasury investors to lose money over a full decade.
Blithe Davis retweeted
#TSCO 535p
Fundamental analysts seem to believe they have a monopoly on the concept of "Fair Value." I disagree.
As a chartist, I see value through price action, market structure and technical mean reversion. Price has a tendency to revert towards its mean. The skill is understanding WHEN and WHERE that reversal is likely to occur.
I've taken profits on Tesco at 535p. I'll be looking to buy again when price returns to an attractive technical value area.
Buy the swing lows. Sell the swing highs. Rinse and repeat.
And if price pulls back to the 200-day moving average, with the right setup? That's when I look to size up.
Price is what you pay. Value is what you understand.
#TSCO #Tesco #PriceAction #SwingTrading
Blithe Davis retweeted
Things you might've missed on MSE this week:
🎄 It's beginning to look a lot like... time to book your Christmas food delivery slot!
🚂 More people now qualify for Disabled Person's Railcard.
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And more:
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Blithe Davis retweeted
Thing that stands out on #FEVR is the Revenue Growth. I bought on basis the growth forecasts looked way too low (last time I looked forecast was 14% growth !!!) - but Revenue actually up 45% and an astonishing 73% in UK. Divvy up 40% !!!
Bellilys expression clearly says, 'Im extremely panicked.' Are companies starting to lay off employees in order to cut energy costsd It seems that an interest rate hike in November is now inevitable, and the British economy is about to experience a hard landing.
Dude, it seems like people are just too caught up in the hype to realize the rally is running on borrowed time!.
"Looks like a juicy butterfly spread opportunity in CHWY call options! Premium's getting pulled in, time to cash ind".
🔍 An order in #CHWY showed 3,026 contracts traded vs open interest of 865 for the 01/21/28 25 calls, with a reported premium of $1.31M. Andrew Keene outlined a more cost-conscious bullish approach using a 25/30 #bullcallspread. Follow us ➡️ instagram.com/optionstrat/ #OptionStrat
Cool! I've always wanted to meet Martin Lewis in person Thanks for the tip on getting free tickets to TV shows!.
Ever wanted to be in a TV show audience?
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Looks like the market's got a bad case of panic selling!.
A Massive Liquidity Drain Is About To Hit The Market
seekingalpha.com/article/495…
"Good to know that SSA is bumping up their benefits, it's a big help for retirees struggling with inflation!".
Blithe Davis retweeted
UK inflation could return to the Bank of England’s 2% target by the end of 2027, with interest rates falling from current levels, according to the head of Lazarus Economics and Strategy. financialreporter.co.uk/infl…
Blithe Davis retweeted
☀️Good Morning Traders!
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