Finally, Airbnb! Well done. Visitors are there to enjoy their holiday, not to do the work

Iran threatening to cut undersea internet cables. How will this impact the world?!! And would it bring a more drastic US military retaliation on Iran.

GEOPOLITICS ALERT: There is credible reporting of military preparations and serious consideration of renewed attacks over Iran from a US & Israel coalition. Even before the US Midterm elections. Israel is pressuring for attacks before their elections next Tuesday (27 Oct). Trump's approval remains uncertain If attacks occur most probably they will happen after the Friday markets close. A further military buildup could increase the risk premium in oil and create volatility in Bitcoin and equities. An actual attack this time could trigger a much sharper reaction, especially if Iran retaliates against regional energy infrastructure or shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. However looking at how Bitcoin reacted in the past, it seemed that Bitcoin drops drastically at the moments attacks are announced, due to the fact that bitcoin trades 24/7 it gets volatile on such news. Nevertheless, it recovers very quickly after the attacks and especially is the US or Israel declare that the attacks were limited in scope and the targets have been neutralised.

Lots of fearmongering on Chinese Stock Exchange drop fears going on right now. BUT the Chinese stock market has been (look at the 2nd zoomed out chart since 2005) , it shows the Chinese market zig zagging it's way through, no particular real growth consolidation. Thus, I believe that we are in a point where the Chinese Stock Exchange is bottoming out, as the usual bottoming process. Contrary to what many other traders are saying here on X , I will be buying some spot exposure to China right now as the RSI has reached very low levels (look at the first chart, i pointed out in green circles). This is usually a good turning and thus an optimal buying point in my opinion.

Bitcoin has dropped from yesterday’s $84.8K high to $81.6K, with nearly $500M in liquidations across longs and shorts. Painful in the short term, but this leverage flush could help reset the market. The next move needs to be driven by genuine spot buying, not leveraged speculation. What the three DMI lines are telling us (My favourite indicator) Blue: +DI (20.1), represents Bulls conviction Buyers have recovered slightly from recent lows, but the reading remains relatively weak. Bulls have not established convincing control. Orange : -DI (19.55) - bearish directional pressure. below +DI, meaning buyers currently have the advantage. However, the gap is very small. Red : ADX (17.8) Trend strength (not direction). Below 20 generally suggests a weak trend. The current reading indicates that neither side has established the upper hand yet. Why is the DMI behaving this way? Look at Bitcoin's price action over the same period. The September rally: Bitcoin pushed sharply higher, and +DI surged as buyers gained control. The move was directional and had stronger momentum. The October sideways trading: +DI fell while -DI remained elevated, reflecting weakening buying pressure and stronger selling pressure. The recent consolidation: Both DI lines have compressed towards each other around the 20 level. Bitcoin has been moving sideways around the $80K-$84K area, with neither buyers nor sellers consistently dominating. The latest drop: Bitcoin has fallen back towards $81.7K after briefly recovering towards $84K.

Nasdaq futures down 1.56%, wiping out most of the past three days’ gains. Chinese stocks are down 1.81% today, nearly 20% since June, erasing around $700 BILLION in market value.

Bitcoin dropped to $81.6k now, it went up to $84.8K yesterday. Massive Liquidations amounting to nearly HALF A BILLION DOLLARS were registered on both Longs and Shorts. This reset is good for Bitcoin, leverage has been eaten out and now we can hope for a move upwards soon on sustainable SPOT purchases.

The original Dacoinminster formula, since 2013 is: Price = 4.42×10⁻¹⁷ × (days since 3 Jan 2009)^5.6. It has never been refit. Dacoinminster put that together in 2013 from a simple log-log fit of days versus price. The same two numbers are still the baseline every. Now we obviously have another 13 years of data, so let's take every available price point from the early years through today and run a fresh log-log fit, we get this new powerlaw: Price = 2.63×10⁻¹⁴ × days^4.88 The exponent drops a bit and the coefficient adjusts. Orange line: The untouched 2013 Dacoinminster Powerlaw version. Blue dashed line : New formula, full-history refit. Green line: Bitcoin price Dacoinminster was the first person to treat Bitcoin’s price as a power law of time and then leave the fit alone. He plotted days since genesis against price on log-log paper in 2013, saw the straight line, and published the formula. Everyone else kept adding variables or refitting after every cycle. He did not. Thirteen years later the same line is still the closest simple description of the path, and the multiples at the extremes still make sense against it. HE WAS FIRST AND HE WAS RIGHT

Part of Bitcoin's rally is a short squeeze. Shorts get liquidated, exchanges buy back BTC, price rises, and more shorts get forced out. That's how a move can accelerate so quickly. The real question is what happens when the forced buying ends. Does spot demand keep pushing, or does the rally run out of fuel?

Bitcoin's bounce is getting interesting, 3 straight days of positive US spot ETF flows. $831M in total. Can BTC push through $85K-$87.5K anytime soon?

A pattern I noticed this week, grifters are trying their best to keep Bitcoin down during off peak hours on very low volume, once the US open bell rings bullishness comes back. Did you notice this? If you can help in this analysis please let me know I am investigating this deeper

A new wave of widespread protests is expected across Europe this coming weekend. Unfortunately these are expected to be worse than last week's uncoordinated ones, because protestors had an entire week to coordinate now on social media and through private channels on telegram and signal. Intelligence services have been working overtime, but they are still always one step behind due to powerful encryption connections on some apps. However it has been reported in some instances that police managed to infiltrate Facebook accounts and read private messages, since FB is known to cooperate with the authorities. How these protests could affect the markets: Markets are already reacting to unrest in France. On 19 October, the French CAC 40 fell 1.1%, the pan-European STOXX 600 dropped 0.9%, and the euro weakened. French government borrowing costs also rose as investors questioned the government's ability to control its deficit and implement reforms. Government bonds: potentially the biggest risk If protests prevent France from passing a credible budget or cutting its deficit, investors may demand higher interest rates to lend to the government. Bond prices fall as yields rise. The danger is contagion. If investors start worrying about Italy and other heavily indebted countries, borrowing costs across the eurozone could rise too. That would make government debt more expensive to refinance. The euro: downward pressure Political uncertainty and concerns about French debt can make investors less willing to hold euro-denominated assets. Money may shift towards the US dollar, Swiss franc or other perceived safe havens. A weaker euro could benefit some European exporters, but it also makes dollar-priced imports, including energy, more expensive. 3. European stocks: more volatility French banks are particularly exposed because rising government bond yields can hurt the value of their bond holdings and increase concerns about credit conditions. Retailers, insurers, travel companies and businesses directly affected by disruptions may also suffer.

Mark Zuckerberg just said Threads surpassed X in monthly active users. Have you ever heard anyone say they are in Threads? How are these metrics measured?!!!

$527M Monday $23M Tuesday $525M Wednesday Bitcoin ETFs just recorded two $500M+ inflow days in one week. After weeks of selling pressure, the money is coming back. Wednesday’s numbers tell the story: IBIT: +$235M FBTC: +$212.7M GBTC: +$32.6M Even GBTC, which had been a source of selling pressure, flipped positive. Bitcoin briefly hit $84,000 before pulling back towards $82,800 overnight. One thing is clear: buyers are stepping in again. $1.05 billion in inflows over two days is hard to ignore. The October selloff shook confidence. Now the money is flowing back in.

The Bitcoin Sell Wall is breaking down

Bitcoin's next move depends on one important question: Who's actually buying? If this rally is mainly driven by liquidated shorts, the buying pressure can fade once those positions are cleared. If spot buyers keep stepping in after the squeeze, that's a much more interesting signal.

The interesting thing about a Bitcoin rally is that you don't need everyone to turn bullish. Sometimes you just need enough bears to be wrong at the same time. Short covering can create a powerful move before sentiment has even changed.