If Netanyahu loses in today's Israeli election, could it be a reset moment for American Jews? @ianbremmer tells @chucktodd that Netanyahu has ruined Israel's public image in the U.S. by being in coalition with "fascist leaders" who he says have prevented the government from going after “Israeli terrorists in the West Bank.” Watch the full conversation on the Noosphere app noosphere.app/how-geopolitic…

Bellwether is an independent election forecast, built and run @zacwhite and published in partnership with Noosphere. Bellwether publishes a win probability for every House, Senate and governor race on the 2026 ballot, and a seat distribution for each chamber. Each race blends fundamentals with any polling average, and each chamber is simulated 20,000 times with errors correlated across races. Where certified ballot rules leave only one party eligible, that party's win is certain. Check it out: bellwether.noosphere.app/

Ian Bremmer tells @chucktodd that Trump is waiting until after the midterms to strike Iran. @ianbremmer: “But Trump understands that any military move is only going to bring [oil and gas prices] higher. So he's waiting until after the midterms ... But I still do expect that we're going to see more U.S. and Israeli military activity against Iran.” Watch the full conversation on the Noosphere app noosphere.app/how-geopolitic…

Ian Bremmer explains to @chucktodd why military aid to Israel is one of the three most unpopular positions a congressional candidate can hold. @ianbremmer: “Why are we sending billions of dollars to Israel? ... They are an advanced industrial democracy with nuclear weapons. So why are we doing that? Like, even if nominally, you think, okay, fine, like, they're a democracy and we generally like them more than we like Palestinians. But why would you pay for it?” Watch the full conversation on the Noosphere app noosphere.app/how-geopolitic…

This past week on Noosphere - @LauraTrevelyan and @chucktodd cohost our first Global Live! - @chucktodd talks to @JeffFlake - @ConklingAnna reports from Ukraine - @tiff_higgins reports from Brazil - @blumenfeldpix reports from Israel - @Shrouqaila reports from Gaza Access the full reports on the Noosphere app: noosphere.app

Ian Bremmer tells @chucktodd that Trump would be reluctant to strike Iran if Netanyahu were no longer Israel's prime minister. @ianbremmer: “[Netanyahu] actually said that he, of course, wanted to engage in strikes against Iran before his own election. ... And Trump told him not to. But he's got at least a blinking yellow, maybe a blinking green, to go in with the Americans after US midterms.” Watch the full conversation on the Noosphere app: noosphere.app/how-geopolitic…

Ian Bremmer tells @chucktodd that Trump is more popular than Netanyahu in Israel. @ianbremmer: “Even before October 7th, there were nationwide demonstrations against him because of what he was trying to do to destroy the independent judiciary in that country, because of the domestic challenges where there are real opponents, because this is a corrupt guy who's been done up on all sorts of individual charges that involving his family, and he's trying as best as he can to avoid ever going to jail.” Watch the full conversation on the Noosphere app: noosphere.app/how-geopolitic…

Ian Bremmer tells @chucktodd that if Marine Le Pen wins, it could bring about a “financial crisis” in France. @ianbremmer: “The markets are punishing the French for their behavior, but they're punishing France when the leader they're worried about isn't even in power.” Watch the full conversation on the Noosphere app noosphere.app/how-geopolitic…