Blair Jensen (@DownsideHedge) header
Blair Jensen (@DownsideHedge) profile picture

I can't see the future, therefore I hedge.

Northern California
Joined June 2012
Photo by Blair Jensen (@DownsideHedge)Photo by Blair Jensen (@DownsideHedge)Photo by Blair Jensen (@DownsideHedge)Photo by Blair Jensen (@DownsideHedge)Photo by Blair Jensen (@DownsideHedge)Photo by Blair Jensen (@DownsideHedge)Photo by Blair Jensen (@DownsideHedge)Photo by Blair Jensen (@DownsideHedge)Photo by Blair Jensen (@DownsideHedge)Photo by Blair Jensen (@DownsideHedge)
This is the one hundredth time we’ve seen this trend line. Probably means it matters. It doesn’t pay to be smarter than the market. $SPX $QQQ
I don't know that it gets any more clear than that folks? Breaks above the descending trend line = BULLISH Breaks below the descending trend line = BEARISH Let your time horizon dictate how you engage either outcome! $SPX $SPY
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The Twitter breadth chart can be found here: tradefollowers.com/stock/bre… Bullish stock list is here: tradefollowers.com/strength/…
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A bright spot for Twitter breadth is the bullish list is showing more sectors. Broadening the base. $SPX $QQQ
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Stock market breadth calculated from Twitter starting to stall. Bulls want this to continue higher. $SPX $QQQ
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Twitter seems to take a lot longer to suspend imposter accounts in this new Elon Era. Please Note: I NEVER SEND UNSOLICITED DM'S TO ANYONE. EVER. Caveat Emptor...
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DXY. The most interesting chart considering the juncture.
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$VIX is now 30.23 +0.25. The movement in $VIX recently is rather interesting, seemingly less sensitive to immediate price movement in equity mkts than the the continued uncertainty and macro concerns that hold potential for greater price movement at any moment.
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You shouldn’t only understand that an indicator works, you should understand why it works, what’s behind it, and how you think it might change. Trader Vic Sperandeo
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My latest Chart In Focus article, "Coppock Curve Still Working On a Major Bottom Signal", is posted at mcoscillator.com/learning_ce….
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Blair Jensen retweeted
How to use a fork to help hanging pictures much easier
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Today is a great example to further one's appreciation of just how heavy a high $VIX is. $SPX drops 1.4% on the day and VIX still drops .22 Tells me that SPX could drop 1% a day forever and VIX won't go much higher than 32. It needs real fear to drive higher
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The VIX was red yesterday. Hadn't realized that.
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Memo to self: draw a line on chart and you should expect a lot of controversy. It's almost like the blue/gold dress thing.
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I still think this line is important.
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They noticed...
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For now, NASDAQ 100 vs. S&P 500 ratio holding "risk-on" trend from May/June lows. Should learn more either way in coming days/weeks. Click image to enlarge. $QQQ vs. $SPY
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Gotta love seeing people say that I'm flipping by bias by mentioning a relief rally. It's the same thing I've said all week. 👇 🤦‍♂️ It is possible to be cautiously bullish over the next week or two and be bearish over the next 3-6 months. $TOTAL $BTC $ETH
Maybe another +3-5% for #crypto before we get some significant retests. 👀 $TOTAL
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Worth repeating...
Lots of folks looking for V bottom a la 2018/2020. But this time "Don't Fight The Fed" still in force, so market more likely to make an initial low somewhere, bounce, then - at best - go thru base-building process. So if we get a V bottom suspect it will be just a short-term one.
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$BTC #Bitcoin Bull thesis: Trading at the long-term potential support zone. Bear thesis: Potential bear flag.
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$SPY #SPY Last week's post read: "Bear thesis: Price nearing the broadening resistance zone. Bull thesis: Both $QQQ and $IWM have started to break out of these resistance zones." Let's see if we get a continued reversal next week. New weekend video: youtu.be/_CUuDJhGejQ
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