Latest short, medium and long range weather forecasts for the UK from GavsWeatherVids (GWV) owner Gavin Partridge. Mouth Cancer Survivor (2022)

Northants. United Kingdom
Joined September 2009
❤️
My 92 year old mum had a go at presenting the weather yesterday! The @BBCWales weather team had better watch out! 😉
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My 92 year old mum had a go at presenting the weather yesterday! The @BBCWales weather team had better watch out! 😉
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Here's todays ten to fourteen day video update; High Pressure Dominating First Half Of November? youtube.com/watch?v=Bwy2MJsP…
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This week we'll be LIVE 🔴 @ GWV, three times.. 👀 Wednesday (6:00-6:30pm) Friday (22:30'ish) Sunday (6pm) #ChristmasCountdown begins Mon 2nd Nov & winter updates continue... Is Gav back? I think #GavsBack Thanks so much for all the support & love over all of the years ❤️
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Will be LIVE 🔴 at 6om discussing the seventh and eighth winter updates, doing a ten to fourteen dayer and looking at some long range See you then 👍
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1/6 Was there or was there not an early warming of the Stratosphere (NOT an official SSW) in November 1962? This is what Google AI says: "Yes, there was an unusual early-season "Canadian Warming" event in the stratosphere in November 1962" READ ON FOR MORE:
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5/6 Subsequent Historical Impact: The tropospheric response took several weeks to filter down, but this initial stratospheric disruption ultimately culminated in a massive, historic wave-2 polar vortex split in January 1963.
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6/6 This sequence prolonged and intensified the infamous "Big Freeze of 1962–1963", which became one of the coldest winters on record for the United Kingdom and parts of Europe. *** End Thread (and if you got through the entire thread, well done 👌 )
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👀
Replying to @GavinPartridge
Bad winters seem to come in 16yr cycles: 1946/47 1962/63 1978/79 1995/96 2010/11 2026/27?
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The epic eighth winter 2026/27 update is in the "can" Have got loads on the Strat this week plus all the usual winter updates goodness. 10am your place, yeah? 👌
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Er.... Didn't November 1962 have an SSW (at 30hpa anyway) ? 👀
Wow! Latest ECMWF 12z is going all out in the stratosphere, now forecasting an actual Stratospheric Warming event with a wind reversal, making it an official SSW event. It will likely not remain at this, as this would be an unprecedented event, and the model trend map shows quite a spread between the last runs. But even seeing this suggested at this time is really insane. All the maps are available in my Polar Vortex hub (link in the comments) @judah47 I have seen you noticed the 12z ECM, but did you know it also has a proper reversal? 😁
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GavsWeatherVids retweeted
Tomorrow looking horrendous for anyone other than a duck
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ANNOUNCEMENT: Pub Run: LIVE 🔴 (Season 7) will return next week, Friday 30th October #GiddyGav
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