Senior Fellow for Middle East Policy @IISS_org | Foreign policy & economic statecraft | Gulf & S Asia | PhD @KingsIndiaInst | Formerly @BahrainPMO
Bahrain | London | दिल्ली
Joined April 2010
- Tweets15.7K
- Following2.2K
- Followers6.7K
- Likes4.2K
Hasan T. Alhasan حسن الحسن retweeted
The IISS #MDYoungLeaders Programme is officially underway! Our new Young Leaders have taken part in a special series of roundtable discussions and a scenario-building exercise. We look forward to hearing their contributions to the debate at #IISS_MD26 this weekend | @GCCSG @UKinBahrain go.iiss.org/MDYLP26
Hasan T. Alhasan حسن الحسن retweeted
SAVE THE DATE: Join us on October 22 for the launch of our Regional Economic Outlook for the Middle East and North Africa, hosted by @DIFC. The panel features @jihad_azour, @OfficialADCB's Monica Malik, @carole_nakhle, and @HTAlhasan, moderated by @AbeerAO1.
Hasan T. Alhasan حسن الحسن retweeted
“They may not trust Iran, but they don't trust the US to have their best interests at heart either.” @HTAlhasan explains the balancing act shaping Gulf policy and what it could mean for the future of Gulf-Iran relations:
Hasan T. Alhasan حسن الحسن retweeted
For the first time in two months since the de-facto cessation of the Memorandum of (Mis?)Understanding, the aggregate exports of crude oil out of the US Blockade Line by Iraq, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, the UAE and Oman have been averaging north of 10 million barrels per day.
Iranian crude oil exports continue to remain at zero.
#OOTT #IranWar #Tankers
Hasan T. Alhasan حسن الحسن retweeted
Pakistan, Saudi Arabia and Türkiye’s new defence pact is emblematic of the shifts in defence cooperation in the region. It raises questions on how far the agreement will be upheld and on how it will affect relations within the Gulf and beyond.
Read the latest analysis by Dr Hasan Alhasan (@HTAlhasan) and Asna Waji:
➡️ go.iiss.org/4bLtmgu
Hasan T. Alhasan حسن الحسن retweeted
In return for the cessation of hostilities and resumption of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, the US makes a range of financial and security concessions to Iran that enter into force during the initial 60-day period following the signing of the US–Iran MoU.
The Arab Gulf states are publicly supporting the US–Iran MoU to avoid further hostilities. However, the associated concessions from the US come with numerous security concerns for the region.
Read the latest analysis by Dr @HTAlhasan: go.iiss.org/4xQ2aGt
Hasan T. Alhasan حسن الحسن retweeted
The Arab Gulf states are publicly supporting the US–Iran MoU to avoid further hostilities. However, the associated concessions from the US in the MoU come with numerous security concerns for the region.
Read the latest analysis by Dr Hasan Alhasan (@HTAlhasan): go.iiss.org/4xQ2aGt
Hasan T. Alhasan حسن الحسن retweeted
Marco Rubio is here in the UAE, then heading onward to Kuwait and Bahrain — the three Gulf allies have been hit hardest by Iran. Can Rubio reassure leaders that their interests won’t be sidelined? @HTAlhasan and @FirasMaksad weigh in.
Hasan T. Alhasan حسن الحسن retweeted
Good read by @HTAlhasan : Bahrain has long been in Iran's crosshairs en.majalla.com/node/331511/p…
Hasan T. Alhasan حسن الحسن retweeted
📢 2pm BST today: Is the Middle East splitting into rival blocs?
Speakers discuss how the Iran war is reshaping rivalries across the Middle East.
▪️@HTAlhasan
▪️@DEsfandiary
▪️@YasFarouk
▪️@FirasMaksad
▪️@SanamVakil
Register ⤵️
chathamhouse.org/events/all/…
Hasan T. Alhasan حسن الحسن retweeted
Do register and join us for a conversation with @YasFarouk @DEsfandiary @HTAlhasan @FirasMaksad on the balance of power in the Middle East
📢 UPCOMING WEBINAR | Is the Middle East splitting into rival blocs?
Speakers discuss how the Iran war is reshaping rivalries across the Middle East.
▪️@HTAlhasan
▪️@DEsfandiary
▪️@YasFarouk
▪️@FirasMaksad
▪️@SanamVakil
📅 10/6
🕐 2pm BST
Register ⤵️
chathamhouse.org/events/all/…
Hasan T. Alhasan حسن الحسن retweeted
Will Middle Eastern countries give in to President Trump’s push to sign the Abraham Accords? @HTAlhasan doesn’t think so. Here’s why: (1/3)
Hasan T. Alhasan حسن الحسن retweeted
The Arab Gulf states are looking to replenish and strengthen their air and missile defences following the Iranian attacks earlier this year.
While there has been a flurry of activity, rearmament will require overcoming multiple challenges.
Read the latest analysis by @albert_vidal_: go.iiss.org/4wt4ann
Hasan T. Alhasan حسن الحسن retweeted
“Iranian regime believes it can outlast Trump and therefore has no real reason to compromise”
There are 3 camps emerging in the Gulf @HTAlhasan tells me regarding the approach to the Iranian regional threat
* Accommodative (Oman). Compromises need to be made to a large neighbor who isn’t going away
* Confrontationists (UAE, Bahrain). Diplomacy has failed. Military deterrence needed
- somewhere in the middle (KSA, Qatar, Kuwait) ultimately no alternative to an immediate de-escalation as military strikes haven’t achieved political effects
Watch here: bloomberg.com/news/videos/20…
Hasan T. Alhasan حسن الحسن retweeted
"A group of four regional powers – Egypt, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia and Türkiye – are closing ranks...The new Middle Eastern quadrilateral appears to be an attempt to counterbalance Israel’s designs to ‘redraw’ the map of the Middle East and to address shared security concerns, most notably the United States–Israeli war with Iran," @HTAlhasan writes
iiss.org/online-analysis/onl…
Hasan T. Alhasan حسن الحسن retweeted
Since the recent conflict in Iran, a new geopolitical bloc involving Egypt, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia and Türkiye has been forming in the Middle East.
While not formalised, the four states are poised to tackle shared security concerns together.
Read the latest analysis by @HTAlhasan: go.iiss.org/4evtnY3
Hasan T. Alhasan حسن الحسن retweeted
“Different Gulf states want different things,” @HTAlhasan tells me, stressing there is no unified GCC position on what an Iran endgame should look like. (1/2)
Hasan T. Alhasan حسن الحسن retweeted
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has climbed to its highest level since the conflict began, but most of that growth is still being driven by Iran-linked trade, and transits remain far below normal levels
Hasan T. Alhasan حسن الحسن retweeted
Ending the war in the near future while Iran still controls the crucial waterway would be a geopolitical disaster for America’s allies and partners in the Middle East and beyond, said Hasan Alhasan, a senior fellow at the International Institute for Strategic Studies.
“Iran would be able to enforce selective sanctions on whomever it wants and whenever it wants, and essentially hold the flow of shipping through the strait at risk if it desires to do so,” Alhasan said. “This would ensure indefinite Iranian leverage over the Gulf states’ economies and over global energy security, and it would leave Iran in a state in which it is still capable of posing a threat, wounded, embittered, and in a hostile posture vis-à-vis most countries in the region.” @HTAlhasan
wsj.com/world/middle-east/co…
Whoever ends up controlling the Strait of Hormuz once the guns fall silent will be the winner of the war. So far, it looks like Iran is on a path to strategic victory. My analysis (from the shores of the strait) in @WSJ
wsj.com/world/middle-east/co…
