
Dist. Prof. @NCSU. Explorer&scientist, educator, heterodox thinker, devil's advocate. Harald, Harald, Harald's. đđ
Cary, NC
Joined April 2021
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I always felt that this was a problem ever since the 90s. when the big ideas got lost and the cuteness of the phrase became the holy grail. Style overtook substance. Postmodernism and Deconstruction getting unspooled now by AI.
J'ai enfin mis le doigt sur ce qui dérange vraiment les gens qui hurlent dÚs qu'on écrit avec l'IA.
Ils sacralisent les mots. Le choix d'un adjectif, le rythme d'une phrase, la petite tournure dont ils sont fiers. Pour eux, écrire, c'est ça. Et si une machine y touche, c'est une profanation.
Sauf que dans 99 % des cas, ce n'est pas ça qui compte.
Un post sur X, un article de presse, une tribune, un essai, un livre de prospective : personne ne lit ça pour la beauté de la phrase. On le lit pour les idées. Pour le signal. Pour la façon dont une idée en éclaire une autre, dont trois concepts qu'on croyait séparés se retrouvent soudain connectés. La valeur est là , dans l'architecture de la pensée. Le reste, c'est de l'emballage.
NapolĂ©on l'avait compris il y a deux siĂšcles. Il ne rĂ©digeait pas, il dictait. Il marchait de long en large et balançait ses idĂ©es Ă toute vitesse Ă ses secrĂ©taires, qui notaient comme ils pouvaient avant de tout remettre au propre. Des dizaines de milliers de lettres, d'ordres, de directives. Est-ce que quelqu'un s'est dĂ©jĂ demandĂ© si la virgule Ă©tait de lui ? Ăvidemment que non. Il ne faisait pas un exercice de style. Il faisait un exercice d'idĂ©es. Et quand ce qui compte, ce sont les idĂ©es, on se fout complĂštement de qui tient la plume.
C'est exactement ce que je fais. Je parle. Je déroule mes idées à voix haute, je les connecte entre elles, je pousse le raisonnement jusqu'au bout. Puis l'IA décompresse ce signal et le met en forme. Le fond est à 100 % le mien. L'IA, c'est mon secrétaire. Napoléon en avait plusieurs, j'en ai un qui ne dort jamais.
Alors oui, il existe des cas oĂč le style est l'Ćuvre. La poĂ©sie, le roman, la littĂ©rature au sens noble. LĂ , la forme est le fond, et je comprends qu'on veuille tout ciseler Ă la main. Mais soyons honnĂȘtes : quand vous Ă©crivez un thread sur la gĂ©opolitique ou un bouquin sur l'avenir du travail, vous ne faites pas du Chateaubriand. Personne ne relira vos phrases dans deux cents ans pour leur musicalitĂ©. Passer trois heures Ă polir une tournure dans ce contexte, ce n'est pas de l'exigence. C'est de la branlette intellectuelle.
Et le pire, c'est qu'ils s'en vantent. « Moi, j'Ă©cris tout moi-mĂȘme. » Comme un comptable qui se vanterait de faire ses additions Ă la main. Ce sont des artisans de la phrase qui n'ont pas vu que l'atelier venait d'ĂȘtre industrialisĂ©, et qui confondent la fiertĂ© du geste avec la valeur de ce qu'ils produisent.
Ce qu'ils perdent est Ă©norme. Le volume, d'abord : on peut produire dix fois plus. La vitesse : une idĂ©e peut ĂȘtre accouchĂ©e le jour oĂč elle naĂźt, pas trois semaines plus tard quand elle a refroidi. Et surtout l'exploration : plus on sort d'idĂ©es, plus on les confronte au rĂ©el, plus on en fait naĂźtre de nouvelles.
C'est ça qui me rend triste. Il y a énormément de gens brillants, de vrais intellectuels, avec une pensée dense et originale, qui sortent trois textes par an parce qu'ils s'épuisent sur la forme. Ils pourraient en sortir cinquante. Ils pourraient irriguer le débat public au lieu de le nourrir au compte-gouttes.
Napoléon dictait. Les intellectuels d'aujourd'hui refusent de le faire. Et c'est nous tous qui y perdons.
Harald Ade retweeted
The Marshmallow Test â Why Civilizations Live and Die on Patience
At Stanford, around 1970, a psychologist put a marshmallow in front of a four-year-old and offered a deal: eat it now, or wait fifteen minutes and get two. Then he left the room. Years later, the children who waited did better at school, at work, and in life. Everyone took the lesson to be about children. The real lesson is about civilizations.
1. The test. Watch the videos and you will laugh. Children cover their eyes, sing to themselves, kick the table, and lick the marshmallow without biting it. Some eat it before the door closes. You know these people â some of them are your colleagues, and one of them is you at 11 pm in front of the fridge.
2. The twist. In 2012, researchers ran the test again with one change. First, an adult promised the children better crayons and came back with nothing. Then came the marshmallow, and those children barely waited. Children whose promise had been kept waited four times longer. Patience is not only character. It is trust: you wait only if you believe the second marshmallow will really come.
3. Economists call this time preference: how much you value now over later. The interest rate is simply the price of waiting. Every civilization is a marshmallow test at scale. You plant a tree whose shade you will never sit in, you build a cathedral over three generations, you save for children you have not yet had.
4. The broken promise. Communism was the crayon experiment run on a whole nation. In Poland, money lost its value, savings vanished, and the state could take what you built. So people learned to eat now. If something appeared in the shop, you bought it, whether you needed it or not. It wasnât because Poles were impatient. It was because they had learned the adult never comes back.
5. The four-year child. A politician has four years, and the bill arrives after he leaves. Public debt is a simple trick: we eat the marshmallow, and our children pay for both.
6. Money that rots. Inflation tells you that waiting is for fools. A decade of near-zero interest rates told every saver in Europe that the second marshmallow had been cancelled. So we got "buy now, pay later", credit for holidays, and an economy built around eating it now. Then the phone finishes the job: one-click buying, endless scrolling, a new reward every few seconds. Itâs a machine designed to make sure you never have to wait for anything again.
7. The lesson. Civilization is not having more marshmallows. It is the ability to wait for them, and that ability rests on trust: stable money, safe property, promises kept. Destroy that trust and you get a nation of four-year-olds eating sweets, which is exactly what you then complain about.
The West blames its people for living for today. But it was never the children who failed the test. It was the adults who broke the promise â and then sold them more marshmallows on credit.
"Socialism heroically fights problems unknown in any other system."
Yes â this guy was one of our most brilliant intellectuals. Meaning a guy producing real understanding â not vapid commentary dressed up as depth. One sentence of his explains more than a shelf of political science.
1. The law. First the system creates the problem. Then it creates an office to fight the problem. Then it blames the people for the problem. Then it asks for more power to fight harder. Every step looks like a solution, and the whole thing is a trap.
2. The proof. In Poland we lived under these absurdities for 45 years. The state fixed the price of meat, so meat disappeared. Then came ration cards for meat. Then people sold meat privately at its real price, so the state made that a crime called "speculation" and set up special bodies to hunt the speculators. It was a problem unknown in any other system, and the state fought it heroically.
3. The queue. We got to know the machine deeply, from the inside, standing in line. You queued first and asked what was being sold later. People walked home wearing toilet paper rolls on a string around their necks, like trophies. And we learned to laugh about it. A man walks into a shop: "No meat?" "No, sir, here we have no fish. No meat is across the street."
4. The merriest barrack. We were called the merriest barrack in the communist camp. Other barracks were grimmer. We laughed at the queues, at the Party, and at ourselves, with jokes whispered at work and told loudly at weddings. The system had the army, the police and the press. We had the punchline.
5. The joke as knowledge. The laughter was not an escape. It was understanding. A good joke is a model of the system that fits into ten seconds. "They pretend to pay us, and we pretend to work" is a whole economics textbook in one line. The communists could censor newspapers, but they could never censor the joke.
6. The man. Stefan Kisielewski, known as Kisiel â the name of a sweet fruit jelly. He was a composer and a columnist, and readers opened the Catholic weekly from the last page, where his column was. He was the only public figure in communist Poland to openly praise capitalism from the parliament rostrum. In 1968 he called the regime a dictatorship of dimwits. Days later, "unknown attackers" beat him in the street. The tongue out was his method: a regime that demands to be taken seriously fears nothing more than a man who laughs at it â and is right.
7. The West today. Germany shut down its nuclear plants, then fought an energy crisis. Berlin capped rents, then fought a shortage of flats. Brussels writes rules that strangle industry, then launches plans to save European competitiveness. Each time, the problem is new to them. It was not new to us.
We laughed because we knew. The West does not laugh yet, because it still believes. The jokes come later â right after the queues.
Way to go Ma Wei (and team). Happy for you and proud of you.
Both physical aspects can be true at the same time. Longterm, climate is not driven by CO2. (Why else would there ever be a reversal to colder?) Short-term, within the larger variations, is warming due to CO2. Relative contributions and directions of the two factors matter.
The primary scientific contradiction of the global warming campaign lies in the historical precedent.
Natural mechanismsânot COâ dynamicsâcontrolled every major climatic shift across Pleistocene history, all operating without any human intervention for 2.58 million years.
We currently inhabit an interglacial period that follows these same structural frameworksâand it is, in fact, cooler than peak thermal maxima seen in prior interglacials. Geological history sets the precedent. During the last interglacial period, the Eemian, world temperatures were roughly 2°C warmer and African fauna roamed the Thames Valley, all while atmospheric COâ did not change from a baseline of around 285 ppm.
For millions of years throughout the Quaternary Glaciationâspanning the last 2.58 million yearsâEarth has repeatedly emerged from ice age cycles following a remarkably consistent pattern.
While early Pleistocene cycles occurred roughly every 40,000 years, the Mid-Pleistocene Transition (between 1.2 million and 670,000 years ago) shifted these glaciations into longer 100,000-year cycles, typically featuring a 5â6 °C warming shift.
Antarctic ice-core records (such as EPICA Dome C and Vostok) show that temperature increases routinely precede rising COâ levels by several hundred to a thousand years. Recent revisions have sparked scientific debate around the precise resolution of this lag. But the fundamental paleoclimate record indicates that atmospheric COâ neither initiates the end of an ice age nor triggers its beginning (Caillon et al. 2003, Pedro et al. 2012, Parrenin et al. 2013).
Deglaciations are consistent with the Milankovitch orbital anomalies, which alter high-latitude insolation and set off ice-sheet retreat, falling surface albedo and shifts in ocean circulation.
Only after the oceansâparticularly the Southern Oceanâhave warmed for centuries does dissolved carbon dioxide outgas from the deep ocean abyss, slowly elevating atmospheric levels from roughly 180 ppm to 280 ppm across 5,000 to 10,000 years.
As noted in IPCC AR6 WG1 (Ch. 5) and Shakun et al. (2012), COâ acts as a secondary feedback mechanism that amplifies orbitally induced warming, rather than driving it. This is the established dynamic of the natural carbon cycle on glacialâinterglacial timescales.
By contrast, the UN-led agenda asserts that human activity has added approximately 140 ppm of COâ in just 150 years, moving atmospheric concentration from a pre-industrial baseline of 280 ppm to around 420 ppm today. This narrative is based entirely on statistical computer analysis, all controlled by the IPCC. In the same way, production of COâ emissions has been allocated on a virtual per capita basis, more suited to a corporate takeover than physical reality.
Paleoclimate records demonstrate that on multi-millennial timescales, temperature leads COâ dynamics. The core assumption of IPCC policy framework rests on reversing this historical paradigm. Instead, it asserts that COâ will now drive global temperatures on rapid, century-scale timeframes.
This represents a significant departure from established paleoclimate observations. Yet this 'extrapolation' is the foundational justification for multi-trillion-dollar expenditure proposals and the accelerated dismantling of traditional hydrocarbon energy systems, all before reliable alternatives are in place.
Harald Ade retweeted
The decision not to investigate reveals what a proper investigation would have revealed with greater clarity than a proper investigation could have revealed
Cambridge is no longer planning to investigate Jason Ardayâs academic record or the universityâs decision to hire or cover for him.
Instead, the investigation will focus on âhis welfare, his care, his well-beingâ and âwhether the school offered him sufficient support amid accusations that he plagiarized.â
Harald Ade retweeted
This insane: California and China both started their High Speed Rail projects in 2008
- California hasnât completed a single track
- China completed over 31,000 miles of track during the same time
Hereâs where it gets really crazy, I did the math on how much California is spending compared to China
This is the cost per mile breakdown:
- Chinaâs rail coeds about $30 million per mile
- California official Phase 1 spending is $255 million per mile
Read that again.
Gavin Newsom needs to go to prison, this is the biggest money laundering project in California history
But what is cause and what is effect? Or just confounded. The outlays are also instructive.
PSA: I don't know who doesn't know this, but "high trust society" isn't some right-wing internet meme, it's literally very serious social science. If you poll people and ask them "Do you think most people in your society can be trusted?" the percentage of "yes" correlates very strongly with GDP per capita. Yes--muh GDP!
Harald Ade retweeted
Both bars should be 100%. Alarmingly low for both males and females.
Harald Ade retweeted
This is very bad: The American Association of University Professors confirmed conservative accusations that faculty are politically biased by gratuitously endorsing a political candidate, way beyond their mandate. My Council on Academic Freedom at Harvard @cafh Jeff Flier @jflier explains. The AAUP Traded Its Credibility for a Ballot Line, by @HdxAcademy open.substack.com/pub/heteroâŠ
Harald Ade retweeted
There are several interesting things going on here.
(1) The UCs were long known for their high standards, in particular UC Berkeley and UCLA as their flagships: in general, if you hired one of their graduates (especially an in-state student), you were getting a smart and ambitious employee. This contract is now broken. The signal doesn't work anymore.
When the world updates for this fact, things get worse for them: out-of-state students will be less likely to want to pay the tuition, employers will be more skeptical, and they will have a harder time getting the best talent. This is a negative feedback loop.
It's weird that this happened because organizations are usually much more self-preserving. Universities live and die by their reputations. Perhaps they thought that dropping the SAT and (this is the subtext) admitting students quasi-randomly would gain them political brownie points, but to what end? Looking back: what was the point of all this?
(2) The SAT was the final load-bearing beam in this entire system. High school grades used to mean something, but grade inflation has wiped this out. Application essays? A whole industry of ghostwriters and now AI has winnowed the signal to zero. Teacher recommendations? When they matter so disproportionately much, they'll be bought and paid for. (The failure pattern is the same: much like how the universities have sacrificed their long-term credibility for short-term gain, I'd wager that many schools and teachers have done the same.)
Parents used to defer to teachers and schools as experts, but the competitive environment has made parents become forcefully involved -- threatening, cajoling, bribing to get their students ahead. Schools never had the resources to defend themselves against this.
Many people -- especially those below the SAT median -- probably thought that they would be better-off in a world of no tests, that they'd be able to get some relative advantage. Nobody would know they're in the 30th percentile, and maybe they could sneak by and pass for 80th. That may have been so in the short term, but the price is becoming clear now: the whole system is broken. (This is frequently the case when people try to turn fair games into rigged or opaque ones: the people who think they're going to win because of their new advantage tend not to see the whole picture, and will overestimate their expected position in the new world.)
Maybe you were an activist parent and managed to help force the UCs to get rid of standardized testing. And maybe your low-test kid got admitted to Berkeley. And maybe they even graduated with a 4.0. But you can't keep stacking the Ponzi scheme forever, eventually you get the reality test: they can't get a job and now you're stuck holding the bag on the student debt. A pointless waste.
University of California STEM professors want standardized tests back due to severe math deficiencies among students:
âWe now observe preparation gaps so severe that instructors must reteach middle school mathematicsâ
âThe current admissions metric, based primarily on GPA & essays, can no longer reliably distinguish readiness for university-level STEM majors in an era of severe grade inflation & AI assisted application essaysâ
Harald Ade retweeted
Machine Learning Potential-Enabled Platform for the In Silico Design of Functional Organic Molecular Crystals
pubs.acs.org/doi/10.1021/acsâŠ
@cmrisko @riskolab
#JCIM Vol66 Issue8 #MachineLearning #DeepLearning
Harald Ade retweeted
If you want evidence of ideology, activism, and bureaucratic takeover in STEM, look no further than the NSF CAREER award. This is a roughly $500K award given to junior faculty and is treated as a major criterion that universities use for tenure in the sciences.
Getting this award and thus tenure basically means you are skilled at two things: (1) you promote DEI through what they brand as âbroader impactsâ in ways that outcompete your colleaguesâ promotion of DEI, and (2) you learned to navigate bureaucratic mazes - meaning you write a 50+ page single spaced application multiple times, pay lip service to program officers and review panels each time, and repeatedly revise an application in response to reviewer comments that have little to do with the actual science.
The result is that the faculty selected for success in universities are those who have mastered these two skills - ideological signaling and bureaucratic navigation - rather than those producing the best science.
PSA: Stop assuming the STEM fields are safe from ideological capture.
Some of the obvious examples of the politicization of STEM:
-Professional associations' political statements
-Non-meritocratic criteria in fellowships/prizes and even grants (see also the blinding/unblinding of grant applicants and what happened before/after and earlier DEI requirements for NSF grants in recent years before the current admin)
-Different standards used for minority (esp female) students/faculty evaluation
-Support for "decolonizing" science and refusing certain methodologies (from bio to astro)
-Efforts to change the practice of science to be more "inclusive" (read toxically feminine), incl resistance to debate/disagreement, to pressure to follow deadlines, or to actually producing rather than having meetings about producing, etc.
(These are in addition to non-political considerations like metric hacking, lack of blinded analyses, etc.)
Harald Ade retweeted
A student-athlete turned in a 146-word essay about Rosa Parks â one paragraph, riddled with errors, no sources â and got an A-minus. That single paper helped expose the biggest academic fraud in NCAA history.
For 18 years, from 1993 to 2011, a department secretary named Deborah Crowder ran fake courses at the University of North Carolina. @UNC The classes never met. There was no syllabus and no professor.
Students turned in one paper per semester. Crowder admitted she never read them. She skimmed introductions and handed out Aâs.
UNCâs academic counselors steered athletes into these courses each semester, specifying what grades each player needed. Athletes made up 47% of enrollments despite being just 4% of the student body.
Rashad McCants, a star on UNCâs 2005 championship team, told ESPN he made the Deanâs List without attending a single class. Ten of fifteen players on that title team were enrolled in paper courses.
When whistleblower Mary Willingham revealed that 60% of athletes read at a 4th-to-8th grade level, UNC attacked her publicly and fans sent death threats. She was forced to resign.
In October 2014, a 136-page investigation confirmed the scope: 188 fake classes, 3,100 students, 18 years of fraud.
And the punishment? In October 2017, the NCAA ruled there were no significant violations. Zero penalties. No vacated wins. No postseason bans.
@UNC calls themselves a bastion of academia. How incredibly pathetic.
Bingo. As a reviewer in Organic Elevtronics, I frequently see this kinda "throwing the kitchen sink" obfuscation. Gratuitiously thrown in data that add nothing to the story. 60 pages of supplemental. Etc. Circular reasoning. "Pursuasion by exhaustion". đđ«
This reflects how science has been packaged and evaluated over the past two decades.
In the 2000s figure preparation software such as PowerPoint and Illustrator became straightforward to use. By the early 2010s, high-impact journals came to associate dense, elaborate figures (i.e. the exhibits of a scientific study) with rigor and depth. The implicit assumption was that more panels and more data reflected more thorough and careful work.
At the same time, the editorial decision on whether to proceed to peer review was made by individuals not deeply embedded in the specific science, relying more on visual presentation and the perceived completeness of the data. The aesthetics of the figure panels became a proxy for scientific thoroughness.
In response, scientists adapted. Figures became more complex, more densely populated, and more expansive in scope. This gave the appearance of rigor independent of whether the additional data materially clarified the central questions of the study.
Reviewers were tasked with evaluating these large and complex datasets under significant time constraints, typically within a few days and without compensation, while managing substantial professional responsibilities. Under these conditions, it is impossible to systematically interrogate every component of a multi-panel figure. There is also a reluctance to question whether key elements of a study are missing if there is a possibility they are included somewhere within the large amount of presented data.
The result is a publication system in which the presentation of large volumes of data in complex figure formats can facilitate publication in high-profile journals, often with limited connection to the underlying clarity, coherence, or quality of the science itself.
The most committed (and organized) win. Always. Small Germanic tribes took down Rome. Castro Kuba. Progressive DEI Tribalists liberal/free academia. Few understand the dynamics or dangers. I recommend @ConceptualJames @GadSaad â at Morrisville, NC
One of the major paradoxes of the Iranian Revolution is that the ayatollah and his circle of religious fanatics were never broadly supported. Few people in Iran actually wanted a theocracy. Yet the extremists prevailed because they were far better organized. They had disciplined cadres, effective propaganda, and a vast network of mosques that served as a ready-made organizational infrastructure.
They also knew how to shape the message. They talked about social justice, free benefits for the poor, and overthrowing an imperialist puppet. The goal was not to win broad support but simply to weaken the opposition. And that was enough.
History shows that movements like this rarely need majority support. A determined minority can easily push through its agenda if it is organized, strategic, and cunning.
Harald Ade retweeted
Indoor solar energy offers a way to power small electronics without disposable batteries.
Get the low-down in our interview here:
youtube.com/watch?v=-8e-79PDâŠ
Thin photovoltaic cells from @epishine capture energy from indoor lighting in homes, offices, and retail environments. #EmbeddedWorld2026 #EW26
Harald Ade retweeted
đ Research in action at #NCState!
Students from the labs of @HaraldAde, @KenanGundogdu2, and @Dali_Sun_NCSU in the carbon electronics cluster are publishing in top journals like Science and Nature â boosting careers and advancing discovery.đŹ
Read more:
tinyurl.com/34jas9x6
Couldn't agree more. Work-life balance discussion is a trojan horse. For dedicated academics it is life-life balance. Academia is a calling. - paradise lost!!!
The problem with the âacademia is just a jobâ framing is that it redefines the enterprise in a way that diminishes those who are genuinely dedicated to the craft. No one is entitled to a career in academia. It has always been a selective path with limited resources, justified only because some people are willing to devote extraordinary effort to work they find deeply meaningful.
If the work consistently exacts an intolerable toll on someoneâs mental health, it suggests there may be better, more fulfilling paths for that person outside academia. Those paths exist, and thereâs nothing wrong with choosing them.
The deeper problem is what this narrative enables institutionally. University administrators eagerly use âjust a jobâ stories to justify imposing rigid, HR-style management on academic work - flattening incentives, constraining autonomy, and treating creativity like a compliance risk. The casualty isnât just individual satisfaction; itâs the quality of the work itself. Excellence becomes disposable, and the reasons academia existed in the first place erode.
Wow. I didn't know about this critical data normalization when it comes to murder rates. An excellent example that "surface" data can be misleading. We need to be vigilant about the many-variable complexities of life. â at Morrisville, NC
My sister is a former trauma surgeon and I was introduced to this fact years ago. The murder rate went down not for a lack of shootings but because we got much better at treating gunshot wounds. That's why the real question should be "what is your attempted murder rate." The answer in the U.S. is terrible.
I pitty every parent that has a boy these days. The "boys - takedown" culture was already a problem when my kids (one boy one girl) went through K-12 years ago. Feminism gone overboard = toxic feminity. Time to gain maturity and perspective on the gender front.



































