Joan Setka

The layers of self-delusion required for grown adults to get behind this Anthropic deal are wild. The *only* way Anthropic survives is if they make some sort of near-term technical breakthrough that suddenly makes Claude “superintelligent.” Psst. That’s LITERALLY IMPOSSIBLE. LLMs are a commodity search product. You can run them on a laptop. They will get marginally better at mimicking the stuff in their training data over time. That’s it. There is not even a good theoretical model for how it leaps beyond the training data—except in cases where there is an external verifier like Lean you can brute force solutions in a limited set of dimensions from the pieces left by humans. Anthropic is now down to searching for Bigfoot—the notorious RSI. Recursive self improvement is nonsense. There is no mechanism for “FOOM” “takeoff” or any of that other doomer lingo. It’s exactly like trying to create perpetual motion, or “free energy.” They will always be “80% of the way there” because there is no external verifier to tell it what it’s doing better. You can’t take humans out of the loop. The LLM is made of humans. The company, and the entire chatbot industrial complex, is reliant on a religious conviction that has no scientific or logical rationale. Anthropic is an extension of the Yudkowsky Rationalist/Effective Altruist doomer cult. It’s run by people who believe in their hearts that they are the chosen ones to raise the digital messiah from the chaos of humanity, and teach it not to kill us. In short, they’re fucking nuts and so is anyone who invests in them. Anthropic is worth zero dollars. Claude help us all if they go IPO.