ʝค¢๏ɮ retweeted
THE 15% BAND
Look at this chart.
59 races. Senate and governor.
States ordered from reddest to bluest in 2024.
The solid lines are 2024.
The dashed lines are 2026.
The shaded bands are what moved.
One formula fits all of it:
Republican 2026 = 0.85 × Trump 2024
Democrat 2026 = Harris 2024 + 0.15 × Trump 2024
For every 1,000 Trump points, 850 stayed Republican. 150 landed on the Democratic side.
The numbers:
Senate: Republicans kept ~85% of Trump’s share
Governor: ~86%
Variation explained: 88%
What makes it strange:
It didn’t matter how red the state was. Wyoming, Ohio, Illinois, Massachusetts: same 15% (p = 0.69). The Democratic gain was sized by Trump’s vote, not Harris’s. The Harris part is zero.
The 0.85 beat both standard election-swing models in every set of races.
Drop any single state and the multiplier stays between 0.846 and 0.853.
Why seats flipped:
At 0.85, any state where Trump got under about 58.5% falls below 50%. Texas, Kansas, Iowa, Ohio, South Carolina, North Carolina: all under that line. All flipped.
What this means:
Midterms are messy. This one isn’t. Two sets of races, different candidates, different campaigns, and the same 15% decrease almost everywhere.
A pattern this even demands answers at the ballot level: paper ballot hand counts, poll-book check-ins against votes counted, and voter files showing who actually turned out.
The numbers raise the question.
The ballots can answer it.
ʝค¢๏ɮ retweeted
Swedish election update.
The investigation into suspected election fraud has now been transferred to the anti-corruption group at NOA.
NOA is the National Operations Unit at the Swedish police.
It is a high level group at the Swedish police.
This is being taken seriously.
Started working out a year ago in earnest. Tripled what I can lift. The last three months, averaging 4.3 days a week at the gym. I sleep better. I eat better. I feel better. I even read more.
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ʝค¢๏ɮ retweeted
🚨🇬🇧 RUPERT LOWE PRESENTS R@PE GANG INQUIRY CASES
Restore’s R@pe Gang Inquiry debate is live. @RupertLowe10 reads from the court manuscript. Each case more horrifying than the next.
One victim reports:
“Race did play a part and motivated the selection or demographic of the victims.
Throughout my expIoitation, the other girls I encountered or who were ab*sed alongside me were almost exclusively white.”
No longer willing to ingest their chemicals, so they force it on the populace.
Google planning to release millions of mosquitoes into California to help stop diseases trib.al/PxG3SpO
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ʝค¢๏ɮ retweeted
🚨 This is EXACTLY WHY ICE agents are FORCED to wear masks
ICE Newark rioter: “I HAVE YOUR FACE, MOTHERF***ER”
“Your WHOLE F***ING FAMILY is DEAD!”
“Your KIDS. Your WIFE. ALL DEAD!”
This is the type of TERRORISM Democrats WANT ICE agents to face by de-masking them
I just listened to someone complain about their fears of rising crime in Sweden and in the same breath praise Sweden's diversity. It's brain rot.
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The tragic but fantastic thing about Starmer's fall is that he's completely oblivious to the trend of history. He just can't read the room.
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When there's a lull in all the winning in the US, I turn an eye to Europe and look! More winning.
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There is nothing of evolutionary success about the common chicken. It's vast numbers, if you can call that an evolutionary success, is due entirely to hitching a ride with humans who use it as food.
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This will continue to happen until the present peoples, cultures, and civilizations all look similar in demographics, status, capability, and inventiveness to the countries these new people are arriving from. They will not remember or preserve European heritage.
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