Infectious disease modeller with interest in tuberculosis natural history @LSHTM, @cmmid_LSHTM and @LSHTM_TB
London, England
Joined August 2018
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Our paper estimating the infectiousness of subclinical tuberculosis and its contribution to transmission has now been published in elife.
elifesciences.org/articles/8…
Our preprint estimating the infectiousness of subclinical tuberculosis and its contribution to transmission is now out on medRxiv.
medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/…
NOT YET PEER REVIEWED
Our preprint estimating the infectiousness of subclinical tuberculosis and its contribution to transmission is now out on medRxiv.
medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/…
NOT YET PEER REVIEWED
@petedodd24 @b_frascella @kc_horton @FvLScience @Marks1Guy @alexsrichards @nabilashaikhs @richardwhite321 @Rein_Houben
The population with a viable Mtb infection may be markedly smaller than generally assumed - new modelling study of Mtb self-clearance out today in Proceedings of the Royal Society B:
royalsocietypublishing.org/d…
ALT Figure showing the estimated populations in India, China and Japan with a viable Mtb infection, assuming first lifelong infection and then allowing for self-clearance. The impact is smallest in India (56%, 47–65% uncertainty interval), followed by China (37%, 28–47% UI), with the greatest impact in Japan (27%, 20–37% UI).
A huge thanks to excellent collaborators @alexsrichards, Katie Dale, @CFMcQuaid, @richardwhite321, @justin_denholm and @Rein_Houben
Jon Emery retweeted
Are you interested in Subclinical TB and what it means for #AdvancingPrevention? Don't know what all the fuss is about? Have your say at menti.com/pe5do8z9mm @StopTB_ETT @Rein_Houben @TomScriba @hanifesmail_tb @JonCEmery @CIDRI_Africa @UnionConference @LSHTM_TB @UCTIDM @FINDdx
Very pleased to see our modelling study of the Diamond Princess published in eLife.
We estimate that ~ 3/4 of infections were asymptomatic and may have contributed substantially to transmission.
Huge thanks to excellent collaborators and the reviewers.
doi.org/10.7554/eLife.58699
Co-authors: @timwrussell @yangliubeijing @HellewellJoel @cap1024 @gmknght @rozeggo @AdamJKucharski @sbfnk @StfnFlsch @Rein_Houben
Jon Emery retweeted
Nice turnout today for the @cmmid_lshtm ECR meeting, thanks @AlxsRobert & @_nickdavies for great presentations on #Measles & #COVID19 ! Two diseases at very different "stages" in their circulation in the population, so two very different research questions...
Jon Emery retweeted
LSHTM two week intensive short course "Introduction To Infectious Disease Modelling And Its Applications" will now be held online, and is open for applications lshtm.ac.uk/study/courses/sh…
Jon Emery retweeted
#OnThisDay 40 years ago, #smallpox was made history.
It's the only human disease to be eradicated so far.
A lesson we must take is: when the 🌍 unites behind science and public health measures we can defeat diseases and protect lives and livelihoods.
Jon Emery retweeted
Early data suggested around 50% of infections in Diamond Princess were asymptomatic, but @cmmid_lshtm modelling analysis (led by @JonCEmery @Rein_Houben) suggests it could have been higher based on how testing protocols and outbreak dynamics evolved over time
New study estimating that nearly 75% of SARS-CoV-2 infections on the Diamond Princess were asymptomatic, half were never detected and asymptomatic infections may have contributed substantially to transmission. Paper here cmmid.github.io/topics/covid… (NOT YET PEER REVIEWED).
Jon Emery retweeted
New study estimating that nearly 75% of SARS-CoV-2 infections on the Diamond Princess were asymptomatic, half were never detected and asymptomatic infections may have contributed substantially to transmission. Paper here cmmid.github.io/topics/covid… (NOT YET PEER REVIEWED).