MiLB, MLB & NPB Coverage & In-depth Baseball Analysis. 日本野球アナリスト Based in Belgium. @mlbtheshowzone Partner 🤝
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I have significantly changed the NPB cards:
You now have a compact card. Z-COn% per pitch type is added. You can find an overall tool summary on the bottom left, and the radar visualisation to understand the player at a glance!
Aim: More professional, more shareable.
One of my early, bold 2027 predictions:
Emmanuel Rodriguez finishes the 2027 MLB season with more than 25 home runs and an OBP north of .350.
He has the eye, the power, and the glove to become a mainstay in that Twins lineup. IF, and that's a big IF, he can stay healthy.
Drew Dasmussen's 2026 was an overall career-year.
As a starter, he hit career-bests in:
- IP (172 IP)
- ERA (2.67)
- FIP (2.81)
- K% (26%)
- BB% (4.8%)
- WHIP (0.91)
And he currently has a 1.29 ERA through 3 Postseason starts as well. Definition of an ace.
LouisAnalysis retweeted
29.5 ft/s top end sprint speed from a dude who hits balls almost 500 feet is absolutely insane lol
I know he’s risky but god I want Sato to excel, he’s such an exciting talent
LouisAnalysis retweeted
🎙️ I will be doing a live X Space on Thursday, October 22 for English commentary on the first round of the 2026 NPB Draft.
🇯🇵 4:30 pm Japan Time
🇺🇸 3:30 am Eastern Time
Hitting prospects with a BA > .300 & BABIP < .335:
- Josue De Paula (LAD)
- Caden Bodine (TBR)
- Ryan Sprock (TOR)
- Angel Genao (CLE)
- James Triantos (CHC)
Plenty of prospects that made their debut. Sprock was an 8th round pick and hit .306 at A and .307 at A+.
LouisAnalysis retweeted
Yet another Do-yeong Kim moment. 🇰🇷
475 ft top row postseason grand slam.
He’s a beast.
Pitchers with a Chase% in the 20th% or lower and Whiff% in the 80th% or higher:
- Ryan Zeferjahn
- Erik Miller
- Luis Medina
- Bryan Abreu
All have: An xBA in the 80th% or higher.
All also have: A BB% in the 9th% or lower.
A close Teruaki Sato comp is Brandon Lowe.
(2026 Sato v 2026 Lowe)
93.3 v 91.1 MPH EV50
74.6 v 73.5 MPH Bat Speed
55.3% v 45.8% Hard-Hit%
35.7% v 33.6% Chase%
33.8% v 35.6% Whiff%
81.8% v 79.5% Z-Con%
77.3% v 70.8% Z-Swing%
Sato holds the power edge.
LouisAnalysis retweeted
Teruaki Sato 🇯🇵 is set to join MLB.
The 27-year-old hit .359 with a 247 OPS+ in the first half, propelling him to the Triple Crown and likely back-to-back MVPs.
His power is undeniable, but the biggest questions are an elevated chase rate and defensive inconsistency at 3B.
I see a lot of varying data points from Teruaki Sato.
Here is his OFFICIAL NPB-licensed data:
117.0 MaxEV
93.3 Avg. EV (Sat over 94 much of 26’)
74.6 MPH Avg. Bat Speed ⚡️
55.3% Hard-Hit%
18.4% Barrel%
35.7% Chase%
29.5 ft/s Max Sprint Speed
LouisAnalysis retweeted
Teruaki Sato falls squarely between Murakami and Okamoto across multiple key tools. It makes for a highly intriguing profile when projecting his MLB upside and contract.
Raw Power
1. Murakami
2. Sato
3. Okamoto
Contact
1. Okamoto
2. Sato
3. Murakami
Plate Discipline
1. Murakami
2. Okamoto
3. Sato
Defense & Versatility
1. Okamoto
2. Sato
3. Murakami
Run
1. Sato
2. Murakami
3. Okamoto
Youth
1. Murakami
2. Sato
3. Okamoto
With Teruaki Sato’s transfer to MLB incoming, I’m very curious to see what orgs are interested in his high risk profile. There’s been some comps to Murakami in the Thump+K% department, but Sato chases at a far higher clip without the extreme BB rates.
(📊 via @YankeesFocus)
Hitters with a Bat Speed in the 85th% or higher and a Hard-Hit% in the 70th% or lower:
- Cam Smith: 99th v 67th
- Julio Rodriguez: 94th v 69th
- Colson Montgomery: 94th v 50th
- Ronald Acuna Jr: 89th v 67th
- Brett Baty: 87th v 56th
- Royce Lewis: 86th v 47th
Had tons of fun discussing Teruaki Sato’s MLB potential, and once again thank you to @yakyucosmo for having me on!
Also includes deep dives on must-know names like Tomoya Masaki, Kota Tatsu and many more.
Look forward to doing this again soon ✅
🚨 New Video: How Good was Teruaki Sato in 2026? ⚾️
Me and @LouisAnalysis use data to explain Sato’s Triple Crown campaign and his potential in MLB.
Plus, we cover other NPB talents including Kurihara, Masaki, Yamaguchi, Kanemaru, and Tatsu.
youtu.be/m7kMg6jrtOQ?si=aOLz…
LouisAnalysis retweeted
🚨 New Video: How Good was Teruaki Sato in 2026? ⚾️
Me and @LouisAnalysis use data to explain Sato’s Triple Crown campaign and his potential in MLB.
Plus, we cover other NPB talents including Kurihara, Masaki, Yamaguchi, Kanemaru, and Tatsu.
youtu.be/m7kMg6jrtOQ?si=aOLz…
MiLB pitchers 23 or younger w/a K-BB% > 20% and an ERA > 4.00:
- Luis Serna (NYY)
- Daniel Eagen (STL)
- Braylon Doughty (CLE)
- Colton Shaw (SEA)
- David Shields (KCR)
- Javier Perez (HOU)
Watch all of them heading into 2027 as all have underperformed their FIP.
There is one qualified pitch from a starter that has a Whiff% over 50%, and it's Chase Burns' slider.
He threw it exactly 1,000 times, and the data says enough:
- .154 BA
- .245 SLG
- 51.9% Whiff%
- 47.6% K%
The next closest is Jesus Luzardo's sweeper (47.6%; Whiff%)
Notable names that have underperformed their xwOBA by .025 or more:
- Bobby Witt Jr. (.348 v .378 xwOBA)
- Corey Seager (.320 v .350 xwOBA)
- JJ Wetherholt (.318 v .347 xwOBA)
- Braden Montgomery (.298 v .325 xwOBA)
- Jackson Merrill (.320 v .340 xwOBA)