President and Founder, Innovative Research Group

Vancouver, Toronto
Joined January 2013
The presence of the @NewBlueOn on the ballot doesn’t appear to negatively impact @OntarioPCParty. Read more in our latest analysis: hubs.ly/Q01clyTx0 #onpoli
Both the @liberal_party government and protestors are losing ground as the Ottawa stalemate continues. A majority (54%) of Canadians oppose the protest. Nearly half (48%) disapprove of the Liberal response. Details here: hubs.ly/Q013S9Mp0 #COVID19 #cdnpoli
We also find that the change in approval is very concentrated among those who are moderately skeptical of current restrictions/mandates. They move from strongly approving before the weekend to about an even split just days later. A big shift.
If you held a protest and it didn’t help the cause you were supporting, would you keep protesting? There is almost no change in support for mandatory vaccinations for truckers. What is changing is opposition to the protest, and that is growing. #cdnpoli hubs.ly/Q013wrNF0
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Our new Canada-USA values study is out showing a decline in populism over the last 4 years. What does this mean for Trump? Get all the details here: hubs.ly/H0xLz920 Be sure to read @SusanDelacourt's article in The Star: thestar.com/news/insight/opi… #uspoli #cdnpoli
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BC will have an election October 24, but a majority think that’s a bad idea. This includes 62% of the NDP’s base. Partial results from over the weekend are below. Full survey this week, including new BC vote numbers. #bcpoli #bcvotes #bcelxn
The controversy around the #WEcharity continues to be the top issue Canadians are seeing in the news, with 62% mentioning it in our weekly tracking. Watch out for our in-depth report on the impact of WE later today. hubs.ly/H0tSwyP0 #cdnpoli
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47% say they have a better impression of John Horgan as a result of his #COVID19 response. His favourables have grown over the course of the outbreak, sitting at net +56%, with 45% rating him the best option for BC Premier. Read more: hubs.ly/H0qkD3h0 #bcpoli
Today @InnovativeRG has released key findings from a new poll of 1,500 Canadians on #COVID19. We asked: • Are perceptions of and engagement with this disease changing? • Is behaviour changing? • Is approval of the governments’ response changing?
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Bad Habits are Hard to Break: The Liberals & Conservatives are the 2 parties in contention for government not b/c they ran great campaigns, but b/c their traditional supporters are engaging in Olympic-level mental gymnastics to justify their vote.
#cdnpoli #exln43 Neither the Tories nor the progressive opposition parties have been effective at driving the public desire for change. Throughout the campaign, the share of Canadians saying that it is time for a change in government has remained steady. hubs.ly/H0llYNp0
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Both Sheer and Trudeau have done this; answering questions repeatedly with nonsense scripted answers. It is no wonder the voters are unmoved by either of them. #elxn43
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#cdnpoli #elxn43 Singh & Blanchet are doing much better than expected compared to the main parties in this election. As a result, there are dramatic improvements in favourability for both leaders. Click for our leadership tracking analysis: hubs.ly/H0lbVVH0
Jagmeet Singh's favourability numbers are soaring, while Andrew Scheer and Justin Trudeau are stuck in the negatives macleans.ca/politics/ottawa/…
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#cdnpoli #elxn43 Post-Trudeau's blackface controversy, the @liberal_party maintain their lead with no significant changes occurring at the national or regional level. When it comes to issue management, the rule is, “It’s not the break-in, it’s the cover-up.”
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#cdnpoli #elxn43 An online survey of 2,303 adult Canadians conducted from September 20th to 25th, 2019 shows that the @liberal_party has maintained a directional lead over the @CPC_HQ. Click for more analysis: hubs.ly/H0kYbqv0
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Pat Cadell is mostly known today a gadfly on Fox. But in Pat’s heyday he was brilliant; a meteor who rose fast on his great talent and then fell hard, experiencing both the dizzy heights of natl politics and the lonely depths, all before he was 40. RIP. articles.latimes.com/1988-01…
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Greg Lyle retweeted
I spent this summer trying to figure out why distributional RL works, with @marcgbellemare and @pcastr. Our quest turned into a #AAAI19 paper that's now up on @arxiv_org arxiv.org/pdf/1901.11084.pdf
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The @OntarioPCParty and @OntLiberal party have run some tough ads against each other. But guess who's benefited? @LyleGreg from @InnovativeRG has the surprising details tonight at 8/11 pm on @TheAgenda
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Define yourself, define your opponent, sell the brand. Pollster @LyleGreg of @InnovativeRG on the effectiveness of political advertising, tonight on The Agenda. At 8/11pm #onpoli #onelxn #OntarioVotes
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#ICYMI Two new reports from the INNOVATIVE team. hubs.ly/H0c5sWj0 #onpoli xitter.cf/LyleGreg/status/996521…
#onpoli2/4 The NDP is growing at the expense of both the Liberals with left value groups and the PCs with economically alienated groups. Add to that Horwath’s personal credibility on integrity, a key element of time for a change and a key weakness for the other leaders.