Paradise Valley, AZ
Joined December 2008
There will be life after AI.
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Mario Martinez II retweeted
This is why GPUs are $6000. Some of the stuff building with H3 right now is wild. 1 movie scene, 3 drivers, every face swapped. Same camera, same timing, same audio.
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Mario Martinez II retweeted
I don't think many people realize how extraordinary the Anthropic $ANT IPO truly is:
ANTHROPIC IS GOING PUBLIC, AND THE NUMBERS ARE INSANE... The company behind Claude has filed to list on the Nasdaq under $ANT, potentially setting up the BIGGEST IPO IN HISTORY But buried in its own SEC filing are some massive red flags. Here's what you need to know: 💰 $16.3 BILLION in revenue in just the first half of 2026. 📉 $80.7 BILLION net loss over the same period, largely driven by a non-cash accounting charge. 🤯 $235 BILLION in potential AI computing commitments with SpaceXAI, Nvidia, and Google. 📈 $2 TRILLION potential valuation, more than DOUBLE its last private valuation of $965 billion. 🏦 $100 BILLION potentially raised in what could become the largest IPO ever. And here's the kicker... Anthropic's own filing warns that its explosive growth may not last, it could need more cash sooner than expected, and advanced AI could pose catastrophic risks to humanity. The company also says it doesn't expect to pay dividends anytime soon. Would you invest in Anthropic at a $2 TRILLION valuation?
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Mario Martinez II retweeted
For every dollar Anthropic spends on compute, they generate $2.08 in quarterly revenue. $ANT
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Mario Martinez II retweeted
Anthropic $ANT IPO filing shows it now generates $2.08 in revenue for every $1 spent on compute which is up from just $0.40 in Q1 2025. Whats wild is that revenue grew ~29x while compute spending rose only ~6x as products like Claude Code drive adoption and more efficient models make each AI task cheaper to run.
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Mario Martinez II retweeted
$AMZN CEO Andy Jassy says "a good chunk of '28 is sold out" while AWS is already having to split scarce memory between AI accelerators and its core cloud business. That's now the world's largest cloud provider confirming what $SPCX and $NBIS have been saying all month with SpaceX unable to find spare compute and Nebius saying it could sell out 2027 capacity at today's prices. It's getting harder to see where the AI compute glut bears expected in 2028 is supposed to come from.
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Mario Martinez II retweeted
US households now hold 48.2% of their financial assets in stocks, the highest on record. At the peak of the dot-com bubble, it was 38.7%.
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Mario Martinez II retweeted
The world’s most accomplished tech founders and business leaders are betting hundreds of billions on AI with extraordinary conviction. Meanwhile much of the investing world thinks they’re making a massive mistake. The irony is hard to ignore. An investment industry where very few have historically managed to beat a passive index is now questioning the judgment of the people building the technology and running the businesses that will put it to work. Maybe the investors are right. Maybe the builders are. But I can’t remember a time when the stakes were this high and the two sides saw the future so differently.
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Mario Martinez II retweeted
Lots of VCs kindof sound like this: "Your basketball team doesn't have a moat, any healthy human can throw the ball into the basket thingy. " People who have not run companies before don't understand how much the team matters more than some imagined structural moat.
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Mario Martinez II retweeted
shit's getting crazy...
How bad is this Gitlab issue? About as bad as it gets. Anyone on the internet can take over an exposed, self-hosted GitLab server without logging in, on any version from the last 12 years. Shodan is showing ~60K exposed servers online, which is a lot, but there are are far more internally for anyone with a foothold already.
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Mario Martinez II retweeted
Leica and F1 are getting race day ready with a carbon fiber-clad Q3 43 🏁
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Mario Martinez II retweeted
Let me explain reality… if you have but sixty seconds: They were targeting Elon They were targeting him with fake charges because the socialist-industrial complex is terrified that he would expose their long grift. They came after him for the Model 3 and Elon’s claims around its potential. That potential was realized, and it became, along with the Model Y, the best-selling electric vehicle ever created. These were fake charges to try to stop somebody from building the best category-defining product. Let that sink in: that's how evil these motherfuckers are. The loooooong grift has been exposed: socialist grifters are stealing our tax dollars to fund fringe lunacy, NGOs and government programs without oversight or audits. They’re parasites incapable of creating any product or service that has to compete in the open market. Elon creates a couple of cutting-edge products each year, and half of them succeed. Some of them actually change the world. Some of them fail brutally. It's called capitalism. It's called creation. This is what moves the human condition forward: trying things. Trying really hard things. Socialists come for the people building valuable products and services — that’s the tell Keep your eye out for the people who've created nothing and risked nothing, but who are attacking the people who risk everything to create Something. That's the tell.
Kara Swisher says Elon Musk might be in jail right now if Kamala Harris was in office and “he knows what’s coming” if Democrats take back power.
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Mario Martinez II retweeted
Elon Musk says $SPCX could exit 2027 with “$500 billion to $1 trillion” in annual recurring revenue. $1T of ARR would be more than $AMZN entire annual revenue.
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Mario Martinez II retweeted
SpaceX has announced that Grok @Bot now has 800,000 paid weekly users as of earlier this month, more than doubling from the previous month.
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Mario Martinez II retweeted
ARK Invest has just released their new Tesla valuation model, projecting @Tesla could reach a $17.5 trillion valuation by 2031, and upwards of $20.4 trillion in a bull case. ARK's 2031 Tesla base case: $4,400/share • ~1M Optimus robots sold externally, generating ~$212B in revenue • Robotaxi is ~80% of Tesla's enterprise value (down from ~90% in ARK's 2029 model) • ~8.1M robotaxis deployed, with ~$753B in ride-hail revenue • Total revenue of ~$1.45T and EBITDA of ~$902B • Market cap of ~$17.5T • Tesla's AI infrastructure spend grows from ~$7B to $225B cumulatively ARK's 2031 Tesla bull case: $5,000/share • EV revenue (excluding credits): $355B • Robotaxis: 10M vehicles and $899B in ride-hail revenue • Energy storage: 2,693 GWh deployed and $193B in revenue • Optimus: 1.2M robots sold externally and $254B in revenue • Total revenue: $1.62T • EBITDA: $1.045T, a 65% margin, with a 72% gross margin • Market cap: $20.4T ARK's model does not assume SpaceX and Tesla merge, but they estimate combined SpaceX and Tesla could generate $3.8T in revenue by 2031, with SpaceX contributing ~62%.
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Mario Martinez II retweeted
President Trump just thanked Elon Musk for pledging to donate one $SPCX share to every American child through Trump Accounts. The move would give millions of children a direct stake in SpaceX through the new investment program.
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Mario Martinez II retweeted
Grok Bot is now one step closer. Set it as your iPhone's Action Button and press it to talk with Bot.
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Mario Martinez II retweeted
The initial response to this article has been incredible. The S&P 500 is now <1% away from a record high but 206 of its components are down over -30%. Never in history has this happened before. It's the "Bear-Bull Market Paradox." Bookmark this.
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Mario Martinez II retweeted
The world of personal agents keeps growing Keep track of it here
Here's everything that happened in Personal AI Agents this week from OpenAI, SpaceXSI, Meta, Google, Anthropic, OpenClaw, Nous Research, Perplexity, Manus, Genspark, Lindy, Underdog, MacPaw, Persona, and more. (save for later + share with your team) 🧵 Did I miss anything?
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Mario Martinez II retweeted
1/ muse spark open is the most capable US open-weight model to date. 816B total params, 42B active. 1M-token context. natively multimodal. built for coding and agentic work like long-horizon tasks, hard software engineering, multi-step reasoning. america! 🇺🇲
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Mario Martinez II retweeted
Absolutely incredible. Just 10 stocks have driven 70% of the S&P 500’s gain since March 30th. These stocks have added +16 percentage points to the index’s +23% gain over this period. Nvidia, $NVDA, has contributed the most, accounting for 13% of the S&P 500's gain, or +3 percentage points. This is followed by Micron, $MU, Apple, $AAPL, and Microsoft, $MSFT, each accounting for 9% of the S&P 500’s advance, adding +2 percentage points. Return contributions of AMD, $AMD, and Alphabet, $GOOGL, have been 8% and 7%, respectively. Meanwhile, the remaining 490 stocks have accounted for just 30% of the S&P 500's gain since March 30th, adding +7 percentage points. Diversification is dead.
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