Value Microcap Investor, IT Manager, Tennis Player, Car Enthusiast, LA Kings & Fantasy Baseball/Football Fan

Southern California
Joined May 2013
Bought more $EVC today. I think this selloff is overdone and the original story is still intact as to why all of us invested in it. Until I see a change I will continue to add on weakness.
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Matt Jester (The MicroCap Edge) retweeted
Monument Mining Buyback Proposal: $MMY.V $MMTMF A comparison of investing cash into Monument's own shares versus building a new mine in Australia or buying another producer. This is the bottom-line chart. The complete report is attached. A path to a 40-bagger is feasible. cdn-ceo-ca.s3.amazonaws.com/….
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Matt Jester (The MicroCap Edge) retweeted
Solid quarter by Monument Mining $MMY.V $MMTMF earned $22.65M or $0.07 per share. Has almost $101M or $0.30 per net cash. Trading at ~ 2x earnings net of cash. monumentmining.com/news-medi…
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Matt Jester (The MicroCap Edge) retweeted
Monument Mining, the Best Buyback Stock in the World? Yes, and it can 10 to 165 Bag Due to a 55% Free Cashflow Yield on EV and $102 Million in Cash Monument Mining Limited (TSXV: $MMY.v / OTC: $MMTMF) Strategic Share Buyback Analysis Report August 2026 MetricValue Share Price$0.60 Shares Outstanding343 million Market Capitalization$221 million Cash (no debt)$102 million Annual Free Cash Flow$84 million (≈ $7 M / month) EPS / Net Income$0.22 / ≈ $75.46 million P/E Ratio2.5× Enterprise Value / EV/EBITDA$153 million / 1.38× Assumed Constant Gold Price$4,400 / oz The company is deeply undervalued. In fact, out of over 30,000 stocks the author screened, Monument ranked first as the stock that would benefit more from a stock buyback than any other stock in the world. Large-scale tender offers (substantial issuer bids) under TSX rules permit rapid capital return beyond normal NCIB limits. 2. Key Modeling Assumptions • Monthly FCF = $7 million; annual Net Income held constant at $75.46 million unless noted. • First 40% tender completes 1 November 2026 at $0.68 (≈13% premium). Cost = $93.3 million. Cash used first. • After the initial tender + next $50 million of FCF buys, 100% of monthly FCF is used for buybacks (Paths 1–3). • All paths terminate on ≈ 1 August 2028 (the date Path 1 reaches 98% share retirement). • Path 5: $40 M CapEx over 12 months from Nov 2026; production from Nov 2027 at 15 koz/yr, $2,000 AISC → ≈ +$25 M annual NI/FCF. • Annual sales assumed ≈ $180 million for per-share illustrations. 3. The Paths Path 1 — “Ineffective” Aggressive Buyback (Fixed $0.68) Market never re-rates; share price stays $0.60. 40% tender at $0.68, then +$50 M at $0.68, then 100% of monthly FCF retires shares at the fixed $0.68 until only 2% of original shares remain (6.86 million). Maximizes share count reduction. Endpoint: EPS $11.00 | 9× PE → $99.00 | Cash/share ≈ $3.00 (≈ $5 after two more months) Sales/share ≈ $26. This would happen in just 2 years. Path 2 — Neutral Valuation (Maintains 2.5× PE) Identical first tender + $50 M tranche at $0.68. Thereafter stock trades at constant 2.5× PE so buyback price rises with EPS; fewer shares are retired. (2.5X PE).Endpoint: Shares ≈ 80.9 M | EPS ≈ $0.93 | Price ≈ $2.33 Path 2B — Neutral + Terminal 9X PE Re-rating Identical to Path 2 during the program. At the August 2028 endpoint the stock is assumed to re-rate to 9× PE. Endpoint: Shares ≈ 80.9 M | EPS ≈ $0.93 | Price = $8.37 (9× PE). Path 3 — Effective Buyback (Re-rates to 9× PE After Initial Tender) Same first two tranches at $0.68. Immediately after the $50 M buy the stock re-rates to 9× PE and tracks that multiple thereafter. Endpoint: Shares ≈ 115.6 M | EPS ≈ $0.65 | Price ≈ $5.87 (9× PE). Path 4 — Do Nothing No buybacks. All FCF accumulates as cash. Market cap rises by FCF generated; 2.5× PE maintained on earnings. Endpoint: Shares 343 M | EPS $0.22 | Price ≈ $1.07 | Cash ≈ $249 M. Path 5 — Restart Burnakura The primary figure uses the 9× PE case. Primary Endpoint (9× PE): EPS ≈ $0.29 | Price = $2.64 per share | Multiple = 4.4×. (Conservative 2.5× PE case ≈ $0.73 per share | 1.2×. 4. Comprehensive Comparison Table (Endpoint ≈ 1 August 2028) PathDescriptionShares Left (m)Final EPSFinal PriceMultipleCAGR* 1Ineffective BB (fixed $0.68)6.86$11.00$99.00 (9×)165×≈ 1,243% 2Neutral (tracks 2.5× PE)80.9$0.93$2.33 (2.5×)3.9×≈ 99% 2BNeutral + terminal 9× PE80.9$0.93$8.37 (9×)14.0×≈ 282% 3Effective (to 9× after tender)115.6$0.65$5.87 (9×)9.8×≈ 219% 4Do Nothing343$0.22$1.071.8×≈ 34% 5Burnakura restart (9× PE)343$0.29$2.644.4×≈ 112% *CAGR calculated from current $0.60 (≈ mid-August 2026) to the August 2028 endpoint (≈ 1.97 years). 5. Why Path 1 Produces Dramatically Superior Returns 1. Maximum share retirement at the lowest price. Fixed $0.68 allows every FCF dollar to retire ≈ 1.47 shares. Rising prices in Paths 2/2B/3 shrink that number dramatically. Path 1 retires 98% of equity. 2. Explosive EPS accretion. Fixed earnings power divided by a 50× smaller share count produces $11.00 EPS. 3. Asymmetric upside for remaining owners. The “ineffective” program ends with EPS so high that any reasonable multiple (5–9×) produces a $55–$99 stock. Continuing shareholders own a far larger percentage of the same cash-flow engine. 4. Highest ROI on capital. Buybacks at a deep discount to intrinsic value convert low-yielding cash into permanent ownership reduction — superior to holding cash (Path 4) or a modest and quite profitable production expansion (Path 5). 5. Practical under TSX rules. Substantial issuer bids / tender offers allow rapid, large-scale retirement that normal NCIBs cannot match. 6. EPS Trajectory Charts Path 1’s explosive rise results purely from collapsing the share count while earnings power remains constant. All other paths produce only modest (or zero) EPS accretion. Figure 1 – See Bottom Figure 2 – Linear Scale (better for comparing Paths 2–5) See Bottom 7. Conclusion At a 2.5× PE, $102 million net cash and $84 million annual FCF, Monument is the best candidate for aggressive capital return out of over 30,000 stocks the author screened. Path 1 (fixed-price “ineffective” buyback) produces by far the highest EPS, residual ownership stake, terminal equity value and shareholder CAGR. Path 1 is unlikely if the market wakes up to the fact that Monument is in a position to skyrocket their EPS via buybacks. However if the stock market does not re-rate the PE over 9PE it is feasible for the company to retire 98% of its stock and achieve over $10.00 EPS, but with more time. Path 2B and Path 3, which incorporate full or partial re-rating, deliver lower returns but still delivers outstanding retruns of 289% CAGR and 219% CAGR respectively, because of higher purchase prices limit share retirement speed. Paths 4 and 5 create the least amount of value. Management should prioritize a large tender offer as soon as practicable, followed by systematic retirement of the remaining float with free cash flow. The mathematics of share-count reduction at a deeply undervalued price create far more shareholder value than holding cash or deploying it into a new mine. In fact to achieve Path1 type EPS results would require the company to buy about 9 Kalgoorlie Super Pit-scale mines, which would cost in the neighborhood of $100 billion dollars. This report is primarily about the incredibly good buyback aspect. For general info on Monument and their operations here is a newer video of the CEO. youtu.be/KJ7_fkgHfE8 — End of Report — Prepared for article use | Modeling as of August 2026 | Not investment advice
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Matt Jester (The MicroCap Edge) retweeted
#Silver It's absolutely crazy how accurate this Elliott Wave count from early 2020 has turned out to be. According to it, we should currently be in wave A. A countertrend rally should come next (B), followed by a slightly lower double bottom (C (4)). The rest of the scenario is still to come. The timing is slightly off, but considering this analysis was made back in 2020, it's pretty remarkable tiedje-trading.com/analysen/…
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$EVC another nice move today! But I'm really excited to see $ETCC get some love. For those of you who haven't followed this one, check out: footnotecapital.substack.com…
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Really nice to see $CXDO this week and $EVC today. Love it when these finally start to pay off. $EVC was incredibly undervalued. Still trying to gauge fair value on this one.
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My thoughts on the precious metals bull market: they typically don't end cleanly - more of a step up pattern. Typical pattern is inflation/currency stress, strong initial rally, pullback/consolidation (months/years) and then a final blow-off phase. IMHO, we are between 2 & 3.
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Matt Jester (The MicroCap Edge) retweeted
Anyone investing in silver or silver miners needs to understand what a CME Clearing Daily Delivery Notice means. You have the sellers listed and the buyers who are taking delivery of physical silver. This is yesterday's notice. It shows activity for the business date of March 3, 2026 (intent date), with actual delivery scheduled for March 5, 2026. The settlement price that day was $82.923 per ounce (so each contract is worth about $414,615 at that price). Top stoppers (buyers accepting delivery) included: BOFA Securities (Bank of America) → 195 stopped. JP Morgan Securities → 145 stopped. Scotia Capital → 65 stopped. Morgan Stanley → 62 stopped. This means BOFA will purchase $80,849,925 worth of physical silver tomorrow at a price of $82.93 per ounce. JP Morgan will purchase $60,119,175 worth of silver at $82.93. So I hope you understand why BOFA and JP Morgan would try to smash the paper silver price as low as possible. They are actively buying physical silver in very large amounts. JP Morgan has accumulated more physical silver than any other entity in the past 6 months. Is it a surprise that the JP Morgan analyst came out with a report that physical silver will average $81/oz in 2026. Why would JP Morgan pay $82.93/oz if they thought silver was going to average $81 this year. They lie in order to discourage retail buyers from purchases which increase the silver price. JP Morgan is accumulating much more silver in anticipation of significantly higher silver prices. It's all so obvious if you just study the data.
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Matt Jester (The MicroCap Edge) retweeted
Silver heikin ashi candle crack cocaine chart update - daily candles with weekly overlay for all you junkies
Silver heikin ashi candle crack cocaine chart - daily candles with weekly overlay
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I can't believe that $GMX.to $GLBXF isn't a huge buyout target at this point. With all of their properties, a very large cash/investment position and no debt, it sure does seem ripe for the pickin'.
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Matt Jester (The MicroCap Edge) retweeted
$INBP - adding here. This one is definitely a buy at these levels.
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Recently took positions in $EVC and $LODE. Please do some DD on these and hit me up if you'd like to know more.
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$INBP - adding here. This one is definitely a buy at these levels.
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Matt Jester (The MicroCap Edge) retweeted
Class act right to the end 🙏 berkshirehathaway.com/news/n…
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$ETCC with several contract wins of late - $7.2 and $9.1 million. This one has been beaten down a little too much in my opinion. If this was on another exchange it would be over $3 easily.
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Globex (GLBXF) broke out today under a nice volume increase. This is still my #1 holding. Let me know if you want more information.
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Matt Jester (The MicroCap Edge) retweeted
We are asking for the public's help identifying this person of interest in connection with the fatal shooting of Charlie Kirk at Utah Valley University. 1-800-CALL-FBI Digital media tips: fbi.gov/utahvalleyshooting
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Anyone know what's up with $SCND? I own this and it's really moving today but I can't find anything on it.
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