Chicken crispies from @woolworths have… 37% chicken. More fillers than chicken🥲Never again
very true for AU
David Friedberg says the greatest lie of the 20th century was putting all your net worth in your home
"When you do that, then the only way to keep Americans wealthy and to keep the middle class stable is to keep the price of homes going up, because that’s the only asset."
“So if you want your net worth to go up every year, they need to have policies that drive the price of homes up every year. That ultimately leads to a point where we're at today where young people can’t afford those super expensive homes."
“Back in the day, 30, 40 years ago, you got a good job, you could buy a home. Today, because we made everyone put all of their net worth in their home and we had to keep home prices going up, people got screwed."
“So these are the fundamental issues, the mistakes that were made over the last couple of decades that lead to this great socialist wave that’s underway right now.”
It's easy. in the future everything will be more "political". you basically vote with your attention and money who you want to win bc of their values. Price/quality will be largely similar. Be clear what you stand for. Reputation will be everything.
And unless you run your AI fully locally, you LLM provider will be like a religion.
I feel this.
Every opportunity crowded with AI slop apps.
Every channel saturated with AI slop marketing.
You can't make slop to compete with slop.
I think the way to win is to be as human as possible.
Think about building long term. Be opinionated about code. Take a bit of extra time over the UI. Build something you're really proud of. Market your app without AI; write your newsletters yourself, make video diaries, interview real life customers, etc.
I could be wrong, but at least I won't be part of the slop-race.
AI makes human dumber - time to level up your game and start learning how to think like Elon. belikeelon.com/
AI makes human dumber - time to level up your game and start learning how to think like Elon. belikeelon.com/
nice severance reference in the thumbnail though @miramurati
Bridgewater used their unique financial knowledge and partnered with us on @tinkerapi to fine-tune a model that helps their analysts focus on what's important. Experts improving AI that empowers experts.
thinkingmachines.ai/news/lea…
definitely one of the greatest commercials ever.
youtube.com/watch?v=D5kJWxfM…
Fable 5 banger on happiness:
What are prerequisites for happiness?
The research here is unusually convergent, which is rare in psychology.
Let me separate it the way you asked — prerequisites first, then what actually generates happiness on top of them.
The prerequisites — necessary but not sufficient. These don't make you happy; their absence makes happiness nearly impossible.
Health and sleep are the bluntest — chronic sleep debt and untreated pain suppress wellbeing more than almost any positive input can lift it.
Financial sufficiency is second: money strongly predicts happiness up to the point where scarcity stress disappears, then flattens dramatically.
The famous Kahneman "plateau at $75k" was refined by later work (Killingsworth, 2023) — happiness keeps rising with income, but modestly, and mostly for people who were already happy; money can't fix unhappiness, only remove poverty's tax on it.
Third: safety and autonomy — feeling in control of your time and choices. Self-determination theory holds this as one of three universal needs, and it's why a well-paid job under a controlling manager reliably produces miserable people.
The prerequisite isn't wealth or status; it's the absence of chronic threat, chronic scarcity, and chronic constraint.
The engine — what actually generates it. Here the answer is embarrassingly unambiguous.
The Harvard Study of Adult Development — 85+ years, the longest study of happiness ever run — reduced its findings to one sentence:
good relationships keep us happier and healthier, full stop.
Not the number of connections, but the warmth and depth of a few.
Relationship quality at 50 predicted health at 80 better than cholesterol did.
Every other longitudinal dataset finds the same thing. Loneliness, meanwhile, damages health on the scale of smoking. If happiness had a single load-bearing wall, this is it.
After relationships, three more drivers show up consistently.
1) Meaningful work or purpose — not passion in the grand sense, but the experience of using your strengths on something that matters to someone; competence plus contribution.
2) Engagement — the flow state of being absorbed in something difficult enough to demand you fully; people report their happiest hours are often ones that didn't feel "pleasant" in the moment.
3) And attention itself — Killingsworth's mind-wandering research found people are least happy when their mind is elsewhere, regardless of what they're doing. Presence is a happiness skill, not a personality trait.
Two traps worth knowing. Hedonic adaptation means anything acquired — income, house, title, even a successful launch — returns you to baseline within months.
You cannot arrive at happiness through accumulation; the system is built to reset.
And arrival fallacy — "I'll be happy when X" — is the specific delivery mechanism of that trap. The happiest people in the data aren't the ones who reached their goals; they're the ones who like the daily texture of pursuing them.
So the honest formula, compressed: secure the floor (health, enough money, autonomy over your time), then invest deliberately in a few deep relationships, work that uses your strengths in service of something, regular absorption in difficulty you've chosen, and the habit of actually being where you are.
Notice that every item on that list is a practice, not an acquisition — which is the most hopeful finding in the whole literature.
The prerequisites are largely circumstantial; the engine is almost entirely behavioural.
Fable5 research on how to minimize your regrets in life:
The most cited evidence here is Bronnie Ware — an Australian palliative care nurse who recorded what her dying patients said in their final weeks. Her findings have held up remarkably well against later, more rigorous work.
The number one regret, by a wide margin: "I wish I'd had the courage to live a life true to myself, not the life others expected of me."
Not failures, not risks that went wrong — unlived intentions. Dreams that died from deferral, not from being attempted and lost.
The rest of her top five:
2) working too much (nearly every male patient said this), 3) not having the courage to express feelings, 4) losing touch with friends, and 5) not letting themselves be happier — realising too late that happiness was a choice they kept postponing until circumstances were "right."
More recent research sharpens this in a useful way. Daniel Pink's American Regret Project (~16,000 people, 2022) and Cornell's work on regret found a consistent asymmetry:
in the short term people regret actions — the embarrassing thing they did — but over decades, regrets of inaction dominate roughly two to one.
The business not started, the person not pursued, the move not made, the thing not said.
Psychologists explain it simply: actions have knowable outcomes you can rationalise, learn from, and close. Inactions stay open forever, because the counterfactual can't be tested. "
It would probably have failed anyway" never fully convinces the person saying it.
Pink also found the single largest regret category is what he calls boldness regrets — "if only I'd taken the chance" — and they intensify with age precisely as the window to act closes.
Notably, financial and career-status regrets rank low. Almost nobody dies wishing they'd optimised the safe sequence better.








