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Replying to @MonolithMediaCo @scott_colom
Our projection, in one graphic: Scott Colom wins the U.S. Senate seat in Mississippi. @scott_colom #MSSen #Mississippi #Election2026
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Jeffrey Lord (@realJeffreyLord) looks at the leadership debate among Senate Democrats: after big gains, Indivisible and some incoming senators want someone other than Chuck Schumer at the helm. Should a winning party change leaders? #Schumer #Midterms2026
Our summary, with a link to the original: themonolith.media/the-party-…
From 1994 to 2022, the president's party lost only 2 of 54 Senate seats it defended in states leaning 10+ points its way, per @DecisionDeskHQ. This year the GOP has lost at least 4: Texas, Kansas, South Carolina and Iowa. #Midterms2026
Still-uncalled races from our Nov 5 roundup (Alaska, Mississippi, Kansas): themonolith.media/the-mornin…
Margaret Sullivan (@Sulliview) argues this week's results reflect a change in the national mood, citing how varied the new winners were. Do you read it as a shift in tone, or a typical midterm swing? #Midterms2026 #ElectionResults
Our summary, with a link to the original: themonolith.media/theres-a-n…
Virginia voters passed both the abortion rights amendment and the repeal of the same-sex marriage ban by wide margins, per @DecisionDeskHQ. The abortion measure's margin ran nearly 10 points higher. #Virginia
Matt Dunlap (D) has conceded Maine's 2nd to Paul LePage (R), per @PollTracker2024. That's a Republican flip. Curious how the rural margins compare once the full count is in. #ME02
Trending: Dem trifectas in 5 states could push the Popular Vote Compact from 222→283 EVs (past 270) for 2028.
Left: every vote equal. Right: small states lose clout; Compact Clause suits ahead. Center: states must still enact it.
Would your state join? #ElectoralCollege #2028
AP calls NC-13 for Paul Barringer (D) over Rep. Brad Knott, per @PollTracker2024. With NC-05 also flipping, that's two North Carolina House seats changing hands. #NC13
Sources: Harmeet Dhillon resigning as DOJ Civil Rights chief—first senior DOJ exit after Dems swept Congress.
Confirmed April 2025; pushed religious liberty, gun rights & voter rolls. Critics cite career-attorney exits.
One-off or lame-duck wave? #HarmeetDhillon #DOJ
New approval numbers, same question, different samples:
Rasmussen (Nov 4, likely voters): 42% approve, 56% disapprove
Reuters/Ipsos (Oct 29–Nov 2, adults): 32% approve
Our read: sample design still drives the spread. Which figure do you trust for governing? #Polls
Sources: Rasmussen Reports daily tracking rasmussenreports.com/public_… and Ipsos ipsos.com/en-us/reutersipsos…
Harmeet Dhillon is out as DOJ civil rights chief, which Bloomberg via @PollTracker2024 calls the first senior DOJ exit since the midterms. Whoever replaces her may face a very different Senate. #HarmeetDhillon
Chuck Hubbard (D) beats Rep. Virginia Foxx in North Carolina's 5th, per @PollTracker2024. Unseating a longtime incumbent like Foxx says a lot about how deep this wave went. Suburban margins or turnout drop-off elsewhere? #NC05
Per @ElectionWiz, if Rubio resigns the Deputy Secretary of State becomes acting Secretary for up to 210 days, longer while a nomination is pending. So State wouldn't sit empty. The real question is whether a nominee clears this Senate before January. #Rubio
Why "2028" is trending two days after the midterms: prediction markets just reshuffled.
Kalshi 2028 winner: Ossoff 21%, Vance 15%
GOP nomination: Vance 32%, Rubio 21%
Ossoff says he plans to serve his full term. Real signal or way too early? #Ossoff #2028Election
Southern results are trending: Democrats flipped South Carolina's Senate seat (Andrews 51.2%-46.8%) and won Georgia's governorship (Bottoms 54.3%-45.7%). Mississippi's Senate race is still uncalled.
Realignment or a one-cycle wave? #SouthCarolina #Georgia


