At @UTSA for Pick Up the Mic, a student read a poem celebrating the assassination of Charlie Kirk with such glee, then told me I was brave to be out here without my neck covered. I told her I’d pray for her. This is the climate. We pick up the mic anyway.

Trump: I love the meat! Ahhhh! I love it, look! *gestures*

11:15 AM PT 10/27/26 IPEV Update for NV: Clark- Reps 🔴 +1,203 Dems 🔵 +1,224 Other 🟡 +870 Washoe- Reps 🔴 +311 Dems 🔵 +258 Other 🟡 +160 Entire State- Reps 🔴 +1,967 (42.3%) Dems 🔵 +1,558 (33.5%) Other 🟡 +1,125 (24.2%) After the wheels came off yesterday in Clark, the GOP is shaping up to have another tough outing there today. Fortunately they are winning statewide and in Washoe. The path for Lombardo is getting increasingly narrow if it hasnt already foreclosed.

1 WEEK OUT i've changed my mind on a lot of races, and this is also with new early vote data margins are 1-5-10 final predictions dropping on election day

Moody is genuinely one of the worst senators we’ve ever had in this country? The fuck? By almost any metric? She’s still going to win because it’s Florida but yeah she’s an atrocious candidate.

2 WEEKS OUT new predictions next week

My prediction: R's get 53 Senate seats. If it's a bad night, we get 52. If it's a really good night, we get 54.

James Talarico in a NYT interview: "When I was in elementary school, I thought I was gay. It was not until I grew up that I realized that I was just attracted to minors"

NEW QUANTUS INSIGHTS NORTH CAROLINA SENATE POLL | October 26, 2026 Our latest (and last) survey for the North Carolina Senate race finds Roy Cooper leading Michael Whatley by 8.6 points, a week out from Election Day. 📊 U.S. Senate Ballot 🔵 Roy Cooper: 51.4% 🔴 Michael Whatley: 42.8% ⚪️ Undecided: 3.4% ⚪️ Minor candidates / someone else: 2.4% — Cooper leads by 8.6 points. — With leaners allocated: 🔵 Cooper 52.4% 🔴 Whatley 43.4% — Cooper +9.0 📊 Two-Candidate Ballot 🔵 Cooper 53.2% 🔴 Whatley 44.1% — Cooper +9.1 –––––––––––––––––––––––––– 📊 Party Registration Democrats: Cooper 94% Republicans: Whatley 89% Unaffiliated: Cooper 55% / Whatley 36% 📊 Gender Women: Cooper +16 Men: Whatley +1 📊 Race / Ethnicity White: Whatley +7 Black: Cooper +69 Hispanic: Cooper +35 † –––––––––––––––––––––––––– Since our September wave (Cooper +5.3 on the same basis), Cooper is up 1.6 and Whatley down 1.8. –––––––––––––––––––––––––– October 24–25, 2026 · 722 LV · MoE ±4.0 Read the full report and crosstabs: quantusinsights [dot] org/polling

I fucked up and talked to the negotiator on the phone long enough for them to box me in. They have dogs so I'm probably done for.