"Most progress is a(o)ccidental." peptides | reindustrialization | american supremacist | reformed crypto bro | founder stories | ✝️

Mars
Joined January 2019
gm, I'm pivoting out of crypto. Not a decision, an observation. My life has increasingly been dominated by supporting local, small-time founders, by the dream of reindustrializing the US, and I'm increasingly inspired by those building with atoms rather than bits. Nothing against this industry of quirky nerds, degens, and builders. I owe a lot to crypto (tho I now also owe a lot of $). And it has hit the mass-adoption stage, even if it's not what we all envisioned that moment would be. Stablecoins and tokenization will modernize our financial systems, and that means material good for everyone, not just those with a MM wallet. Plus, there's plenty of people still pursuing the more crypto-native vision: democratizing returns, creating permissionless finance, reforming early capital formation. As Mert says, organizing capital means organizing human potential. I believe we'll still succeed in turbo-charging that. But for about a year now, none of that is why I've gotten out of bed. It was tough to admit. But once you do, you know what you need to do. So, ave Occidental Alchemist. It's a nod to Isaac Newton, who is known for his comments on physics, but wrote more in his commentaries on the Bible. Whose alchemic experiments reformed the British financial system and gave the world the pound sterling (crypto people know the power of currency reform). His greatest achievements, as is so often the case, especially in my life, were all achieved a(o)ccidentally. I've continually chased the edge and missed it: years late to paid ads, just one or two too late to crypto. I felt the wings of the AI edge brush against my fingers. But you don't catch trends by being on time, only by being early. The next frontier lies in atoms. It lies in the basic industries deemed uninvestable for decades but which everyone is now waking up to as being the backbone of the United States: aerospace, manufacturing, shipbuilding, mining, robotics, nuclear, gas power, biotech, space tech. We're now adding drones, batteries, synthetic hydrocarbons, and superintelligence to the American industrial repertoire. That's the wide open plain of the modern frontiersman. The trails west are open, the territory relatively unsettled, and I think it's the way to do the most good for country and the world. I'm excited to share some new projects I'm working on and being more intentional on this platform. People complain, but it's still where the builders are. Finally, a big shout-out to the OGs. Yes, the real treasure is the friends you make along the way. You know who you are, and I'll never forget it. Will still see you in Denver, hopefully! So for me, crypto is dead, but long live crypto. Time now to move the world charts up and to the right.
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Industrialists are about to win every election for a generation
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In college, the first book we read was "How to Be Free from Bitterness." Small Christian college, figured it was just for personal edification, student unity, etc. As I get older, I see just how political it is. Bitterness is a helluva drug. Imagine calling yourself "The US flag people" and then getting so twisted around that you start waving third-worlder flags and funding the people trying to destroy the people, families, and nation you claim to love. Couldn't be me. Because of a "spiritual hygiene" book I read 17 years ago.
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It is time to reshore American API production
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Occidental Alchemist (Finley) retweeted
BREAKING: A radioactive peptide that targets cancer cells and delivers radiation to destroy them has just succeeded in a Phase 3 trial.
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Occidental Alchemist (Finley) retweeted
so, manufacturing
Technical moats are mostly over at this point. If you’re building something that is meant to be durable, the only moats now are: • Proprietary data • Network effects • A physical component
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The only number you need to track for housing affordability is vacancy rate. A healthy market should be at 5% to balance supply and demand. This is the housing market healing faster than anyone predicted
🚨 H-1BLOODBATH: 100% of all homeowners in Plano purchased prior to Oct 2025 are all underwater, with valuations less than remaining balance owed on mortgages. The area is intense with H-1B fraud activity. DEFAULTS AND FORECLOSURES ACCELERATING.
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It is the best of times, it is the worst of times, to be a marketing intern on 𝕏
If you manage a brand account on X, this is literally a cheat code. Here's what to do with this update... create 3 bots: 1) 24/7 Community Manager - Scan X daily (or more frequently) for mentions of your brand. Surface tweets worth amplifying, highlight product feedback (or stuff worth flagging internally), share team posts that are trending (or performing abnormally well). I also got mine doing a daily digest, notifying me when there's an urgent alert (like a trending tweet/crisis, monitoring our launches, and doing ongoing sentiment reports. 2) X Content Strategist - Read every single tweet your brand has done. Analyze all of the engagement, replies, bookmarks, etc and recommend content buckets, ideas, memes, etc. based on top performing posts. Also worth analyzing content from the founders/team. Bonus: Have the bot build out a voice/tone skill that could be used for future content sparring. 3) X Analyst - Analyze all of the engagements and replies on your past 30/60/90 days of brand content. Tell me which accounts jump out. Any influential people? Industry leaders? Creators? etc. Then share these with the team - provides good signal.
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“Be not afraid of greatness.”
.@SecRubio: "Too often, these days, we build downwards. We design our standards to ensure that no one will lose. We preoccupy ourselves more with the comfort of the worst than the potential of the best. We hold the most exceptional things among us hostage to the average."
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Did everybody have champagne-sipping parents except me? My parents struggled and sacrificed a lot. I know of plenty of others. Generations, like nations and companies, are rightly judged by their leaders. But we should be careful before condemning all of them.
This is bad and boomers should be ashamed for voting like this but also worth remembering that the top 10% of boomers hold 71% of their generation's wealth. More than a third have zero retirement savings. This caricature of the laughing cashmere sweater boomer never sat well with me because I know too many boomers IRL who are trapped in leaky, falling-down houses and wringing their hands about how they're going to make ends meet. The actual solution to this is going to involve several generations of selfless cross-generational patronage and duty, a retrofit of the American social fabric so severe it will basically be a different country if we can pull it off.
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Occidental Alchemist (Finley) retweeted
This is bad and boomers should be ashamed for voting like this but also worth remembering that the top 10% of boomers hold 71% of their generation's wealth. More than a third have zero retirement savings. This caricature of the laughing cashmere sweater boomer never sat well with me because I know too many boomers IRL who are trapped in leaky, falling-down houses and wringing their hands about how they're going to make ends meet. The actual solution to this is going to involve several generations of selfless cross-generational patronage and duty, a retrofit of the American social fabric so severe it will basically be a different country if we can pull it off.
89% percent of baby boomers back higher taxes on younger Americans as a means to protect their Social Security benefits. 84% of those aged 55 to 64 also support tax hikes on young Americans who, on average, suffer an inferior quality of life to their parents. This is from a 2025 Cato Institute poll. Follow: @AFpost
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Occidental Alchemist (Finley) retweeted
The single best predictor of founder success we’ve seen, above all else, is raw determination. Across the 100+ successful founders we’ve interviewed, we identified 7 signals that measure this: (1) A history of being under-estimated. There was always someone early in their life who doubted them, whether that be a sibling, parent, teacher or colleague. (2) Lifelong iconoclasts. Never fit in with the group. Quirky tastes in hobbies, music, food that others find unusual. (3) Some evidence of prior failure. Whether that be previous companies, product launches or career pivots, they always failed at least once (and often multiple times). (4) Irrationally optimistic. If their lead engineer quits or a funding round fails or a key customer churns, they are never pessimistic and never lose hope. Always glass half full. (5) Lack of financial motives. The desire to succeed was never driven by money. Cash served as a scorecard and nothing else. (6) Funding struggles. Almost all struggled with early funding rounds, but did not give up in the face of capital scarcity. Lack of capital forced discipline. (7) Institutional rejection. They were almost always rejected by a top institution early in their career (sports team, school, college or company).
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This is a direct result of US elections, btw. Yes, they matter. And not just to us.
"Es básicamente imposible que Lula gane. Perdimos Brasil y veo más cercana la caída de Cuba, se vienen tiempos de barbarie"
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Occidental Alchemist (Finley) retweeted
Our team recognized this problem long before it was fashionable. We have built our own models required to give machinist’s a 10X Ironman suit. LLMs won’t cut it. Our system has ingested parts going to Anduril, Boeing, SpaceX, RTX etc. We will start scaling Q1 2027 to support every American shop.
America has 16,876 machine shops. 83% employ fewer than 20 people. Just nine employ more than 500. New defense companies are moving from prototypes to mass production, and every missile, drone, ship, and rocket they ultimately produce needs to run through one of these small shops. That friction is a national security liability. Connor Love and Collen Larson on the next generation of American manufacturing that gets built by smoothing it: a16z.news/p/the-case-for-the…
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We need to build the tooling for automated workshops.
We need to get the shops with 10-19 employees in a position where they can produce 3x-5x their current output without requiring a corresponding increase in headcount. Many of these shops supply OEMs & make key parts/ components that go into bigger things/ equipment. Over the next 5-10 years, the bigger companies/ OEM’s will increase their domestic production output. That means they’ll need more of the parts/ components to assemble the finished goods. I expect ~80% of the shops with <10 employees will disappear over the next decade. Few are willing or able to make the drastic transformation that will be required to compete & succeed in a world with widespread production automation. The work from the 80% closing & the increased demand needs somewhere to go. Highly automated shops with 10-19 employees that employ technologies & systems built around the decades of human knowledge, will be able to ship 3x-5x what they do now. And they will do so without the administrative bloat, bureaucracy & analysis paralysis that companies with 100-150 people experience. We need to give the shops in the 10-19 employee range, this coalition of willing, driven, & obsessed manufacturers, more support. (Note, I’m specifically not talking about defense suppliers)
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This is why The Game has given us SI. The total societal change Fugitive rightly wants may come in a top-down way. But it WILL come, no matter what, from SI. The Game constantly rebalances. New items appear to defeat new bosses. Attacks that were OP get nerfed. It's not accident that SI comes as society needs a major upgrade. It allows autodidacts, autists, small-time biz people, neuro-divergent entrepreneurs, and perpetual out-group types to disrupt traditional corporations, accelerate personal projects, create new means of production. It rewards high-agency entities at the expense of bureaucratic ones. It's the foundation of a new meritoracy of those who provide the most value at the lowest cost. Like all change, it takes time. And effort. But disaffected young men who are not too blackpilled to build can capture the lion's share of the trillions of new GDP that is about to be created. Those who blackpill around AI, data centers, space travel, etc., don't realize they're creating a self-fulfilling prophecy. Humans tamper with The Game. God will give you what you need to win it. You're an American. The perpetual frontier is your heritage. The nation is your birthright. You've only ever won by building, starting with nothing and overtaking everyone. Are you going to let this time be different?
Some of the smartest guys I know on here, who used to write 10,000 word essays that I always learned from, are now working in construction because they couldn't get a white-collar job, or even an interview, after 800+ job applications. A lot of friends tell me in private they're not doing well, or they had to change industries, or they're living at home with their parents, or they had to leave America to find work overseas. DEI crushed them. What are we doing to help them? Nothing. Not a thing. And these guys are ambitious, self-motivated, credentialed, genius autodidacts with intense work ethics. I shudder to think what life is like for the ordinary young white man who is not some brilliant outlier, he's just a normal American suffering from intense, systemic racial-sexual discrimination.
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Many of us predicted this. Pretty easy one to get right. If you didn’t, you need to change your priors. The Golden Age is coming!
Oil flows in the Strait of Hormuz have sharply rebounded: Persian Gulf crude oil exports surpassed 14 million barrels per day last week for the first time since the Iran War began on February 28th. This marks an over +210% increase from the ~4.5 million barrels per day low seen in March. As a result, the 4-week average is up to 14 million barrels per day, the highest level in 6 months. Persian Gulf crude oil exports have now recovered to ~80% of their pre-war levels. This comes as the US military has increasingly secured the Strait of Hormuz and established a two-way shipping corridor along the coast of Oman, allowing oil convoys to resume through the waterway. Meanwhile, refined fuel shipments, including gasoline, diesel and jet fuel, remain at only around 50% of pre-war levels, as these products are more expensive to transport than crude oil and some refineries in the Persian Gulf that were damaged during the early stages of the war have also yet to fully resume operations. Oil flows are coming back, but the fuel market is still under intense pressure.
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Occidental Alchemist (Finley) retweeted
ISM US Manufacturing Activity: 54.5 9 straight months of expansion… 2026 looking very different than 2022-2025.
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Occidental Alchemist (Finley) retweeted
I first released my SoCal Hard Tech Landscape Map in April 2024. It was about 2.5 years ago, but given how fast hard tech changes, it feels like ancient history. I’m putting the finishing touches on Version 8.0 now. The last version had 279 companies across the region. This one looks like it’ll break 300. So I thought it’d be interesting to look back at how the ecosystem has grown. X won't let me include all 7 previous versions, but I think the 4 maps I included tell the story. Version 8.0 is coming in October. If you're a SoCal hard tech startup and want to be included on the October map, DM me this week. -Erik
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You are simply not excited enough for the future
pretty sure we jumped higher than the aircraft how it works: - flies like a plane but has no wings - edfs blow directly over a jetfoil to generate lift (coanda effect) - can hover in place in the air - uses thrust vectoring for drone-like maneuverability while keeping cruise efficiency flew for 3 seconds, cut throttle, hit the floor, 10/10 day
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Occidental Alchemist (Finley) retweeted
pretty sure we jumped higher than the aircraft how it works: - flies like a plane but has no wings - edfs blow directly over a jetfoil to generate lift (coanda effect) - can hover in place in the air - uses thrust vectoring for drone-like maneuverability while keeping cruise efficiency flew for 3 seconds, cut throttle, hit the floor, 10/10 day
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