Look for me elsewhere

Joined July 2019
Phil Haile retweeted
Using rich multi-level data on US House elections finds that marginal voters tend to favor Democrats. State voting policies have small but sometimes key effects and district maps net favor Republicans, from @steventberry, Christian Cox, and @PhilHaile nber.org/papers/w34149
5
18
6,175
“I wish it need not have happened in my time," said Frodo. "So do I," said Gandalf, "and so do all who live to see such times. But that is not for them to decide. All we have to decide is what to do with the time that is given us.” ― J.R.R. Tolkien, The Fellowship of the Ring
134
14,631
352
70,421
2,339,438
Phil Haile retweeted
Just stop with the “But Trump is worse so shut up” nonsense. Everyone, and I mean everyone calling for Biden to step down thinks Trump is worse. That’s WHY they want someone with a fighting chance of beating him. They are actually taking the threat of Trump MORE seriously.
931
1,110
203
8,805
445,184
The University of Chicago, as usual, striking the right balance. Worth reading in full. It is exactly right. President Alivisatos’ Note on the Encampment (April 29, 2024) Dear Members of the University Community, Just a few hours ago, a group of students established an encampment on the Main Quad as a form of protest. This particular tactic is now in widespread use at universities across the country. At some, encampments have been forcibly removed, with police arresting students and faculty in chaotic scenes that are disturbing. At others, encampments have persisted, despite attempts to shut them down with force. In some cases, encampments have resulted in major disruptions to learning and the activities of the university community. Free expression is the core animating value of the University of Chicago, so it is critical that we be clear about how I and my administration think about the issue of encampments, how the actions we take in response will follow directly from our principles, and specific considerations that will influence our judgments and actions. The general principle we will abide by is to provide the greatest leeway possible for free expression, even expression of viewpoints that some find deeply offensive. We only will intervene when what might have been an exercise of free expression blocks the learning or expression of others or that substantially disrupts the functioning or safety of the University. These are our principles. They are clear. Two recent examples illustrate how we bring these principles into real action. First, last quarter a student group secured university permission to cover a large fraction of the Main Quad with a massive Palestinian flag consisting of thousands of tiny colored flags. The exhibit was accompanied by signage exhorting passersby to “Honor the Martyrs,” and it was staffed by students at tables during certain hours. Those students could explain to passersby why they thought it important to feature this installation, why they thought that language was appropriate, and any other views occasioned by their installation. While this protest and accompanying message were offensive to many, there was no question that it was an exercise of free expression. It stood for weeks until the end of the approved time, at which point the student group removed it, making way for others to express their views in that space as they might see fit. This example should make it clear that we approach the issue with no discrimination against the viewpoints of those participating in this encampment. We adhere to viewpoint neutrality rigorously. As a second illustrative example, in November, a group of students and faculty undertook an occupation of Rosenwald Hall, a classroom and administration building. That was a clear disruption of the learning of others and of the normal functioning of the University. After repeated warnings, the protesters were arrested and released. They are subject now to the University’s disciplinary process, which is still pending. In short, when expression becomes disruption, we act decisively to protect the learning environment of students and the functioning of the University against genuinely disruptive protesters. There are almost an unlimited number of ways in which students or other members of the University community can protest that violate no policies of the University at all; the spectrum of ways to express a viewpoint and seek to persuade others is vast. But establishing an encampment clearly violates policies against building structures on campus without prior approval and against overnight sleeping on campus. I believe the protesters should also consider that an encampment, with all the etymological connections of the word to military origins, is a way of using force of a kind rather than reason to persuade others. For a short period of time, however, the impact of a modest encampment does not differ so much from a conventional rally or march. Given the importance of the expressive rights of our students, we may allow an encampment to remain for a short time despite the obvious violations of policy—but those violating university policy should expect to face disciplinary consequences. The impact of an encampment depends on the degree to which it disrupts study, scholarship, and free movement around campus. To be clear, we will not tolerate violence or harassment directed at individuals or groups. And, disruption becomes greater the longer the encampment persists. With a 24-hour presence, day after day, we must for example divert police resources away from public safety for our campus and our community. If necessary, we will act to preserve the essential functioning of the campus against the accumulated effects of these disruptions. I ask the students who have established this encampment to instead embrace the multitude of other tools at their disposal. Seek to persuade others of your viewpoint with methods that do not violate policies or disrupt the functioning of the University and the safety of others. Sincerely, Paul
179
1,105
302
5,893
1,395,951
Watch Professor Timothy Snyder completely destroy Marjorie Taylor Greene for lying about “Nazis in Ukraine.”
809
4,449
584
21,531
1,368,918
Replying to @Undercoverhist
I would say the key idea of Manski's work is: A reasonable set of assumptions may not allow us to learn about a parameter exactly, but it might allow us to obtain bounds on that parameter This allows to make clearer the mapping between assumptions and conclusions 1/
2
20
7
100
38,062
I view the obsession with the Chicago school in antitrust circles as more of an indictment of the poor state of instruction in law schools than anything else. How are people still hung up on stuff from like 50 years ago that mostly never got taught in Econ departments? 2/2
9
2
63
8,109
A friendly reminder that the "Chicago School" of antitrust has little to do with economics and was largely associated w/ two legal scholars teaching in law schools in the 1970's. Many core ideas did not survive the game theory revolution of the 1980's. 1/2
This quoted post is unavailable.
9
18
3
174
116,980
Finally trying the azure firmament site under the same handle @philhaile. Switching equilibria is difficult when access codes trickle out.
9
2,383
We finally have a public version of our "Micro PyBLP" paper. TLDR: use micro data if you can! Highlights: a. How to select and form micro-moments (including "optimal" variety) b. How to avoid "incompatible" micro moments c. How to calculate correct weighting matrices + inference
A framework for incorporating many types of micro data, from summary statistics to full surveys of selected consumers, into Berry, Levinsohn, and Pakes (1995)-style estimates of differentiated products demand systems, from @conlon_chris and @jeff_gortmaker nber.org/papers/w31605
3
34
3
162
29,498
90 years ago today. An extract from the first issue of Econometrica (1933). It's still relevant! @econometricsoc @ecmaEditors
21
1
84
19,816
Junior women in IO -- submit your papers to the WiEMecon conference! We were a small contingent in last year's conference, but IO is a growing part of empirical micro. Let's make it a bigger contingent this year 😎😎😎 P.S. Job market candidates are welcome to submit!
Two weeks left to submit your empirical micro paper to WiEMecon 2023! Submit by emailing [email protected] by Feb 28. Our goal is to select innovative papers by junior women across empirical micro fields & pair them up with a discussion by a senior doing related work.
1
26
53
27,756
*Package Launch* One of my favorite trends in empirical IO is the increasing availability of portable code to estimate structural models – see PyBLP @conlon_chris @jeff_gortmaker, several packages by @jamesbrandecon. This is key to make IO tools accessible (also outside IO) [1/5]
1
42
7
217
67,340
This. "Figure 1 about here" = "stop reading about here"
If you submit a paper where I might be a referee, PLEASE PUT THE FIGURES/TABLES IN THE MAIN text and not at the end. Or at least give me clickable links.
2
17
Congratulations to Giulia Brancaccio, Myrto Kalouptsidi and Theodore Papageorgiou, winners of the #FrischMedal for "Geography, Transportation, and Endogenous Trade Costs”, Econometrica, Vol. 88, No. 2, March 2020, pp. 657-691. Free for a limited time doi.org/10.3982/ECTA15455
3
30
3
78
New legislation on "price gouging" just dropped #econtwitter. Summary: fight inflation by making price increases illegal (Bonus: implement a strong Robinson-Patman like ban on price discrimination by large firms). 1/8 warren.senate.gov/imo/media/…
71
108
227
513
1/When the history of Ukraine's War of Independence is written @Mylovanov will be among those venerated as heroes. Moving from world class scholar to Ukrainian Finance minister to the head the Kyiv School of Economics, he is now a freedom fighter and patriot in the best sense.
KSE continues humanitarian aid campaign for Ukraine. We are endorsed by the government and have already raised over USD 5M. There are no overheads, no waste or high purchase prices, targeted distribution, detailed knowledge of needs Payment details: kse.ua/support/donati…
1
22
5
107
Going live at 10 pm Kyiv, 3 pm EST. Oksana Syroid, Nataliia Shapoval, Timofiy Brik and myself. Todays update and analysis xitter.cf/i/spaces/1zqJVBNBXLLJB
1
30
4
74
Ukraine has been invaded by Russia. People have been asking me what to do. Here are a few ways that you can show solidarity with Ukrainians. #Ukraine #UkraineInvasion #UkraineSolidarity snyder.substack.com/p/a-few-…
6
146
9
250