MESP Director. Assistant Professor @ElliottSchoolGW ISCS| Author: "Iran & the Bomb:United States, Iran&the Nuclear Question." Tweets &RT≠E. Personal Views here

Washington, DC
Joined December 2016
“Iran and the Bomb, the United States, Iran and the Nuclear Question” is the culmination of my research and writings on one of the most pressing issues of US national security since 1975. It is now available on Amazon for pre-order. a.co/d/b2pgIO2
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This is important:
חשיפה עכשיו במהדורה | עימות חסר תקדים בין הרמטכל לבין ראש הממשלה שהגיע לשיא או לשפל ביממה האחרונה הנושא ברקע: הסוגיה האיראנית וחשש של זמיר שנתניהו והדרג המדיני עלולים להוביל לתרחיש של מיסקלקולציה מול איראן רגע לפני הבחירות גורם ביטחוני: מדובר בפעולה שעלולה להוביל לעימות בזק מול איראן בעיתוי רגיש ודרמטי, ולייצר מיסקלקולציה גורמים בקיאים בפרטים: חשש של הדרג הצבאי מניסיון לנצל את הסוגיה האיראנית לתנופה פוליטית , טענה שגורמים מדיניים מכחישים וטוענים שמדובר בשקר של ממש כך או כך, 2 מקורות מספרים לי שזה הגיע לרמה שהיום בביקור בפלמחים האווירה בדיון הייתה עכורה עד מאוד בימים האחרונים זמיר קיבל איזושהי הנחיה מהדרג המדיני אבל ביקש דיון מעמיק לפני ביצוע הוא גם ביקש אסמכתאות חוקיות וחתומות של הדרג המדיני על המהלך בכיר ביטחוני: ההיסטוריה לא תשכח את התפקיד שמילא פה זמיר בימים האחרונים ובשורה התחתונה: עימות יוצא דופן בחריגות שלו בין זמיר לנתניהו, סביב הסוגיה באיראן, רגע לפני מועד הבחירות. נדגיש: כל הפרטים בידיעה הזו עברו את אישורה של הצנזורה הצבאית
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Huh
Saudi Military Aircraft Reportedly Lands in Tehran, Iran A Saudi Royal Air Force C-130H Hercules military transport aircraft, identified as RSF1036, reportedly entered Iranian airspace and landed at Mehrabad Airport in Tehran. FlightRadar24 tracking shows the aircraft operating over the Persian Gulf before its reported arrival in Iran.
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فر ایزدی نه فره -
شاهزاده، دارای همان فره ایزدی است که همیشه ایران را از سیاهی نجات داده. ما در هزاران سال تاریخ ایران و افسانه‌هایش دیده‌ایم که ایران همیشه زیر سایه چنین فرهی دوباره فرهمند شده. جبهه هفت آبان، بازوی انقلاب ملی ایران به رهبری شاهزاده رضا پهلوی، برای نبرد آخر آماده است. برای آخرین نبرد و بازگشت پهلوی به هفت آبان بپیوندید. @7aban_H
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Sina Azodi retweeted
استاد دانشگاه جانز هاپکینز؛ ایستادگی ایرانیان یکی از بزرگ‌ترین شگفتی‌های این جنگ بود! ولی نصر: این نظام، به‌شکلی متناقض‌نما، هم در میدان نبرد و هم در سازمان‌دهی داخلی برای این جنگ، چابکی قابل‌توجهی از خود نشان داد. این توانایی، یکی از بزرگ‌ترین شگفتی‌های این جنگ است.
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And yet- it was Trump who bragged about “wiping out” Iran and destroying its civilization. Our friends and relatives in Iran were saying goodbyes to each other.
“I didn’t have to fire a missile.” - President Obama on Iran. That’s right, Mr. President. You didn’t. Not when Iran-backed militias in Iraq killed American service persons there. Not as the IRGC deepened ties with the Taliban (but also al-Qaeda and the Haqqani network) as it killed Americans in Afghanistan. Not when the IRGC-QF plotted to kill the Saudi Ambassador to Washington in a Georgetown restaurant via Mexican drug cartels Not as Iran began enriching uranium to 20 percent purity, which is highly enriched. Not as Iran began enriching uranium in centrifuges in its highly fortified underground Fordow facility for the first time. Not as Iran threatened to close the Strait of Hormuz. Not as IRGC-Navy fast attack craft routinely harassed American Navy vessels and commercial traffic in and around the Persian Gulf. Not as Iran tested medium range ballistic missiles capable of carrying nuclear payloads with genocidal phrases against Israel written in Hebrew. Not as Iran continued to work on space launch vehicles with the ultimate goal of developing longer-range strike platforms that could one day threaten the European continent and the US homeland. Not as Iran beefed up its drone program. Not as the regime successfully co-opted the Houthis in Yemen and began to provide them with material support as the group entered the Axis of Resistance. Not as the Islamic Republic backed Assad’s slaughter of Syrians to the hilt and intervened decisively, later along with Russia, in that theater and created a security and humanitarian catastrophe I the Middle East and refugee crises that has thrown a massive curveball into European politics and demographics. And last but certainly not least, not as Iranians whose calls for support you ignored during the Green Movement were killed, arrested, beaten, and tortured.
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خبر بسیار خوب :
«آزاد» آزاد شد. توضیحات بیشتر به‌زودی… گفت‌و‌گوی بعدی: عباس امانت و یرواند آبراهامیان | ۲۸ مرداد و درس‌هایی برای ایران امروز
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Iranians are anxious as threat of US-Israeli attacks loom. Some are not sending their kids to school, others are canceling travel plans, and stocking up on fuel and food. Our story: w/ Leily Nikounazar nytimes.com/2026/10/24/world…
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Sina Azodi retweeted
OBAMA: He pulled out of the JCPOA, starts this war—Seven months later, six months after they declared victory, how's that war going?  Our allies and our bases have been attacked. Americans have been killed. Hundreds of Americans have been wounded. We have run down our stock of missiles. And Iran now has veto power over the strait of hormuz, where oil goes through to the world market.  This is the reason why the price of oil is up. Nobody disputes that. This is the reason the price of diesel is up. This is the reason why the price of just about everything is up. Meanwhile, you got the defense secretary who's squarely focused on important matters: the jawlines and testosterone levels of our troops.  These are not serious people. And the problem is you end up having to pay the price for their lack of seriousness.
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Obama was on a roll tonight !
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💥After weeks of threatening to hit Iran Israel's hapless DefMin Israel Katz barely gets a denial out of his mouth– "We're not launching an Iran operation before the elections. That's an opposition lie"– before Trump pops up and says he might strike Iran tomorrow. Who knows.
عاجل | ترمب: نفكر في شن هجوم على #إيران وربما يحدث ذلك غدا لكنني لن أكشف عن موعد أي عملية عسكرية محتملة
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Every single word of this:
“How much time do you think this defense secretary spends looking in the mirror in the morning? These are not serious people” — Obama’s audience in Ohio is hanging on every word as he skewers Trump and Hegseth
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Sina Azodi retweeted
OBAMA: He's got the White House looking like Saddam Hussein opened a Cheesecake Factory. It's gold everywhere.
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The hardliner Paydari Front - close to Saeed Jalili has asked the government to withdraw from the NPT and “reconsider the defense and military doctrine.”
جبهۀ پایداری خواستار خروج از NPT و بازآرایی دکترین دفاعی ایران شد جبهۀ پایداری در بیانیه‌ای خواستار خروج ایران از پیمان منع گسترش سلاح‌های هسته‌ای (NPT)، توقف همکاری‌های فراتر از تعهدات پادمانی و بازآرایی دکترین دفاعی و نظامی کشور شد.
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Updated version specifically says withdrawing from the NPT and a “revision in the nuclear doctrine”
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Interesting comparison :
U.S. Ambassador to Türkiye Tom Barrack: Türkiye is a NATO ally, and Israel is a NATO ally. Navigating between these two NATO allies is like navigating between two teenage kids that grew up next to each other that all of a sudden end up in a fight. Source: @MarioNawfal
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Sina Azodi retweeted
Follows the logic of “just another push,” and the adversary will finally collapse. Wrong assumptions - and does not stand up to the weight of history.
Reporting and recent comments suggest that new US strikes will not aim to simply degrade Iran's capabilities or reduce their position in the strait (i.e. what the US attempted with strikes in July/August). Rather, there is a body of opinion inside the admin that another round of strikes would "finish off" Iran, pushing it to the point where it will capitulate to US demands, agree to a deal that favored the US, allowing the war to end with US victory. One can dispute the validity of this position. But it seems to be what is informing US thinking.
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