A Very Serious Matter. A. This must be stated as clearly as possible: There is no justification for launching another campaign against Iran before the election, or immediately afterward. Iran is indeed rebuilding its military capabilities and continuing to expand its power, but there is currently no “smoking gun” requiring an immediate attack, certainly not a military operation that could lead to the postponement of Israel’s elections. B. It is difficult to ignore the fact that the Iranian issue has become part of Israel’s political calculations. This is an extremely dangerous situation. It could lead Israel into another campaign before there has been a serious professional and public discussion about what failed in previous campaigns, why military achievements did not translate into strategic change, and, above all, what leads anyone to believe that another campaign would accomplish what has not been achieved so far. Israel cannot go to war again before understanding why previous wars failed to achieve their objectives. C. Another point must be understood: anyone willing to go to war two weeks before an election may also be willing to do so immediately afterward. The most important question, therefore, is where the professional leadership stands, first and foremost, the defense establishment, and what it is doing to prevent a move that could drag Israel into a difficult, prolonged campaign with no clear strategic purpose. A government that has lost its moral and public legitimacy cannot treat launching another war as a routine political decision, especially when the cost could be devastating for Israel’s citizens, economy, and national security. Another war with Iran is not inevitable. Before deciding to launch one, it is essential to demonstrate that it is necessary, that it has achievable objectives, and that a clear exit strategy exists. At present, none of these questions has received a convincing answer. #Iran #IranWar